2026
Major Feelgood: QAV AU #924
On this week’s show, we wade through a big news cycle: the US-Iran peace deal that forced us to dump our oil stocks, the SpaceX IPO trading at a jaw-dropping 1,750 times PROPCAF while losing money, and the brief Korean stock market circuit breaker that felt a little too dotcom-era for comfort. To…
Tobias Carlisle Soldier of Fortune: QAV AU #923
Listen to this episode of the QAV podcast.
Beds, Banks and Bionic Men: WEB Travel in the AI Age: QAV AU #922
This week Tony’s back from the horse sales and dives straight into a Pulled Pork on WEB Travel Group, the B2B hotel bed-banking business spun out of the old Webjet. We also cover negative gearing changes and how they compare to what Paul Keating tried in the late 1980s, plus a listener question o…
Big River, Big Comeback (BRI): QAV AU #921
On this episode Cameron flies solo while Tony is down the Gold Coast doing something involving horses. He covers the market fallout from Trump’s surprise bombing of Iran, explains why he’s hitting pause on new buys through confession season, and does a Pulled Pork on Big River Industries (BRI), a…
JUST THE TIP: QAV AU #920
This week Tony runs a full Pulled Pork on TIP (TeamInvest Private Group), a Sydney-based value investing education and funds management company with a flywheel business model, private equity arms, and a QAV score of 0.2 sitting frustratingly below its sentiment sell line. We also cover the Austra…
Five Juicy Years: Gold, Oil, and the Art of Saying No – QAV AU #918
On this episode, Cam and Tony work through a busy news week — the ASX’s longest losing streak since 2018, oil prices going nuts, the UAE ditching OPEC, and Greg Abel’s first real run at the Berkshire AGM without Warren holding the mic. Tony does a Pulled Pork on Kaiser Reef (KAU), a small Aussi…
Crash and Bash — QAV AU 917
On this episode we check in on the dummy portfolio (running at double the market over the last year), chat about the Trump assassination attempt security shambles, and Tony does a full Pulled Pork on AMA Group — Australia’s largest listed smash repairer, a turnaround story that’s clawing its wa…
The Happy Zone – QAV AU #916
This week we kick things off with the Iran war’s knock-on effects for oil markets, the Australian economy, and why the banks are quietly raising their bad debt buffers while the stock market ignores all of it. Plus Tony does a full Pulled Pork on Cuscal (CCL), the payments infrastructure company …
Lumpy Payback — QAV AU 915
This week we dig into the chaos of Trump’s Strait of Hormuz oil blockade, and why the ASX is shrugging off the end of the world. Tony does a Pulled Pork on Perth property developer Peet (PPC) — a 130-year-old land syndicator with a Goldman Sachs-driven strategic review swirling around it — an…
Dead Cat or Dead Cert? Navigating the March Sell-Off – QAV AU #914
Everything fell off a cliff in March, and this week we spend a good chunk of the episode trying to figure out which stocks have genuinely reestablished sentiment versus which are just dead cat bounces. Plus we talk about ASIC wanting more jail time for insider trading, using Stockopedia for buyba…
Drilling for Dollars: BRK, the Strait of Hormuz, and America’s $41 Trillion Hole — QAV AU 913
Australian consumer confidence hits a 53-year low, the US Treasury’s own balance sheet revealing effective insolvency (liabilities nearly eight times assets), and the Iran war closing the Strait of Hormuz and sending aluminum prices surging 6%. A listener question from Darryl about buyback scorin…
QAV AU #912 — Chicken Little
In episode 912 of QAV Australia (recorded 24 March 2026), Cameron and Tony open with geopolitical commentary on the Iran-US-Israel conflict and its impact on oil prices, before reassuring panicked listeners that market chaos is cyclical and the QAV rules — including the three-point trend line a…
Entangled Interests — QAV AU 911
In this episode of QAV, Cameron Reilly and Tony Kyneston navigate a world of “prolonged conflict” and “supply disruptions,” examining the ripple effects of Middle East tensions on global oil, fertilizer, and food security. They dive deep into Australia’s precarious fuel security, noting the count…
Agro at TACO — QAV AU 910
In this episode of QAV, recorded on March 10, 2026, Cameron and Tony navigate a week of absolute market chaos triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the resulting volatility in energy prices. The duo pays tribute to the legendary Brisbane entertainer Jamie Dunn (the man behind Ag…
QAV AU 909 — WWIII Investing
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony navigate the sudden market volatility triggered by the outbreak of conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran. The duo explores the “biggest threat in 50 years” to global oil supplies, specifically the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz and its in…
QAV AU 908 — Blowing the Doors Off
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony dive into the February reporting season. They provide an update on the QAV portfolios, take a dive into Parenti (PRN) and its recent price drop, as well as a comprehensive “Pulled Pork” analysis of Challenger (CGF) amidst potential Japanese takeo…
QAV AU 907 — Mass vs Gas
In this episode, recorded on February 17, 2026, Tony and Cameron reflect on the legacy of actor Robert Duvall before diving into a deep critique of “gas giant” stocks and the lack of visible depreciation on the income statements of US tech titans. The pair discuss the current “josephine” state of…
QAV AU 906 — It’s What You Do With It
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony navigate a particularly turbulent period for the ASX, noting a buy list that recently shrank to just three stocks amidst a broader market correction. The duo discusses the fallout for software companies like **Reckon (RKN)** and **Xero (XRO)** as…
QAV AU 905 — Watering the Flowers
In this episode, Cameron and Tony navigate a complex week of market shifts, political manoeuvres, and a “Sell America” sentiment that continues to gain traction. The duo celebrates the massive success of **Duratec (DUR)**, which has tripled in value, and cover announcements from a range of buy li…
QAV AU 904 — Humm-ing a Different Tune
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony brave the Australian heat to discuss a mix of music history and high-stakes value investing. The duo pays tribute to the late Midnight Oil drummer Rob Hirst, reflecting on his iconic sound and the band’s cultural impact. Turning to the markets, t…
QAV AU 903 — Nobel Prizes and Negative Sentiment
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dive into the complex geopolitical and economic landscape of early 2026, examining China’s record trade surplus and the stalling impact of US tariffs on manufacturing. They explore how the AI boom has acted as a primary driver for US growth, potentially masking…
QAV AU 901 — Broccoli Investing
The first QAV episode of 2026 opens with a wide-ranging discussion that blends value investing discipline with geopolitics, market psychology, and one very detailed stock teardown. Cameron and Tony debate the limits of guests who can’t tolerate pushback, why value investing is the “broccoli d…
2025
QAV AU 852 — Growth Over PE: The Metric That Ate 2025
The final QAV episode of 2025 is a wide-ranging year-end wrap that blends portfolio performance, market structure, and deeper system thinking. Cameron and Tony review an exceptional six-month run for QAV portfolios, with multiple stocks delivering triple-digit returns, before drilling into what a…
QAV AU 851 — From Zero to System: A First-Year QAV Journey
In this Christmas edition of QAV Australia, Cameron is joined by QAV member Scott Meehan for a wide-ranging, candid conversation about what it’s really like to start investing from scratch. Scott shares his journey from complete beginner to disciplined system-based investor, explains why QAV ap…
QAV AU 850 — Copper Fever
In this episode, Cameron and Tony survey a market that’s losing some momentum in iron ore while rapidly pivoting toward copper as the next structural commodity story. They unpack Fortescue’s move into Peruvian copper, the implications of slowing Chinese infrastructure investment, and why AI d…
QAV AU 849 — Shake the Tree and Let the Nuts Fall Out
This week Tony and I wander through a very QAV-ish mix of market weirdness, portfolio updates, almond conspiracies, and Bond-level misogyny. COG and ERD get the chop, AMA consolidates, several new stocks rotate in, and the dummy and Light portfolios continue to absolutely embarrass the index. Ton…
QAV AU 848 — ASX Meltdown, Bauxite Boom, and the Case of the Vanishing CEO
Tony and Cam roll into the final month of 2025 with a wide-ranging episode that swings from the ASX’s latest technology breakdown to fund-manager outperformance, commodity whiplash, and a fresh pulled-pork on Metro Mining. Along the way they dig into Tower’s results, the ongoing Eroad saga, F…
QAV AU 847 (v2) — The Reilly Sentiment Ratio
Tony recounts how he literally smashed his golf driver and then the show ricochets into AI investing, honesty metrics for management, huge portfolio outperformance, and the surprising returns of recent pulled porks. Cameron tests Google’s Gemini for a new way to score “able and honest” mana…
QAV AU 846 — Fortune Favours the Patient
This episode we dig through a packed week in markets, portfolios, commodities, gold trends, sovereign risk, Michael Burry’s fund closure, Warren Buffett’s farewell letter, QAV Light’s monster performance, the ASX correction, and a full pulled-pork deep dive on SYL (Symal Group). We also cov…
QAV AU 845 – Michael Goldberg Returns: Gold, AI, and Value Investing in 2025
Michael Goldberg from Collins Street Asset Management returns to the show after three years. We dive deep into how value investing has fared through the turbulence of recent years — from post-COVID struggles to the renewed upswing of 2025. Michael discusses his firm’s 14%+ annual returns, the…
QAV AU 844 — AI Freeze, Buffett’s Billions
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony dive into the latest market turbulence, with inflation data rattling investors and the RBA expected to hold rates steady. They explore Jerome Powell’s comments about a hiring freeze tied to AI—prompting a discussion about automation’s impac…
QAV AU 843 — Disclaimer of Opinion
Tony and Cam dissect markets, laugh at political theatre, and surf through a wave of portfolio updates. They cover the CSL slump, the First Guardian super fund mess, gold mania on TikTok, capital raising at Cash Converters, a pulled pork on Euroz Hartleys, and the messy suspension of DGL. Plus: m…
QAV AU 842 — Fresh Meat By Candlelight
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony dive into a lively mix of market chaos, corporate drama, and a little Fight Club philosophy. They unpack recent hits and misses across the QAV portfolios — from EROAD’s (ERD) 34% crash and CFO resignations, to SRG Global’s (SRG) impressive …
QAV AU 841 — Activism, Audio & Agency: Gabriel Radzyminski on Fixing Value Traps
In this episode, Cameron and Tony sit down with activist investor Gabriel Radzyminski, founder of Sandon Capital, to dissect the art of activist value investing in Australia. Gabriel explains how he identifies mispriced assets, why value investing isn’t dead, and how activism can unlock value w…
QAV AU 840 — Buffett’s Last Big Deal (And Why It Probably Isn’t)
In this episode, Cameron and Tony open with a celebratory mood as both the QAV dummy and Light portfolios outperform the ASX by wide margins, with the Light portfolio up over 32% year-to-date. They reflect on faith in the system — buying undervalued, well-run companies and letting “physics do…
QAV AU 839 — Breaking Nose
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony kick things off with bruises and broken noses before diving into the real drama: mergers, portfolio performance, and the state of value investing in the age of AI. They unpack the announced merger of Southern Cross Media (SXL) and Seven West Media (SWM), r…
QAV AU 837 — Buybacks, Breakthroughs & Boardroom Bombshells
This week Cameron and Tony cover a wide sweep of market news, governance antics, and stock analysis. Cameron demos his new automated audit and buyback checker, and Tony weighs in on how to score buybacks in the QAV system. They debate Goodhart’s Law, Trump’s struggling economy, tariffs, stagf…
QAV AU 836 — Making Audits Sexy Again
This week Cameron and Tony cover a wide sweep of market news, governance antics, and stock analysis. Cameron demos his new automated audit and buyback checker, and Tony weighs in on how to score buybacks in the QAV system. They debate Goodhart’s Law, Trump’s struggling economy, tariffs, stagf…
QAV AU 835 — Rule 34 Of ETFs
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dive into what’s being called the most volatile reporting season on record. They explore outsized market reactions, continuous disclosure failures, and whether sell triggers should be handled differently during earnings season. The duo compare the strong perfor…
QAV AU 834 — From Chickens to CSL: A Reporting Season Reality Check
In this week’s episode of **QAV Australia (Ep. 834)**, Tony is back from his week off on the Murray, and he and Cameron dive into a wide-ranging discussion of reporting season results, portfolio performance, and lessons from both winners and losers on the ASX. They cover everything from Super R…
QAV AU 833 — Clime: A Masterclass with John Abernethy
In this episode, Tony and Cameron sit down with John Abernethy, veteran investor and founder of Clime Investment Management, for an in-depth conversation about value investing, funds management, and the evolution of Australia’s financial industry. John shares stories from his early days at NRMA…
QAV AU 832 — The Business of Barnyard Medicine
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dig into a big week of market news and company updates. They kick off with the ASX’s latest blunder—confusing TPG Capital with TPG Telecom—sparking a dive into the stock exchange’s operational woes and competitive threats. The conversation shifts to the b…
QAV AU 831 — A‑Musing
In episode 831 of QAV Australia, Cameron and Tony go into detailed discussions on Beach Energy (BPT), Plenti Group (PLT), Motorcycle Holdings (MTO). They explore the state of gold and commodity sell rules, and whether young people are truly worse off than boomers. Tony wraps up with a deep dive P…
QAV AU 830 — Bhagwan Kynaston
In this episode of QAV Australia, Tony and Cam dive into the unexpected resignation of Macquarie Group’s CFO, the performance of Fortescue Metals Group, and delve into the speculations about cost-cutting measures in the ASX 200. In the ‘Pulled Pork’ section, they highlight a new addition to the b…
QAV AU 829 — Chat QAV
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dig into market optimism as the All Ords hits record highs, despite questionable fundamentals. They explore how QAV typically outperforms post-crash, backed by data from the dummy and light portfolios. Cam reviews the new AI tools in Navexa and previews Ch…
QAV AU 828 — Buy List Vacation
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dissect a week full of market contradictions, surging portfolios, and cautionary tales. They kick off with the Chinese economic “collapse” that somehow boosted markets, then riff on Trump, Epstein, and MAGA meltdown. Tony shares updates on commodities …
QAV AU 827 — Plenty of Value in Plenti
In Episode AU 827 of the QAV Investing Podcast, Cameron and Tony kick off with Trump’s latest tariff threats, predict (incorrectly) the RBA’s interest rate decision, and analyse the ASX’s reaction to overnight Wall Street moves. They discuss the impact of criminal allegations on G8 Educatio…
QAV AU 826 — Soundtrack Legends to Stock Spreadsheets
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony kick off the new financial year with tributes to Lalo Schiffrin and Bill Moyers before diving into end-of-year portfolio roundups. They compare the dummy portfolio’s 19.87% gain against the STW’s 13.61%, dissect U.S. portfolio returns versus the S&P 50…
QAV AU 825 — Bombs, Billboards & Bargain Buys
It’s cold, the markets are weird, and the boys are back. Cameron and Tony kick things off with oil-patch whiplash, Iran–Israel theatre, and Trump’s “Mission Accomplished 2.0” tweet-storms. Portfolio numbers, confession-season land-mines, and sudden 30 % face-plants (looking at you, **AM…
QAV AU 824 — Charizards, Crypto & Capital Gains With Navarre Trousselot
In this special QAV episode, Cameron and Tony are joined by Navarre Trousselot, founder and CEO of Navexa, Australia’s homegrown portfolio tracking and tax-reporting platform. The episode kicks off with a charming tale of how Navarre’s first entrepreneurial venture was Pokémon card arbitrage…
QAV America 009 — Blame It on the Boogie
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dissect the surprising fundamentals of Jackson Financial (NYSE: JXN) — a life insurance and annuities company that’s quietly throwing off “truckloads of cash” despite confusing accounting quirks. Cameron explores the company’s backstory (…
QAV AU 823
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony kick off with a discussion on the political tension in the U.S. and what Trump’s moves with the National Guard might foreshadow, then slide into serious investing updates. There’s news on Perenti (PRN), NRW (NWH), and Findi (FND), with a nod to confusi…
QAV America 008 — Huawei to Hell: Investing When the World’s Upside Down
In this week’s QAV episode, we sit down with the ever-dashing Tobias Carlisle, founder of The Acquirer’s Fund (ZIG, DEEP), author of The Acquirer’s Multiple, and deep value maverick, to dissect the state of value investing in the era of AI-driven hype. We cover the brutal cycles of deep val…
QAV AU 822 — Huawei to Hell: Investing When the World’s Upside Down
In this week’s QAV episode, we sit down with the ever-dashing Tobias Carlisle, founder of The Acquirer’s Fund (ZIG, DEEP), author of The Acquirer’s Multiple, and deep value maverick, to dissect the state of value investing in the era of AI-driven hype. We cover the brutal cycles of deep val…
QAV America 007 — Tariffs, Towers, and the Telco Gamble in Africa
In Episode 7 of QAV America, Cameron and Tony unpack the rollercoaster of IHS Holding (NYSE: IHS), a telecom tower operator entrenched in the geopolitical chaos and economic turbulence of Nigeria and beyond. They dive into IHS’s financials, foreign exchange exposure, and growth prospects, all w…
QAV 821 — Roombas, Regulators & Rogue Traders
In episode 821 of the QAV Podcast, Cameron and Tony kick things off with tales of gas outages and cold showers before diving into the markets. They review the portfolio performance, explain the HLS sell-off, and unpack the latest antics of Donald Trump’s tariff diplomacy. Stocks under the spotl…
QAV AMERICA 006 — Blood on the Balance Sheet
In this episode of **QAV America**, Cameron and Tony dive into the volatile world of commodities, classic value investing strategies, and a surprising value opportunity in **Ford Motor Company (F)**. They unpack how iron ore and wheat commodities are back in a buy state, dig into Rich Pzena’s i…
QAV 820 — Wet Lettuce Watchdogs
In this episode, Cameron and Tony tackle the political earthquake caused by the breakup of Australia’s Federal Coalition, dig into the implications of the RBA’s latest rate cut, and explore how the U.S. credit downgrade might ripple through markets. We hit hot topics from taxing unrealized ga…
QAV AMERICA 005 — Cayman Schemes and Chilean Dreams
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony wrestle with market chaos as the US–China trade war hits pause. Cameron shares the challenges he faced creating a US buy list, digging into several interesting (and occasionally suspicious) tickers: a mortgage REIT, a Chinese fintech with a Cayma…
QAV 819 — The Roll Back
In this episode of QAV Australia, Cam and Tony navigate a turbulent market buoyed by a temporary rollback in US-China tariffs and a curious rally in Bitcoin. They break down the movements in gold stocks like Perseus (PRU), Ramelius (RMS), and West African Resources (WAF), unpack ANZ’s (ANZ) CEO…
QAV AMERICA 004 — Buffett’s Last Dance
In episode 4 of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dive into Warren Buffett’s retirement announcement, celebrating his monumental impact on value investing. They discuss his legacy, Berkshire Hathaway’s performance under his leadership, and his thoughts on the future of the U.S. and global markets…
QAV 818 — Buffett’s Last Dance
In this episode of QAV Club, recorded on 6 May 2025, Cameron and Tony unpack the Australian federal election result with the kind of sharp political analysis and irreverent banter you expect. They explore the collapse of support for the Liberal Party, the implications for Peter Dutton, and the br…
QAVUS 003 — Beware Greeks Bearing Ships
In this episode of QAV US Edition, Cameron and Tony dissect the chaos and opportunities in the US markets. They kick off by comparing the irrational optimism in the markets to political theater, dig into key differences between US and Australian financial regulations, and discuss how these differ…
QAV 817 — Smart Metal and Dumb Markets
This week we deep-dive into BIS (Bisalloy Steel Group), questioning whether it’s truly a steel commodity play given its rising price amid a falling steel market. Tony delivers a pulled pork on BIS, exploring their niche in quenched and tempered steel, its use in defence industries, and the comp…
QAV 816 — Gold Diggers
In this post-Easter episode, Cam and Tony chew through the week’s market moves, exploring why the All Ords is up despite a gloomy global outlook. They rip into Trump’s latest Fed-firing fantasies, dissect the economics of tariffs, and wonder if AI will treat us like Yellowstone squirrels. The…
QAV 815 — Tax On, Tax Off
In this episode, Cameron and TK dive into the tumultuous week in the markets, heavily influenced by the Trump administration’s tariff announcements and subsequent pause. They discuss the impact on US Treasury bonds, China’s long-term economic strategy, and the potential breakdown of global trust …
QAV 814 — The Big Grift
In this episode, Cameron and TK dive into the recent market volatility, largely driven by US tariff announcements. They discuss the importance of sticking to the QAV investing framework during uncertain times, contrasting it with reactive or emotional decision-making often seen elsewhere. The con…
QAV 813 — The Mill Red Flag
In this episode, TK shares his busy week involving golf, horse racing, and family events, including his daughter’s first auction and his upcoming birthday. Cameron updates on the QAV light portfolio’s performance, noting it’s now beating the index since inception and for the financial year, despi…
QAVUS 002 — Markets Like Certainty
In this episode of the QAV US Edition, Cameron and Tony dive into the latest performance of the US portfolio, which continues to outpace the S&P 500 with a stunning 70% return. They break down the impact of Trump’s erratic trade policies on global markets, particularly the shipping industry, an…
QAV 812 — ASA’s Chairman on Continuous Disclosure
This week we’re talking with Steve Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association, about what we can do about the many failures of ASX-listed companies to disclose their results during the most recent reporting season.
QAV 811 — Thinking About It
Tony and Cameron explore the market’s recent volatility and recovery, examining key performances in both their Australian and US portfolios. They dive deep into the curious case of Ramelius Resources, dissecting the company’s recent series of announcements that puzzled investors and raised questi…
QAVUS 001 — Rule-Based Investing
On our first U.S. episode, we talk about how the QAV (Quality At Value) investing system works, review our U.S. portfolio returns, and Tony does a deep dive on one of the stocks we own, Zim Integrated Shipping Services (NYSE:ZIM).
QAV 810 — The QAV Magnificent 12
In this episode, we review recent half-yearly results and market volatility, discussing notable movements in the dummy portfolio compared to the benchmark, as well as significant shifts in commodities such as crude oil. We dive into reporting-season surprises from companies like Qantas, Hello Wor…
QAV 809 — The Reporting Season Red Flag
In this episode, we review recent half-yearly results and market volatility, discussing notable movements in the dummy portfolio compared to the benchmark, as well as significant shifts in commodities such as crude oil. We dive into reporting-season surprises from companies like Qantas, Hello Wor…
QAV 808 — The Value Investor’s Lament
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony navigate the carnage of reporting season, where many QAV stocks have taken a beating. They discuss the brutal market reactions to earnings misses, the underperformance of value stocks relative to growth, and what the latest results say about the overall ma…
QAV 807 — Half Year Havoc
Half year reports are playing their usual havoc on some of our stocks, as results disappoint the market. But is the market over-reacting in some cases? Tony thinks so. We’re also talking about the RBA’s decision to cut interest rates and how that affects our investing decisions. Stocks covered to…
QAV 806 — The Reilly Indicator
In QAV Episode 806, Cameron and Tony cover key market updates, including Elon Musk’s $97B bid for OpenAI, Trump’s steel tariffs, and the resurgence of iron ore as a buy. They analyze portfolio performance, noting that long-held stocks tend to outperform, and discuss Nick Scali, Beach Energy, …
QAV 805 — Whack A Mole
In this episode recorded on February 4, 2025, we dive into the impact of recent US tariff implementations and their immediate retraction. We also discuss the resignation of Resolute Mining’s CEO following his detention in Mali and its effect on the company’s share price, TK explains the Ricardo…
QAV 804 — The DeepSeek Black Swan
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony discuss a variety of topics, from Tony’s trip to Tasmania and adventures at MONA to Cameron’s kitchen mishap with a mandolin slicer. The conversation transitions to market insights, including the impact of the Chinese AI system DeepSeek on global marke…
QAV 803 — Shares For Beginners
While TK is away, I’m chatting with Phil Muscatello from the Shares For Beginners podcast, about everything the two of us have learned about investing over the years we have produced our respective podcasts.
QAV 802 — SWEET FA
This week we’re talking about commodities such as crude oil, copper, and lithium becoming buys again, Wall Street predictions and the practical approach of focusing on quality investments and managing risk. Tony shares analysis on several stocks including NWH and MYR, discussing red flags, and a …
QAV 801 — CY24 Portfolio Analysis
In our first episode for 2025, we break down our mixed portfolio results for 2024, talk about news related to MWY, ABA, ERD, RMS, play clips from a 1994 talk from Peter Lynch, review Geoff Wilson’s investing checklist, discuss Eugene Lama’s views on efficient markets, quantum computing threats. A…
2024
QAV 752 — Time Capsule
A review of the stock market’s winners and losers for the year, updates on TLS, DTL and FPR, Planck’s Principle in investing, our predictions for 2025, and a ‘Pulled Pork’ on Wagner’s Holding Company (WGN). In After Hours we talk about Leunig, say RIP to departed friends, and discuss ADHD.
QAV 751 — The Buffett Indicator
This week we’re talking about SXE’s new contracts, The Buffett Indicator, “The Mind of Wall Street”, the Murdoch succession crisis, Pulled Porks on GTN and RM, and then in After Hours we discuss Dune Part Two, S02 of Bookie, Vivaldi’s Four Seasons, Skeleton Crew, Wild Gods, Pink Moon and using th…
QAV 750 — Hello World
In this episode of QAV: Tony’s recent golfing escapades and his upcoming move to Cape Schanck. We discuss ANZ’s CEO change, reviewing the impact on the stock and the broader banking landscape, including concerns over market share and IT integration challenges. ABA’s merger with MyState is analyze…
QAV 749 — Aqualung
In this episode, while Tony is playing golf, I am joined by guest co-host QAV club member Geoff Fleming. We discuss Geoff’s investing journey, then get into Anthony Scaramucci’s book on Bitcoin “investing”, recent updates from EHL and FND, ASIC’s warnings about cybersecurity threats to share…
QAV 748 — The Trump Slump
In this episode, we discuss the impact of Trump’s tariffs and sanctions on markets, the consolidation of Boom Logistics, Resolute Mining Update, listener feedback about lithium investments and accruals, the Mooch on bitcoin and his Trump decoder ring, a pork on Woodside Petroleum (WDS), Nick Scal…
QAV 747 — Zombies, Accruals and Fascists
In a jam-packed two-hour long episode 747, we’re talking about everything from the RSG kidnapping to accruals in the QAV checklist, the performance of ASG, why Cam didn’t buy SWM when he read Kerry Stokes’ AGM speech, Zombie companies on the ASX, the NAB being sued by ASIC, the retirement of Joy…
QAV 746 — King Trump
In this mammoth two-and-a-half-hour marathon episode #746, we covered an extensive range of topics, from Trump’s 2024 election victory and its implications, to detailed analysis of multiple companies and market sectors. Elon Musk’s new role as Minister for Government Efficiency (DOGE), portfolio …
QAV 745 — Sandbagging
We discuss the RBA’s Cup Day meeting, TK does a ‘Pulled Pork’ on CCP’s recent performance, and quotes from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ by O’Shaughnessy, exploring key accounting ratios and shareholder yield. After hours is about cycling safety, Coppola’s “DEMENTIA 13”, scotch eggs, and managing…
QAV 744 — The Woozle Effect
We’re talking about the impact of Solly Lew’s strategic moves on Myer, before discussing Mosaic Brands’ recent troubles, portfolio reports, and Tony provides a comprehensive ‘Pulled Pork’ segment on AMP. Cam discusses the Woozle Effect in investing and provides pulled pork on one of the stocks in…
QAV 743 — The Throat Punch
In this episode, Tony and Cam talk about market predictions, and recent impressive gains in WGX, FND and WLFC. In the pulled pork, Tony analyses Redox (RDX), and then answers questions about portfolio strategies and buyback versus dividend yields. The episode also features insights from O’Shaughn…
QAV 742 — Flame Trees
This episode — an analysis of Pepper Money Limited (PPM), Emeco Holdings (EHL), Macmillan Shakespeare (MMS), and GTN. We discuss share buybacks, the impact of private equity ownership, the importance of dividend changes as buy/sell signals, the use of three-point trendlines in stock analysis, and…
QAV 741 — Boringly Happy
In episode 741 of QAV, Tony and Cam discuss fear and greed with quotes from “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator”, analyse West African Resources’ (WAF) market situation due to Burkina Faso’s political climate, Bank of Queensland’s (BOQ) franchise strategies, Tony’s attempts to get ChatGPT to help …
QAV 740 — Release the Sausages!
In this episode, we do a deep dive into ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ by Edwin Lefèvre, detailing Jesse Livermore’s life and lessons. We give AU and U.S. portfolio updates, some discussion about interest rates and the housing market, say goodbye to VUK, keep an eye on the iron ore price, r…
QAV 739 — The Buffett Measure
In this episode of the QAV 739 Club, CR and TK review their portfolio performance, do a pulled pork on Qantas, discuss the impact of the RBA’s interest rate decision, and the effectiveness of insider trading signals and the impact of Dividend Strategies in Australia.
QAV 738 — Pigs Get Slaughtered
In this episode of QAV, we discuss the ASX’s record high, our portfolio returns, Earnings Surprises, Vysarn (VYS) raising capital, and analyse the GenusPlus Group (GNP). We look at news stories about builders going bankrupt, lessons from the dot-com crash and share a couple of WWOWS quotes.
QAV 737 — FEAR & GREED
In this episode, Tony and Cam discuss recent commodity declines and a gold price surge and what it all means, as well as recent Brettalator issues and portfolio updates. Tony reads from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ talking about how value investing sustains through market bubbles. The ‘Pulled Por…
QAV 736 — RECENCY BIAS
In this episode of the QAV value investing podcast, Tony and Cam review the impressive US portfolio performance with a rise of 44%, compared to the S&P’s 27%, and compare with the Australian portfolios. They discuss the recent performance of big caps versus small caps, MMS setbacks. Behavioral …
QAV 735 — F SCORES
In this episode, Tony and Cam discuss the performance of stocks in the US dummy portfolio, working with F Scores and Z Scores, with a deep dive on ENVA’s 39% rise and the risks of investing in some US-listed stocks like Chinese online tech company, STG. They cover recent events around YAL, ANZ,…
QAV 734 — Stockopedia Webinar
In this episode of QAV, Elio D’Amato from Stockopedia interviews Tony Kynaston. The discussion covers Tony’s investing principles, his journey from corporate management to investing, Tony’s philosophy of having a disciplined investment system, and key strategies he employs in his Quality at Value…
QAV 733 — Recovering
This week, Tony and Cam recap Tony’s Stockopedia webinar, delve into the unpredictability of stock forecasting, and share quotes from ‘What Works on Wall Street’, David Waldron’s new book, and Dean Williams. They interview QAV listener Conrad on his modifications of QAV strategies and dis…
QAV 732 — Water Off A Duck’s Back
In this episode, Tony and Cam break down recent market volatility impacting ASX and global indices, discuss the ‘SAHM rule’ for predicting recessions, and analyze major stock movements, including the MAG 7. They dive into Warren Buffett’s strategic moves with Berkshire Hathaway and Apple sh…
QAV 731 — Getting High with VIT
Tony and Cam break down the sharp drop in FND stock and the impact of new shareholders, review Karoon market updates, and explore an activist investor’s push for a new dividend strategy.
QAV 730 — Consistency Is The Key
In this episode of the QAV podcast, we look at recent news involving SGI, ATP, FGM, CVL, AX1 and a deep dive into ABB’s recent share price drop and business fundamentals. We discuss listener Conrad’s successful modification of the QAV investment system, which led to a 31.4% return in the last yea…
QAV 729 — The Trump Bump
In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly are discussing a record-high in the All Ordinaries index spurred by the ‘Trump bump’, Aussie Broadband’s sudden dive (ABB), portfolio results, more FY survey results, MLX’s bump, the Shipping Crisis, thoughts about integr…
QAV 728 — Fixing The U.S. Checklist
In this episode of the QAV podcast, Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly discuss the necessary improvements and changes to their US portfolio, including updates to their buying checklist and new financial metrics. Tony does a pulled pork on the U.S. company Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC). In…
QAV 727 — Great FY Results
In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly cover a range of topics at the start of the new financial year. They begin the resilience in financial and property markets amid global interest rate hikes, and how the gig economy affects unemployment rates. They also tou…
QAV 726 — Negative Waves
In episode 726 of QAV, Tony and Cameron pay tribute to the late Donald Sutherland, then shift to discussing fluctuations in the crude oil market, a deep dive into Ben Graham’s investment principles and their relevance today, alongside a detailed analysis of TabCorp Holdings, the market’s over-rea…
QAV 725 — Mr Lazy & Mr Dumb
In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dive into recent market activities, the RBA’s decisions, the Lindy Effect, substantial shareholder announcements, and GrainCorp’s prospects, along with a detailed analysis of Embark Early Education (EVO). Member questions about living off a share port…
QAV 724 — Our First U.S. Episode
In this episode of QAV, Cam and Tony explore the U.S. market for the first time, with a brief introduction of Tony and his QAV system of value investing, a discussion of value v growth investing, a discussion of the performance of our U.S. dummy portfolio, a deep dive or ‘Pulled Pork’ segment on …
QAV 723 — The Vulcan Fudge
Join Tony and Cameron in episode 723 of QAV as they discuss a variety of topics ranging from American barbecue joints to the Hunter Biden lawsuit. Tony talks about his relaxing golf trip down the East Coast and the challenges of selling a house. Then we discuss Vulcan level emotional detachment i…
QAV 722 — WELTANSCHAUUNG
In this episode, Tony provides insights into recent retail sales figures, the market’s reaction, and the concept of ‘confession season’ in the corporate world. Then he conducts a detailed ‘Pulled Pork’ segment on Stealth Group (SGI), a tool retailer, evaluating its financial health, market perfor…
QAV 721 — Dr No
In 721 we discuss the pain of FND, why Aussie investors keep investing in unprofitable companies, and TK does a Pulled Pork on SRV. In the club edition only: the myth of the ‘new normal’, why LIC AFIC is selling below its NTA, how Aussie investors can benefit from the AI boom, what we shou…
QAV 720 — Boom!
The Budget cometh, Lessons in Kindness from Buffett, and a Deep Dive into Boom Logistics. Also in the Club edition: Reflections on Jim Simons and Quant Investing, Navigating Market Fluctuations: FND and FPR Updates, Exploring VYS’s Surge, Elon Musk’s Suggestion to Warren Buffett, Marcus has a q…
QAV 719 — Peaking at 99
This week we’re talking about the Berkshire Annual Meeting, China’s gold purchases, a pulled pork on EHL (Emeco Holdings), SXE profit guidance update, Regression testing Price < Cons, Activists vs Karoon Energy (KAR), Austal (ASB) backers want Hanwha Group in the race, TRS is a 3PTL Sell, Apollo …
QAV 718 — Poifect!
This week we’re talking to Matt Walker about his regression testing system, Stock Doctor’s continuing data quality issues, NCK’s UK expansion, HMC Capital takes aim at GNC, fudging DUR and LAU, and get some insider information about Austal Ships.
QAV 717 — The Power of Sacrifice
This episode includes a deep dive analysis of Bank of QLD (BOQ), Joyce Corporation Ltd (JYC) and Atlas Pearls Ltd (ATP), Howard Marks on Chess and Risk, Dummy Portfolio and dividends, and a regression testing update on QAV scores.
QAV 716 — The Omnishambles
The AORD dropped this week, as did BOQ, TK does a Pulled pork on RSG. Also in the Club edition: WOW’s CEO threatened with time in the big house, FND does an Indian ATM deal, TK talks about the Pulled Pork and Billionaire Portfolios.
QAV 715 — The Fourth of the Fourth
The IMF on China, Diller on Trump Social, Bitcoin and Beanie Babies, pulled pork on A1M. Also in the Club edition: Cash and Armaguard, Anscombe’s Quartet, Regression testing, Tesla veers to the EV slow lane, Ex-defence minister Pyne is Hanwha’s man in Canberra, Karoon plots path from oil jun…
QAV 714 — Tessellating Nonagons
This week: Daniel Kahneman RIP, Sturgeon’s Law, Pulled pork on ASB Plus, in the Club edition: Valuing Bitcoin, Coking coal a sell, New Regression Testing results, Alchemy substack, Collins St does well again, ABB news, the performance of founder lead companies.
QAV 713 — Highly Sensitive Stocks
This week: Do ASX investors need to get used to expensive stocks, and a pulled Pork on G8 Education (GEM). Also in the Club edition: theories on why KSC spiked, whether AMC CEO’s sudden resignation is a red flag, MEA is being sold, Macquarie’s new FOMO meter, ABB’s Superloop troubles, and…
QAV #712 — China Beats Expectations… Again
This week, while the RBA meets, we talked about ABB dropping 20% in a day, steel and coking coal fall, China’s economy beats expectations in the West, regression testing update, Damstra (DTC) is taken over, and a pulled pork on MSV.
QAV #711 — Business As Usual
This week: Delisting of TGA, VUK acquisition, Pulled pork on BOQ. In the Club edition only: SD fix NWS issue, IRI loses Chair of Audit Committee, Tony’s testing on 2BL sell trigger, Tony answers questions about how to manage a portfolio if you move overseas, reducing our average daily trades…
QAV #710 — Do Ya Think I’m Sexy?
This week: AORD his another all-time high, reporting season is over (but now we’re in ex-div season), ING recorded a massive profit but the market dumped it anyway, Pulled pork is on Regis Healthcare (REG). Also on the Club edition: Ray Dalio thinks the Mag7 are “fairly priced”, Collins S…
QAV #709 — The Architect (fixed)
This week: We discuss our favourite bits of Buffett’s new annual letter, and Tony does a pulled pork on Vulcan Steel (VSL). Also in the Club Edition: We discuss the results of a new 20% Rule 1 simulation, Reporting Season News, LNG is a sell, Data shows Cathie Wood’s Ark is one of the worst fu…
QAV #708 — Buridan’s Ass (fixed)
This week: The market remains buoyant on the back of positive earnings, DTL crashes 22%, Buridan’s Ass, Pulled Pork AGL. Also in the Club edition: Darryl’s portfolio analysis, Magnificent 7 profits now exceed almost every country in the world, SD ASX 300 change, Jordan’s Renko and hugline …
QAV #707 — Three Men and a Tiger
This week: Market and portfolio updates; Nick Scali and Myer jump on profit results; the pitfalls of passive investing; the cracks deepen beneath the market’s surface; Woodside Santos merger collapsed; pulled pork on MME. Also in the Club edition: Lithium execs goolies; McDonald’s records …
QAV #706 — The Anti-QAV
This week on QAV: Market hit all time high, then retreated… because of McDonalds in Gaza?!; Portfolio report; pulled pork on Metcash (MTS). In the Club edition: CCP results and share price; System Justification Theory; Elon’s Tesla strategy; Jordan’s regression testing; hedging QAV with…
QAV #705 — Base-Rate Neglect
This week we’re talking about: Munger’s final portfolio, Base-Rate Neglect, Pulled Pork — TLS Plus, only on the Club edition: Evergrande liquidation, Aluminium and CAA, Fund managers reveal their big investment mistakes, Crypto still isn’t legit, Reporting season about to start, and usi…
QAV #704 — Investor Fatigue
On this week’s show: Retail traders are suffering from fatigue; Lithium and tech stocks crashing; AI means the cost of intelligence will plummet. Club edition also includes: Why TK keeps his mortgage facility open; Pulled pork on FND.
QAV #703 — The Curse of Knowledge
Market and portfolio updates, Brent’s secret QAV tweaks which delivered his terrific results, and GNC vs Wheat. In the Club episode, Pulled pork on Brambles (BXB), STOCKOPEDIA NAPS, the “Curse of Knowledge”, more discussion on Average True Range.
QAV #702 — Skill Compensation
TK’s back to talk about: “Santa Claus” rallies, a Pulled pork on Resimac RMC, and using an ATR stop loss. In our club episode, we’re also talking about how to score N/A on Health Stable or Increasing, and What I Learned About Investing from Darwin by Pulak Prasad, WHC & Thermal Coal, Skill C…
QAV #701 — Happy 2024!
On our first show of 2024, I’m covering how the market and our portfolio ended 2023, adding GEM back to a portfolio, TK has a pulled pork on COF, and I talk to ChatGPT about the role the USD being the world’s reserve currency plays in the strength of the US economy.
2023
QAV #652 — Depressive Realism
On our last episode for 2023, I’m flying solo, but I do have a pre-recorded pulled pork from TK on ERD, and I’m also talking about the sudden falls last week by CLX, MTO, and ASG, as well as the first of Morgan Housel’s “100 LITTLE IDEAS”. Only in the Club edition: I asked ChatGPT to p…
QAV #651 — Happy ASXMAS
On this episode: The AORD is having a good Xmas (so far), STW and AFI above their buy lines, our portfolios are doing well, pulled pork on CXO (Core Lithium) Club: new Commodity Status history feature, PRN poll, FPR net operating cf, CCP on a tear, talking about REITs, pulled pork on CXO (Cor…
QAV #650 — Turducken
On this episode we’re discussing Charlie Munger, pulled pork on ING, and if QAV is based on momentum and minimizing losses. In the club edition only: PRN’s guidance, ATP’s bump, ADT survey results, portfolio updates, RBA rate hold, MMS losing a govt contract, ASX 200 stocks with single-dig…
QAV #649 — Farewell Charlie / Ryan’s Analysis
On this week’s episode, I do a farewell to the late, great Charlie Munger, and in the Club episode, TK takes us through the analysis he and Ryan did about Rule 1 and buying from the top or bottom of our list.
QAV #648 — Management Quality
This week we’re talking about how we assess management quality, how to invest if you have a lumpy income, a pulled pork on MMS, and (only in the Club edition) Ridley Scott’s appalling Napoleon film.
QAV #647 — The BRHG
This week in the free episode we’re talking about how immigration is driving inflation, last week’s drama with KAR and NTD, how Oil briefly became a sell, breaking down BPT’s revenue from oil, the de-stapling of ABG and ASK. In the Club episode, we also discuss the CVL pulled pork curse, T…
QAV #646 — One Trick Pony
This episode: Australian income drops, Munger says we need to buy tech stocks, Pulled Pork on CVL. Club edition only: ASX historical average 13.2%, Iron ore and China, HESTA fined by ASIC, ANZ’s results lead to drop, how to deal with a situation when a buy list stock is in play, Interest rate ri…
QAV #645 — Punch Drunk
ASX making us feel punch drunk; QAN revolt; MQG profit drop; pulled pork SSM; Club edition only: JHG delisting; Light Sells analysis; new survey on ADT; SSR down; FPR up; Buffett’s cash pile; RBA meets; cup tips!
QAV #644 — It Will Be Ended
Commodity updates; FMG red flag status; how share incentive plans work; In the Club edition: Pulled pork DTL; what TK looks for when he does a pulled pork.
QAV #643 — A Technical Correction
We’re in a technical correction; staying fully invested; CCP collapse; new 3PTL sells number jumped this week; Pulled pork RRL; the performance of AFI. In the Club edition only: Is being rich a superpower?; staying enthusiastic during a long downturn; how TK differentiates between quality and v…
QAV #642 — Is This Time Really Different?
“This time it really might be different” says Marks; Portfolio update by Market Cap; Pulled Pork on PRN; In the Club edition, we’re also talking about: Gold is a buy; PGH 2BL example; Chuck Feeney died; Joe Aston’s final Rear Window; Has TK found a maximum size where a portfolio stops gett…
QAV #641 — Dumb Money
The RBA holds rates; Israel Gaza and oil; Dumb Money v Wall Street; Joe Aston quits; HVN SD update; Red October; Pulled Pork on SXE; Quality Score vs QAV Score; How TK manages market downturns when leveraged; how TK plans to live off his portfolio in retirement in down years; why was beginning of…
QAV #640 — Chris from Stockopedia
Chris Batchelor from Stockopedia talks to us about how their product can help Australian (and international) investors make better investing decisions. Then in the Club edition, TK and I talk about the market rout, RBA and interest rates, portfolio performance, Woodside and Richard Goyder, the d…
QAV #639 — Holiday Mode
Rupert’s retirement, YAL PROPCAF update, portfolio report, pulled pork on KAR, using 3PTL with the ASX.
QAV #638 — Gaming The Numbers
CAGR reporting, YAL’s PrOpCaF, US Portfolio, SGM market update, Lithium a Sell for PLS, Viva Energy & Vitol, QAN troubles, Mortgage rate change 6.58%, CCP now ex-div, Brisbane catch up, Pulled Pork: WGX, borrowing against a mortgage to invest in shares, ex-dividend and Josephine status, and cha…
QAV #637 — Chairman Mabb (ASA) Returns
Steven Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association (and QAV Club member) returns to share his thoughts on proxy votes, QANTAS, Nick Scali, EML, Virgin UK, FMG, REM reports, AGMs, director workloads, auditors becoming board members, the value of independent directors, gender represen…
QAV #636 — Come On Now
Commodity Updates, WSI crash, Australia spooks global LNG markets, Buffett says he could make 50% return per year, FMG CFO quits, QAN in a bit of a pickle, Pulled pork on AIZ, are the sins of a former CEO carried forward, and an update from Tony on the use of RENKO charts.
QAV #635 — Sugar Hits
Wheat is a sell; FMG is a red flag; PLS results and crash; AFG results and crash; the cost of timing the market; great guns; QAN results; Pulled Pork MAH; where the money goes; beta volatility and QAV; US investors who claim their methodology returns 30% — 60% pa.
QAV #634 — Whitehaven Coal
This week on the show: PRN reports great results and crashes; China’s slowdown; US bond yields; SGM results; Pulled pork WHC; new mortgage rate; TK’s thoughts on Imugene (IMU) and share placements at a significant discount.
QAV #633 — Baby Bunting
Fitch downgrades the US, Lowe has new ideas about the RBA, NCK beats the pulled pork curse, MYR rebounds, iron ore falls (every October?), Baby Bunting pulled pork, and problems with Updater’s delisting.
QAV #632- Confidence Is Up/Down!
The market’s had a rough week, MYR collapses on good results, business confidence is up while consumer confidence is down, coking coal isn’t a sell after all, pulled pork on NCK, possible changes to Rule 1, BBN’s performance, and adding buybacks to the checklist.
QAV #631 — Goodbye, Mr Bond
This week we’re talking about what the CCP and TRS share price movements mean for the economy, the wheat price, the ‘year of the bond’, the difference between ETFs and LICs, and we have our interview with listener Brent Sweeney who recently attended the Berkshire Hathaway AGM in Omaha, Nebr…
QAV #630 — The Dead Zone
This week in the Club edition we’re talking about movements in Gold and Lithium prices, why Super Funds suck, why the ASX is in a “dead zone”, the big week of company reporting coming up, our Stockopedia trial, a pulled pork on KSL, URW selling down US malls, RIO in recycling push, technica…
QAV #629 — Keep On Truckin’
Cameron’s powers of prediction, FMG’s divorce, Bond payouts, what is a RINO, new QAV 3PTL sell alerts, do we get rid of 2BL / JOSEPHINE, Ryan’s analysis on 0.1 and ADT levels, Pulled Pork on LAU, the HOPE model, BRB / RMS takeover, sell-side vs buy-side analysts.
QAV #628 — Don’t Worry About Debt
LAU is a the new Michael Jordan; selling MQG; URW updates; wheat price confusion; club member results; pulled pork on NZM; investing in companies with high levels of debt or intangibles.
QAV #627 — Rubberband
It’s the end of FY23 and we reveal the QAV portfolio performance as well as our personal portfolio performance and discuss the performance of some QAV Club members. We also take a question from Alex about how young people might get started in investing, discuss the Dogs of the Dow, a pulled por…
QAV #626 — Is Investing Just Luck?
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash an…
QAV #625 — A Good Week!
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash an…
QAV #624 — The Tin Man
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash an…
QAV #623 — The RBA Hammer
While we waited for the RBA to raise rates yet again, TK talks about whether or not rates are the solution; builders going bust; ideas for what to do with our portfolio cash; the resignation of the Myer CEO; will DIY investors stay in the market; Navexa reporting issues; CGT positions; a pulled p…
QAV #622 — Debt Ceiling Blues
US debt ceiling hits the AORD; Doug Tynan uses A Checklist; Brettalator problems; Apollo is now THL; Using GPT to find companies with a qualified audit; Portfolio updates; Pulled pork on FPR; a refresher on operating cashflow v free cash flow; the correlation between VEA’s share price and crude…
QAV #621 — 95% Discipline
This week we discuss the rough week in the AORD, with lots of sell and not much to buy; Commodity updates; sudden drops by CLX and ALO; tips on investing from Morgan Housel, author of The Psychology of Money, and a pulled pork on FHE.
QAV #619 — Other People Doing Dumb Things
On this episode we got so carried away talking about the highlights of the 2023 Berkshire Hathaway AGM, the OML drop, HotCopper pump and dumper gets prison, Light portfolios beating the benchmark, review the “The Lowest PE” rules, QAN replacing its CEO, NAB getting sold off, pulled pork on PL…
QAV #618 — A Chat with GPT4
Tony is on his way back from Toronto, so I decided to have a chat about investing with the second smartest intelligence I know — ChatGPT.
QAV #617 — Live From Toronto
Live from Toronto, we talk about the portfolio’s recent performance, steel is now a sell, pulled pork on NAB, share investing vs share trading for tax purposes, update on Renko charts, and the new Brettalator update.
QAV #616 — Quick & Dirty & Easy
Copper is a buy but C6C is being sold; Buffett on Bankers; Pulled Pork MIN; Josephine timing; multiple positions and Rule 1; do uptrends continue; LAU new securities issues; investing during foreign conflicts.
QAV #615 — Simon Shepherd, TING
Our guest on this pre-recorded short episode is Simon Shepherd from The Investment Newsletter Group. They conduct detailed stock by stock, newsletter by newsletter tracking of many of the top buy recommendations from Australian investing newsletter — a worthy service. Find out more at: https://ww…
QAV #614 — Viva Las Vegas
A short show today as TK is in totally Viva La Vegas and we didn’t have many questions. Portfolio & commodity updates; ALO acquisition; ETF update; pulled pork on RMS; and insights into URW.
QAV #613 — Tim Lincoln, Stock Doctor
Today our guest is Co-Founder and Managing Director of the company that produces Stock Doctor — Tim Lincoln. Tim co-founded the company in 1991 with his father Dr. Merv Lincoln and Stock Doctor was launched 6 years later, in 1997. Today, Tim has grown a highly successful financial technology and …
QAV #612 — The MAXIMS of QAV
Lots of selling, not much to buy; The MAXIMS of QAV; RMS makes takeover offer yesterday for BRB; Bank Hybrids wiped out in UBS takeover of Credit Suisse; Banks and trust; Pulled pork : Ooh Media (OML); update on heavy mineral sands products; what to do when you have a commodity sell, but the day …
QAV #611 — Monkeys & Bananas
Black Monday in the bond market points to pain ahead; the impact of the SVB Collapse; Comms update; S32 — sell or not?; RBA lifts rates to 3.6%; Brett Fisher on Renko charts; Pulled Pork: SRX; using TTM for Op. cashflow; ZIM and its capital return.
QAV #610 — Psychopathic Cultures
Another RBA rate rise; BRI’s underlying commodity; ASIC sues Mercer Super; GNC maps to bushel prices; LAU & IGL made the S&P All Ordinaries; Gerry Harvey wheels out his old material; Guy Debelle pops up at Super Fund; Solly Lew creeps another 3% up the Myer share register; Mortgage Rate survey …
QAV #609 — Just a Few Winners
US inflation drives the ASX down; Wheat is a Josephine; Portfolio is up 16.14%; DP recent trades; Tony’s three life lessons; Ray Dalio existing Bridgewater; Aussie CEOs denying reality; QAN profit; Super changes; Berkshire Report; Mortgage rate drop to 6.45%; pulled pork on COH; CCP results; is…
QAV #608 — Denial
Market and portfolio updates; Pulled pork kibosh on FBU; Iron Ore is a buy again, but Andrew Forrest is insane in the membrane; Charlie is 99 and still doing LIVE Q&A for Daily Journal; Gurufocus v Stock Doctor data; AMP Results; WHC results; CGF — Annuities benefitting from Higher interest rates…
QAV #607 — Dow Theory
Portfolio updates; Market’s had a rough week; Thermal Coal Sell line; CDM shouldn’t be on the buy list; Yields rose as Lowe, traders lunched; RBA raises rates; Seven in potential merger with HT&E; Elon Musk sat with Rupert Murdoch at the Superbowl; Pulled Pork is FBU; U.S. v AUS short-term ca…
QAV #606 — The FOMO Rally
Portfolio Updates, commodity updates , NCM takeover, WHC coal breakdown, RBA to lift rates, the FOMO rally, Pulled Pork on NCK, R1 trigger on commodities, a tighter sell line for MYR, What time of day does TK buy and sell, fudging AMP’s sell line, penny stocks and Rule 1, WDS commodity breakdow…
QAV #605 — A Wet Barnbougle
Dummy Portfolio slipped a bit thanks to coal; Chanticleer and the Chook Super Fund; FMG result; ADANI and activist investors; pulled pork on CMM
QAV #604 — The Classy Gentleman
Portfolio updates; Feedback on Fees; RIP David Hains; Member results; retailers results due to inflation; Pulled Pork SEQ; Is NGI a LIC; using your own rate of interest; Ethical Investing; When to sell; Increasing Investing.
QAV #603 — Lithium Lovers
Updates on commodities and our portfolios; Collins St Value Fund performance vs the DP; FMG has 2 finance departures; Mortgage rate survey now 6.5%; Magic Millions horse sales setting new record; QAVvers and fees saved; confession season; the lithium lovers are alive and kicking; using a home loa…
QAV #602 — Budgie Smugglers
Munger turns 99, Commodity updates, Portfolio updates, commodity status on buy list, Pulled Pork on VUK, Brent’s returns, TK’s new year resolutions, AMPs situation re Dexus, FMG exodus, buying stocks when their sell line is above the rule 1
QAV #601 — Best Of The Early Interviews
As TK is still on vacation, I went over our interviews from the first years of the show (2019–2020) and created this compilation of some interesting tidbits. I hope you enjoy it. The guests are: Steve Sammartino Roger Montgomery Nicholas Gruen Tobias Carlisle Michael Goldberg
2022
QAV #551 — Alert But Not Alarmed
In this final episode for 2022, I’m actually going back to early 2020 and taking a look at how Tony managed the COVID crash. It’s something TK suggested a while back, because it’s a good study / reminder on how he thinks in times of market uncertainty.
QAV #550 — The Pulled Pork Kibosh Test
It’s that time of the year when I give TK a break and put together a couple of compilations from the year that was. This time I decided to put to the test the idea that Tony’s Pulled Pork put the kibosh on stocks. Is that true? Let’s find out.
QAV #549 — Windy and Wet
RBA and rates, Coal, Iron Ore and Gold are all buys, Portfolio update, bank dividends, Clough collapse and BPT, Pulled pork AGG, trailing stop losses, inflationary pressures, how TK comes up with hurdle rates, C6C selling it’s Australian assets, IRR v CAGR, share buybacks, how to get to Berkshi…
QAV #548 — Todd Barlow, Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd
Today we chat with Todd Barlow, CEO of Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd (SOL) about the investment strategy behind their impressive returns.
QAV #547 — Crystal Balls
TK’s historical returns; Pulled Pork kibosh on GNG; SKT consolidation; SGM — Iron and Steel Scrap; Buffett explains his $750 million charitable donation; RBA taking a lot of heat; beware annualised figures; Portfolio update; QAN upgrades again; CLX Upgrades; Fixed loan rates; $250k deposit guar…
QAV 546 — Retrospective Investing
Oil is a sell; Is WDS a sell?; Retrospective investing; Iron Ore Doomscrolling; Portfolio update; Selfwealth update; Pulled Pork S32; Stock Doctor filters fixed; MLX is tin; dividends contributions; share investing vs property investing returns.
QAV 545 — Price v Value
Melbourne get together; The Bitcoin valuation model; Fake Twitter crashes LLY; Light v Club; FTX/ SBF in AFR; Brettalator beta; portfolio update; The mortgage rate; Nickel is a buy; QAV Stocks in the news; Australian banking’s Mr Clean; Pulled pork Self Wealth; What the hell are futures markets…
QAV 544 — Follow The Recipe
The Dismal Science; gold is a buy; portfolio is killing it (too good?); what to do if your performance sucks; ‘loss-aversion’ bias; NHC buy back; CRN ends talks with Peabody; New month, new alerts; Pulled Pork — DBI; what to do when there’s a big gap between Buyers and Sellers; Rule#1 Clari…
QAV 543 — The Mounting Yard
Portfolio benchmarking, RBA interest rate rise, Thermal Coal sell line, JHG dividend, what to do when you R1 a stock that’s on top of the buy list (IMA), Wheat price on the rise, new Berkshire book, SUL trading update, WHC — MOAB Away, The FAANG index, Oil and Copper are a buy, what about Alum…
QAV 542 — Expose Yourself
Commodity and portfolio updates, AMP AGM, WHC buyback, NWH Pulled Pork, GOLD ETF, reinvesting dividends, how the AORD works, Tony’s investment spread.
QAV 541 — Bipolar Mr Market
The bipolar Mr Market, commodity updates, PE clarifications in Bible, Qantas upgrade, ATL owned Camplify acquires European base, Howard Marks raising money, Pulled pork on SLH, Tony’s coffee with SOL CEO, why Tony has always been invested in WAM, advice on how to find a financial adviser, what …
QAV 540 — No Secrets
Oil, copper and gold commodity movements, SDG bought for the DP, but it’s in rundown, Pulled pork request from Ally: BST, Interest rate changes to Master spreadsheet, dividend payments and sell lines, investment prioritization and risk tolerance, 2% capital loss/risk rule, the TGA share consoli…
QAV 539 — Coked Up
Liz Truss is a genius ; COAL — if thermal is a buy, and coking is a Josephine, how do we treat YAL; I screwed up with SMR today; Portfolio updates; RBA increasing rates today; David Gottesman, Warren Buffett Partner, Dies; The market PE ratio is falling; Recession in my mind, is almost certain; A…
QAV S05E37 — Under Pressure
Founder-lead businesses; dividend payment dates; Stock Doctor and updated results; keeping LICs off the buy list; Renko chart update; RBA governor under pressure; new large cap stocks; setting up a $100k DP; GNP pulled pork; NL stands for No Liability; the benefit of taking profits.
QAV S05E36 — The Beeping Royals
Which stocks are pushing up the AORD; the making of a millionaire study; commodity changes; TER results; Pulled pork ALO; Renko charts and time frames; RRL sell line; sell lines and “not losing profits”; how TK does regression testing; would TK buy something that doesn’t have a sell line.
QAV S05E35 — QAVLENGTH
Iron Ore is a sell; Down days, up days… what about neutral days; Rule 1 and dividends; Josephine but above its 2BL; Happy birthday Warren; Taylor’s article; Pulled Pork: SMR; SGM less impacted by the iron ore price; GRR and Renko charts; ALO, a scalable software play; moving average v 3PTL;…
QAV S05E34 — The Qaverick
Time to check your 3PTL alerts; spare a thought for poor Andrew Forrest; NCK’s results; Ophir fund performance; Portfolio updates; Reversal of fortune for BPT, back on the buy list; Some old friends return to the buy list — SUL, BFG and WHC; SGM is a scrap metal recycler tied to the iron ore pr…
QAV S05E33 — Astrology For Men
Our guest today is Brisbane-born, LA-based Tobias Carlisle, PM of Acquirers Funds, author of The Acquirer’s Multiple and Deep Value, and co-host of the Acquirers podcast. We talk about the current state of value investing in the USA and why macro economics is “Astrology For Men”.
QAV S05E32 — QAV A Good Week
On this episode: Signs of Coming Economic Horror, gold is a sell, CGF punished, portfolio update, mortgage rates update, reporting season updates, nickel close to a buy, BPT misses guidance, Pulled pork on SDG, OGC delisting, SKT pulls out of Media Works, filtering the list for dividends.
QAV S05E31 — How High Is Your IQ(AV)?
We bid farewell to ONJ; Portfolio update; 3PTL reminder; Catch phrase comp; Oil is almost a sell; Gold AUD no longer a sell; Pulled pork is KPG; AFIC Net Asset Backing; Is Copper a buy; Is TK fully invested currently or still being cautious; the longest period of under performance TK has experien…
QAV S05E30 — Light and Magic
Aluminium is now a buy; CCP down on results; MLD takeover; RIO results; owner-managed companies outperform; Pulled Pork SOL; the “wine selection” of iron ore blends; YAL drop on Glencore sale; where TK gets his news during reporting season.
QAV S05E29 — Let’s Get Physical
We farewell a QAV member; gold is a sell; iron ore is close; pump and dumpers duped millions out of Aussie investors; BPT results; Buffett’s casino analogy; profit taking driving up inflation; Duncan on asset washing; pulled pork on ACL; using the 3PTL on ETFs; has TK done better out of mining …
QAV S05E28 — Discipline
During turbulent times, we have to have discipline; Elon and Twitter; MHJ shares up on strong quarterly sales; Iron ore about $5/Ton above its fudge sell line; Pulled Pork — AMO; MQG’s cash flow; CFO of ASX Ltd has announced her departure — a bad sign?
QAV S05E27 — The Coppock Curve
This week: I caught COVID, stochastic processes, interest rate rise, growth after corrections, Munger invests in Australia, the Coppock Curve, Buffet backs BYD, Pulled pork on WHC, 2BL examples, banks and downturns, and underlying indicators for retail.
QAV S05E26 — Happy New Year
As the financial year has ended, we discuss our portfolio performance, and then discuss BYE’s qualified audit, Confession season, mortgage rates, Pulled Pork is NZM, Iron Ore prices, 2nd Buy Line examples, and dollar cost averaging vs going all in.
QAV S05E25 — Michael Goldberg Returns
Michael Goldberg from Collins St Value Fund joins us again to talk about how they are managing the current market. This interview was conducted on June 8, so please take that into account.
QAV S05E24 — White-knuckle
This is “the white-knuckle part of the cycle”. Portfolio update. Iron ore and gold charts. Stockhistory v Stock Doctor prices. GMA and mortgage issuances. The milk stool legs. RBA and inflation. Small rods is WAY down. Wash-selling. PE contraction. Pulled pork on WDS. Benching Michael Jordan.…
QAV S05E23 — Dr Jenny Fagg, 2Be
Our guest today is Dr Jenny Fagg, CEO, 2Be. Jenny has had a long career in banking and finance, with roles including Chief Risk Officer of AMP Limited, EVP of Products and Payments at CIBC, one of Canada’s five top banks, CEO and Managing Director of ANZ National Bank Limited, New Zealand’s lar…
QAV S05E22 — Musical Chairs
Why investing is a little like musical chairs at the moment; why we should like it when the market makes mistakes; Apple announces BNPL service; changes to cash rate; Pulled Pork on PGL; Yancoal takeover update; Iron Ore no longer a Josie; fundie performance limited by short-termism; how to stay …
QAV S05E21 — Excesses And Corrections
My circle of competence is just QAV ; Election result, investing implications ; SEQ and the “second buy line” ; outperformance by founder-led companies ; NHC’s big drop ; YAL halt ; Murph from ABC died ; Howard Marks’ latest memo on investor psychology ; Sri Lanka defaulting on $18bn of …
QAV S05E20 — The Contra Guys
A few months ago, one of our members put me on to Benj Gallander and Ben Stadelmann, two Canadian value investors who go by the moniker “Contra the Heard” (http://www.contratheheard.com). They’ve been around a long time, have a track record almost as good as Tony’s, and they have a checklist!…
QAV S05E19 — Outfoxed
We’ve been banned from talking about crypto and fund managers; Mark’s checklist for the checklist; kids and investing; commodity update; portfolio update; are we counter cyclical; new results in SD for ECX and NAB and PDL; CGT planning; top 3 LICs; S32 update; Renko charts; setting Josephine …
QAV S05E18 — Blood On The Streets
There’s blood on the streets! We introduce the underlying commodity Josephine rule, MML is now X64, aluminium is a sell, iron ore sell fudge, RBA lifts interest rates, Rule 1 price for penny stocks, pulled pork on PDL, what is a “Cash settled total return swap”, investing during interest rate…
QAV S05E17 — Profit Pause
We’re talking about the Berkshire AGM, poor fund manage performance, pulled pork on AMP, the TRS CEO departure, CCP’s drop, linear v log charts for 3PTL, and everyone’s fear of low sell Iines.
QAV S05E16 — Chairman Mabb
We are joined by guest Steven Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association, to talk about the importance (or not) of voting in AGMs and how the ASA can help. Later we talk about: BRK AGM this weekend, China’s lockdown, Netflix’s stock price, PGL on our buy list, the Solomons and …
QAV S05E15 — When You Predict
Afterpay losses explode; natural gas prices at 13-year high; Stocks of the week; Portfolio update; selling SFC; Yield curve has righted itself; BRK has invested $22bn in purchases this year; PRU pulled pork; where to find board ownership if no SD; foreign connections to a non-democratic country; …
QAV S05E14 — Know Your Product
RIP Chris Bailey; Platinum is a sell, but is ZIM a platinum company?; How will the federal election affect us as investors?; BEN is the pulled pork; the actual connection between Reserve Bank rates and mortgage rates; investing in diverse management teams.
QAV S05E13 — Trouble At The Mill
Financial health RATING v TREND in the checklist, fund manager performance, Ukraine war driving up mining and energy profits, CAA aluminium pass through, RBA rates, PP on MAM, Tony coming to QLD, Salary Sacrifice into super, OP/CF vs SD OP/CF, FFX sovereign risk and poor financial performance.
QAV S05E12 — Goin Fishin
AMI bad news; Navexa and CAGR; Stocks of the week; Santos’ big discovery; Max Walsh RIP; Twiggy’s perpetual train; BPNL bloodbath; ABA pulled pork; how to understand yield curve inversion; the psychology of investing; ECX and petrol prices; How does TK manage his portfolio when he’s on holi…
QAV S05E11 — Flogs
Hamish Douglass resigns from Magellan board; Russia spiralling towards $210b default nightmare; “Asset Manager Capitalism”; Copper is a buy; GRR is now a Star Stock; MQG is back on the buy list; pulled pork on MQG; petrol and EVs; Buy Now or Later; how quickly Tony sells; are we crazy to be s…
QAV S05E10 — The Wet Finger Test
Update from Denis in Ukraine; YAL dividend and drop; Copper is a sell; Another construction company collapse; ASG pulled pork; buying new entries; MML CEO’s sudden exit; WGX announced capital raising; leaving a 10% gap between buy and sell price; CAA and the aluminium price; how to evaluate sto…
QAV S05E09 — Coat Lifters
War driving demand for precious metals; how to gross up the sell price of a stock going ex-dividend; tech pipe dreams; new consensus target date filter; Denis contributions; MML revenue drop and bad news; rebuying a stock you’ve just sold; using EMA and SMA or “price change 1 month” to calculat…
QAV S05E08 — The Sound Of Cannon
Markets and War; bank rate increase; MWY bad results; Construction collapse; Berkshire’s annual letter; GRR results; Portfolio average hold time; outdated consensus valuations; is five year relative strength important; calculating CAGR in Excel; red flag if DPR of greater than 100%.
QAV S05E07 — Overconfidence
This week we’re talking about Navexa portfolio issues, overconfidence in investors, Murph resigns from Berkshire, Berkshire invests in a crypto bank, Munger’s recent Q&A, BFG’s money laundering problems, HUM’s acquisition by LFS, CGF back on the buy list, S32 is Tony’s pulled pork, Ares…
QAV S05E06 — The Pendulum
Copper is a buy again, why VUK’s audit it NOT qualified, ASX CEO resigns, the impact of petrol prices, portfolio update, SGR has a qualified audit, NUF is the pulled pork, how to work with a stock you inherit, why we have no cut-off for low Quality scores, Tony’s average holding period, Andre…
QAV S05E05 — Scientific Fiddling
As we’re joined by special guest Taylor Reilly, we talk about flatulent labels, redefining how a stock comes out of being a Josephine, our portfolio performance for the FY, a pulled pork on CCP, Greenblatt and LEAPS, when to sell after a 3PTL breach, should MAM be on the list, what to do with s…
QAV S05E04 — Carry A Towel
Jam packed show this week! Losing money is one thing, losing your nerve is everything ; Iron ore hits $150/ton; CCP results are out, Stock price up 7% over last 2 days; ASX200 down 6.3% for January; How to calculate the Gold price; Stock of the week WLD; hostile takeover of IMA; investing during…
QAV S05E03 — Frogger
Talking about the current market volatility, and whether or not we should wait it out and go to cash; we discuss recent articles talking about “investing” in tech stocks and crypto; deep dive on RIO; explain how the Bank Bill Swap Rate works; whether or not new investors should wait until the…
QAV S05E02 — Howard Loses Marks
On this episode we talk about MYR becoming a sell; Tony’s problems with Howard Marks’ latest memo; the new AF sheet; and our stocks of the week, including Tony’s pulled pork on BPT. In the club episode we answer questions about using West Texas v Brent Crude, using Martin Roth’s Top Stoc…
QAV S05E01 — Bolshie Bankers
Indonesia temporarily bans coal exports; GWR up 80% in 3 weeks; ANZ pulled pork; NTD SPP and Tony’s thoughts on SPPs in general; CBA worth a punt; iron stock update; How often to update sell alerts.
QAV S05E00 — The Cleansing
In our first episode for 2022, we’re talking about my confusion over some recent 3PTL rule changes, platinum being a buy again, what a “cleansing prospectus” is, Gary’s stellar results, some changes to the buy list, a pulled pork on CIA, CAA and aluminium, Nufarm’s cash flow, how to tre…
2021
QAV S04E52 — Best Of 2021
It’s time for our last show of the year and my annual tradition of trying to pick some highlights from the last 12 months. This year I’m mostly focusing on the journey we went through with iron ore. Back in January 2021 we were talking about FMG and the stellar run it had been on, and why we were…
QAV S04E51 — In the Rough
In this episode we’re talking about MYR and LAU warnings, replacing GAP with GWR, CAA upgrade to guidance, Trading View commodity alerts, our stocks of the week (FEX, GMA), our best portfolio stocks for the week, the world’s second tallest building is a warning sign, and CGF’s business mode…
QAV S04E50 — The Gibbonator
We chat with Luke “The Gibbonator” Gibson about his QAV-based YouTube channel “The Gibson Hustle”, about copper becoming a sell, iron ore becoming a buy, whether or not BHP is an iron ore or a copper company, Nufarm chemicals, and Magellan’s woes. In the club edition, we also talk abo…
QAV S04E49 — 2021 The Dumpster Fire
This episode is mostly a recap of lessons learned, highlights and lowlights of 2021. We talk about our portfolio performances (eg the QAV portfolio, and our own personal portfolios) in this difficult calendar year, Tony talks about how there seems to be a crisis every three years, and we answer a…
QAV S04E48 — Get Back Omicron
This week we talk about the market’s reaction to Omicron, the new AF worksheet, builders collapsing, Howard Mark’s latest memo, new sells, our top stocks of last week, our stocks picks for this week and whether or not we should go to cash in the current market and wait for things to improve. …
QAV S04E47 — Xi Is Listening
This week: missing the SUN sell; New Brettalator version; keeping an eye on the sell lines for the stocks of the week; the three fingers of the economy; the MQG SPP; the WAF SPP; Top 3 Dummy Portfolio stocks for the week; NAB is removed from the Buy list; SA enquiry into Kangaroo Island port; CCP…
QAV S04E46 — The Three Fingers
This week: missing the SUN sell; New Brettalator version; keeping an eye on the sell lines for the stocks of the week; the three fingers of the economy; the MQG SPP; the WAF SPP; Top 3 Dummy Portfolio stocks for the week; NAB is removed from the Buy list; SA enquiry into Kangaroo Island port; CCP…
QAV S04E45 — Jiggery Pokery
This week we’re talking about our top three stocks from last week (PRU, BFG, CVL), SHJ (the quiet sleeper), why you shouldn’t innovate until you’re a QAV black belt, why we should NOT filter Price-to-Operating Cash Flow < 7 (whoops), and why Rule #1 is important. In the Club edition, we ta…
QAV S04E44 — Quo Vadis
This week we’re congratulating Brett and Rowan on their performance, talking about KPT turning into KIL, ZGL’s sudden collapse, new ANZ numbers, the iron ore chart fudge, our top three performing stocks from last week, Tony’s stock tips of the week (IMA and AMI), whether we should hold for …
QAV S04E43 — Candlestick Queen
This week we feature an interview with Louise Bedford, aka Candlestick Queen, author and Founder of Talking Trading. We chat with Louise about why there aren’t more women in investing, how to use candlesticks, and what it takes to be a long-term successful investor. In our club edition, we al…
QAV S04E42 — Vatican II
We talk about AIS starting to get coverage, the COG chart (again), our stock tip performance, our portfolio update, Charlie Munger speaking at Sohn Hearts & Minds, the SXL chart, the ASX200 average Price:CashFlow, lumber is a 3PTL buy, changes to the checklist, copper is a buy again, and SFR is o…
QAV S04E41 — Coal Stocks & Ethics
This week we talk about hydrogen futures, the MOZ graph, our portfolio performance, selling MTO, our stock tip performance, Tony’s new idea to replace the 3PTL, GCY back on the buy list, CTP, IDZ’s qualified audit, mixed commodity miners, MMS, CLX, EHL. In the Club edition, we discuss the e…
QAV S04E40 — Gladys & Napoleon
This week we introduce the “Gladys” graph and the “Napoleon” line. We talk about our stocks of the week (NHC, CVW), the doom and gloom in the global markets and how to use QAV to stay sane, the MYR collapse, how to calculate the sell line for SDG post-dividend, and the charts for AMI, BSE…
QAV S04E39 — SPARKLINES
This week we chat about MYR (Tony’s pulled pork), MHJ (our small cap stock of the week), live cattle futures, FMG as a challenger buy, ATL’s price increase, MWY back on the list, selling off the banks, using Sparklines and Excel’s STOCKHISTORY, discounting one-off cashflow events, getting b…
QAV S04E38 — The Brettalator
We chat with James Williamson, value investor, and Founder, Executive Director & Chief Investment Officer at Wentworth Williamson Management. We also talk about Brett’s new 3PTL tool, Gary’s terrific QAV-based paper returns on Strawman, MYE fatality and price drop, ZGL price update, FMG — hu…
QAV S04E37 — Keep Your QAV Moist
This week on QAV we talk about Bloody Thursday, James’ great QAV results, how Navexa calculates portfolio returns, Buffett’s global market indicator, CVW hiring investment bankers, CCV’s new QAV score, audit reports still coming out, ATL’s audit, lobbying ASIC about 4E statements, Josephi…
QAV S04E36 — 4E or not 4E
Tony reports on his recent analysis on companies that go from a negative cashflow to a positive cashflow; Tony has been trying to find a place where a qualified audit is recorded that makes them easier to find than having to scroll through the annual report; GLE’s results are out and their shar…
QAV S04E35 — Seafood Tony
This week we have some big news, talk about some minor errors we’ve fixed in the checklist and bible, then Tony does a pulled pork on COG, we explain ASX’s cash flow anomaly from last week, Tony talk about some recent regression testing he has done on selling when the QAV score hits 0.5 and o…
QAV S04E34 — The Keith Moon of Investing
This week we pull the pork on EHL, and talk about JBH, QBE, copper, AMP, Warren Buffett’s goat, URW, SWM, HUM, RMS, BHP, ASX, BFG, MIL, ASB, MHJ, we chat with young investor Lachie Duncan, and answer a bunch of your questions.
QAV S04E33 — Rule #2
On this episode we talk about finding ASX300 stocks, CGF is the pulled pork, range trading, buying and selling during reporting season, Rule #2, calculating portfolio returns for volatile portfolios, natural gas, palladium, nickel and aluminium stocks, taking quality of management into considerat…
QAV S04E32 — The Big Rotation
Today Tony is talking a lot about commodity prices and what their decline means for our portfolio. Iron ore, gold, copper and platinum are all in decline. We also talk about the “Dogs of QAV” model, SKT, RIO, CBA, DSK, Superhero’s performance issues, and explain what a “Josephine” is.
QAV S04E31 — Rule #1
This week we talk about why MML crashed after it announced its quarterly results. How Tony uses “Rule #1” to avoid losing money. Lots of interesting things going on with oil at the moment. How mergers and acquisitions can be a signal of late market cycle behaviour. Why FMG’s huge dividend p…
QAV S04E30 — TKOA
This week we talk about MIL’s “Emphasis of Matter”, MXI’s trading halt, MTO’s sell line, MML’s sell line, ABA’s buy line, WWG’s QAV score, investing in QAV to build up a deposit for a property, Tony’s pulled pork is HZN, CBA’s sell line, MQG’s sell line, the oil price’s se…
QAV S04E29 — Gearing Up
Amendments to the 3PTL wording in the bible; how to calculate performance of a volatile portfolio; creating wealth by gearing a property; updating your 3PTL alerts; the pulled pork on SUN; sell lines for banks and other stocks with high QAV scores; KRM is stopping gold production, what does that …
QAV S04E28 — Headless Chickens
Another long episode (1.5 hours)! We talk about our performance vs the top funds; Buffett’s ABCs; Why TK bought gold miners over retailers last week; the idea of a “second peak”; HUM’s exposure to Forum Finance; the performance of the 2017 Dogs; a deep dive on MML and MIL; how Rule #1 wor…
QAV S04E27 — The Mystery of The Reducing Scores
This week we discuss our EOFY result (48%); decide to sell VUK again; MYR and Solly Lew; SOTW is GRR; the Sell price for BCN; contrarian investor Michael O’Higgins’s ‘Dogs of the Dow’ strategy; Duncan and The Mystery of The Reducing Scores; the Copper and Coal commodity prices; the chart…
QAV S04E26 — The Naked Auditor
A massive two hour episode (for club members) this week! We talk about Gary’s Strawman results, a final portfolio update for the FY, Tony’s SOTW (BCN), Dylan the Intern’s latest modelling on flatlines, the chart for MIL, why we sold ATL, lots of questions about using Simple Moving Averages,…
QAV S04E25 — The Big Mac Line
With the ASX in free fall, we talked about ATL’s sell line, selling VUK, some new stocks to hit my scorecard, including CLX, NGE, VTG and SHJ, Tony’s SOTW (KSC), comparing using MACD as a charting tool to the 3PTL, more thinking about how to use the new flatline rule, how to use indicators to…
QAV S04E24 — Flat Bottomed Girls
We debate the 3PTLs for ATL and AGD, talk about the recent jumps in price for AIS and CGS, the ANZ price, the lag in dividend payments, the results of Tony’s recent analysis of the performance of dividend stocks in the QAV portfolio, why fudge is science, the poultry price on indexmundi, how to…
QAV S04E22- James Holt, Perpetual
We chat with James Holt, Director, Investment Solutions at Perpetual, then get into news and Q&A. This week Tony answers your questions about how companies set their share price for a float, the application of Rule #1 vs. waiting for the sell line, shares that don’t seem to register any trade m…
QAV S04E21 — Hara-kiri
This week we’re talking about why we sold MRC and bought ATL; FMG is down and Tony’s current thinking about commodity 3PTLs; why we’re taking ETFs and LICs out of QAV; late stage market behaviour; SOTW; why we allow stocks in the scorecard with a quality score below 75%; why HUM is on the s…
QAV S04E20 — Navexa
In the first half of this episode we’re joined by Navarre Trousselot & Thom Benny from Navexa, an online portfolio platform, who tell us a bit about the vision for their product and what they’ve seen investors doing lately. Then we talk about minimising brokerage fees, building a portfolio with l…
QAV S04E19 — The Beauty Pageant
We talk about the bank results; tech wreck; Buffett breaking the NASDAQ; Increasing Net Equity v NEPS; re-naming the “buy list”; LICS and NTA; Price to Operating Cashflow for ETFs; Tony’s performance today vs when he had a smaller portfolio; CCV’s buy line; where the Top 200 ASX stocks ca…
QAV S04E18 — The Trivia King
This week we recorded while I was staying with Tony down at Cape Schanck! We talked about the collapse of BPT, why ATL is our SOTW, the highlights of the Berkshire Hathaway 2021 AGM, the importance of price to cashflow in our checklist, Stock Doctor’s coverage of A2 Milk, why companies issue…
QAV S04E17 — The Fourth Law of Motion
On this episode, we talk about our portfolio performance, SOTW, Colin Nicholson’s three market stages, Jack Bogle’s fourth law of motion, if SSG is a sell, the value of private banking, the idea of using increasing equity per share, and investing in Early Stage Innovation Companies.
QAV S04E16 — The Gold Rush
This week we chat with Chris Stott, Chief Investment Officer at 1851 Capital and then get into our regular show, where we discuss the MRC collapse, the CAA takeover bid, Geoff Wilson’s LIC strategy, our SOTW (DSK), if MYR is close to a sell, DKM dropping off the buy list, directors transactions…
QAV S04E15 — The Whip
Regression testing with Dylan the intern; “A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation”; SOTW: MXI; Tony’s thoughts on investing in a NASDAQ 100 ETF; should keep our AGD shares; Why did TK skip past MYR on the buy list; capital raising only to institutional investors; How AGMs fit…
QAV S04E14 — Water Your Flowers
Ray Dalio on BTC. Lou Simpson’s investing philosophy. The proposed TLS break-up. Selling low dividend payers. Tolerance for older data. KRMs health score. 3PTL for ADH, HLA & HVN. Tony’s view on the Iron trend line. Replacing IV1 and IV2 with PE ratios.
QAV S04E13 — Home Invasions
This week: MRC firing their CEO and the price dropped 25% — why didn’t we sell?; Lincoln fund results; ASA webinar by James Holt; WAAAX performance 20/21; CVL down 13% since we bought it; MAH groundhog; Flitman model is out; red flags for companies that might go into a trading halt; why share pri…
QAV S04E12 — The Death Cross
Selling BEN; calculating portfolio performance; stocks being removed from an index; companies with just six months of data; timing of a new 3pt upturn; share buy backs; DPS vs EPS; qualified audits; Vocus (VOC) takeover; highest QAV scores for ASX200; “GOLDEN CROSS” and “DEATH CROSS”; company …
QAV S04E11 — Balancing The Fudge
Workshops; Lemmings; CBA launches BNPL service; CVL below the buy price; STOW = GCY; ZIM audit unsplatted; How Tony decided to sell a stock before the 3PTL; Should we fudge the ECX sell line; EVZ qualified audit; what metrics make up the SD IV; where Tony learnt how to draw 3PTL; gold price char…
QAV S04E10 — Xmas In March
The 2021 Buffett newsletter; Why we sold HAW & RMS; how important is negative EPS; the impact of unlisted share options; the high prices of the banking sector; Tony’s thoughts on Dividend reinvestment plans; and Tony’s thoughts on investing through high inflation or high interest rate environ…
QAV S04E09 — David Waldron
Our guest on this episode is American investor David Waldron, author of “Build Wealth With Common Stocks”, a great, new introduction to value investing.
QAV S04E08 — A Good Process
Selling HAW. GME lawsuit. Changes to disclosure law. Stock of the week. Return on Equity as a metric. Greater portfolio allocation for higher QAV scores. Trendline buffers. Manually entered scores. BOQ / ME merger. MXI qualified audit. MQG Capital Notes 5 raise. Selling “overvalued” stocks.
QAV S04E07 — Giving AFIC
The Kohler Effect. Broker Speak. ETF surge. Rudi on Value. The “Buffett indicator”. Stock of the week — BOQ. On market share buyback facilities. GDG and Pooled Development Fund (PDF). Reporting season patterns. MSV impairment announcement. Last Period Analysed column. KRM care and maintenance. …
QAV S04E06 — Zoom #4
This is the audio from our 4th Zoom call recorded 9 Feb 2021.
QAV S04E05 — QAV THE MOVIE
On this episode: GME update; BNPL stocks to be regulated in the UK; Roger Montgomery says there’s no ASX bubble; Stock Doctor commodity pricing; NCK is TK’s Stock of the Week; our portfolio EOM report; VUK cashflow; investing based on commodity prices; if TK would use options; what TK would d…
QAV S04E04 — The Naughty Corner
Hedge funds v Reddit. Ray Dalio on Bitcoin. Tony’s journal entries. Portfolio update. Regression testing Tobias Carlisle. TK’s “war stories” of the ’99/’00 bubble. CCV 3PTL Sentiment. KRM coming out the naughty corner. SD cashflow. Index Mundi data dates.
QAV S04E03 — Capitulation
This week: ASX lower on fears of US bubble. Howard Marks’ capitulation. Ray Dalio’s thoughts on a coming US civil war. Using Gross Revenue Growth per Share to value “growth” stocks. Stock of the week — KRM. Using a logarithmic price scale. Tony’s thoughts on the Blue-Chippers in the ASX. Determin…
QAV S04E01 — The Fudge Slope
In our first episode of 2021, we review our portfolio’s CY20 performance; margin loan rates; What TK does on a daily/weekly basis for managing his portfolio; relative QAV performance of large vs mid vs small cap companies; the ‘minimum’ amount of stock someone just getting started should buy; fud…
QAV S03E64 — 2020 Highlights
This is my highlight show for 2020. Obviously, from an investing perspective, 2020 was all about how to handle Australia’s first recession in 30 years and a major market correction, so I’ve pulled together some of Tony’s comments on those subjects in the first half of the year. To finish off the …
2020
QAV S03E63 — Damien Parker
Our guest on our final episode for 2020 is QAV Club member Damien Parker. He joined us recently to chat about his investing and business career. After a successful career in accounting and a failed property development business, Damien bounced back to write 30 business programs/manuals which gros…
QAV S03E62 — Don’t Judge The Fudge
Last week’s jump in HAW demonstrates why we don’t sell until something hits the 3PTL. Would Tony buy still FMG today? What are the risks of buying stocks with margin loans? Can we fudge the COVID cough? Should we try to predict the future? What about MLD’s capital raising? What happened wit…
QAV S03E61 — Zombie Value Investing
Is value investing back? Yes, according to the same people who reported it was dead last year. On this week’s episode we talk about Tony’s “Stock Of The Year”, why we use different Intrinsic Value calculations, whether or not WBC is a buy, whether or not stock consolidations are something…
QAV S03E60 — Dead Parrot
Can we ignore the COVID cough in our 3PTL charts? What do you do when you own stock in a delisted company? How would we treat Depreciation when thinking about CCP? Does a capital raise cause a bump in the price? Should we listen to Ray Dalio on diversification? Why did Tony buy SFR and not any of…
QAV S03E59 — Cameron Williams
Our guest today is Cameron Williams, sport editor at Channel Nine. You’ve probably seen him on The Today Show or Nine News. We talk about growing up in Emerald and how he ended up in a sports journalism career. Of course there’s some talk about horses and boxing, but there also a fair amount of t…
QAV S03E58 — Halloween Pumpkin
This week we discuss the current status of the Zimplats (ZIM) audit, Tony’s stock of the week, his recent journal entries, Kelly Partners (KPG), GuruFocus, and the KMD CEO.
QAV S03E57 — Doug Morris, Sharesight
Our guest is Doug Morris, CEO of Sharesight, the online stock portfolio tracker & reporting tool. We talk about his background, the vision behind Sharesight and how it can simplify investor’s lives. Tony is a convert!
QAV S03E56 — Premature Ejection
This week we talk about why our portfolio lagging the All Ords, sell lines for SSG and ADH, setting up a SMSF, using a DRP, AGM voting rights, qualified audit reports, and regression testing.
QAV S03E55 — Andrew Page, Strawman
Our guest on this episode is Andrew Page, founder of Strawman, an online community of investors providing members with independent, peer-reviewed research and recommendations on the sharemarket. We talk about the thinking behind Strawman and how investors can get the most out of it.
QAV S03E54 — Three Balls In The Water
On this week’s show we talk about the HAW price drop, a highlight from the ASA conference, the Aurelia Metals capital raising, Tony’s stock of the week JBH, and answer some of your questions about UWL, AX1, DKM, SFR, RRL NWH, AKG, how Tony calculates his returns, and why we use a 5 year chart wit…
QAV S03E53 — Richard Ivers
Richard Ivers is Portfolio Manager at Prime Value Asset Management, looking after their small cap portfolio. We chatted with him this week about his approach to finding value stocks.
QAV S03E52 — Groundhog Day
Tony does a deep dive explanation on the Kelly Criterion and we discuss the challenges in applying it to share investing. We also discuss stocks that briefly stick their head above the ground and then retract them again (aka a groundhog), review Tony’s thoughts on average daily trade volume, answ…
QAV S03E51 — Bunny Boilers
This week we talk about investing with your Spock brain instead of your McCoy brain, why Tony’s Stock of the Week is SFR, why CAA might benefit from rising aluminium prices, how to regression test return on equity, charting the 3PTL lines for LYL, CCV, DKM, RXP, and SUL, and Tony’s Melbourne Cup …
QAV S03E50 — Stephen Moriarty
Our slightly controversial interview with investor Stephen Moriarty, co-author of the book ‘Low Rates High Returns’. We discuss his approach to using CAPE ratios and Kelly Criterion to time his investing and determine how much of his portfolio he puts into the market.
QAV S03E49 — CAPE & Kelly
Tony discusses the latest movements of “Doctor Copper” and explains why that’s important; we talk about CAPE & Kelly and TK explains his recent analysis; and we answer your questions about how we should take into account a company’s level of debt; giving a stock extra points if it is significan…
QAV S03E48 — John Winters, Superhero
John Winters is the CEO of Superhero, the latest digital broking app to hit the Australian market, which offers $5 flat rate trades. A few of our listeners were concerned about how Superhero “owns” the stock that you buy through their app, so we invited John on to explain how it works and why we …
QAV S03E47 — Screaming Buy
On today’s show: AJO quits. Unemployment in Oz at record levels. What does Tony do when he finds a “screaming buy” but can’t understand the underlying rational for the business? Calculating the SSG 3PTL sell price. Net Operating Cashflow vs Net Equity.
QAV S03E46- Bill Liao, VC & Philanthropist
Bill Liao was one of Australia’s original tech entrepreneurs. Today he’s a Partner at SOS Ventures in Ireland where it manages their investments in life science startups. He’s also a passionate social entrepreneur who has founded a number of important charities. We invited him on to chat about ho…
QAV S03E45 — Profit Taking Swill
This week we discuss whether or not high levels of director ownership is good or bad; how Tony manages his portfolio allocation; broker commissions, CRN, HJPN, LAU, and the SAR and NST merger, and more!
QAV S03E44 — Upwardly Volatile
This week we talk about why volatility and risk are not the same thing and why we embrace volatility in our portfolio. We also discuss how the ATO treats “investors” versus “traders”, the HAW dividend / capital return, and more!
QAV S03E43 — Superhero(s)
Lots of talk this week about the new trading app Superhero, how to use Stock Doctor’s Relative Strength Indicator, how franking credits work, whether or not Tony waits for an uptick before buying a stock, fudging the covid cough, borrowing funds to invest, and much more.
QAV S03E42 — Boring Is Beautiful
We start off talking about our Year One result for the QAV portfolio. Is 6.3% a good result in the current market? Questions this week include topics about how quickly Tony sells once a stock breaches its sell line; CCP’s price drop; Macquarie Group’s (MQG) profit hit; whether or not Tony went to…
QAV S03E41 — Kien Trinh, Lincoln Indicators
We are very excited today to have Kien Trinh, the Head of Research from Lincoln Indicators (the company behind Stock Doctor) on our show! Kien talked to us about why Stock Doctor is such a powerful tool for serious investors.
QAV S03E40 — ZOOM #3
This is the audio transcript of a Zoom group chat Tony and I did with some of our QAV Club members on 7 Sept 2020. Lots of great questions were answered.
QAV S03E39 — THE HIGHEST PEAK
Tony refines what he means by “the highest peak”; Steve Mabb explains his recent 3PTL experiment; how Tony would invest an influx of cash; selling GEAR and buying ECX; and running through TK’s journal entries for the week. In overtime we discuss Japanese knives, David Lee Roth, Charlie Brown,…
QAV S03E38 — TOP OR BOTTOM
Should we buy stocks on our buy list from the Top Down or the Bottom Up? That’s the question we try to answer this week. Apart from that, we’re delving into some questions of my own about his checklist, as well as listener questions about NTD, FMG, CCP and, in overtime (that’s what I’m calling th…
QAV S03E37 — EXTRA FUDGE
This week’s episode contains extra investing fudge! We discuss Wilshire GDP / Shiller PE / CAPE ratios, what red flags to look for in company reports, how to score a New 3pt Upturn, Shortman, Warren Buffett’s secret, and Tony discusses some of the latest companies that he has evaluated.
QAV S03E36 — MICHAEL GOLDBERG, COLLINS ST VALUE FUND
Michael Goldberg, one of the principals and founders of Collins St Value Fund, was kind enough to talk to us for 90 minutes yesterday about how CSVF became one of the best performing funds in Australia, achieving a 13.5 percent return in 2019–20 compared with the ASX 200 Index which was down 7.7 …
QAV S03E35 — BALLS OF STEEL
Questions this week about NWS; Buffett buying into Barrick Gold; what a stapled security is; what Tony’s worst returning year was; whether or not we can invest in Apollo (ATL) again; and Tony’s general process during the reporting period.
QAV S03E34 — THE PEAK FUDGE
Question this week include how Tony uses the “most undervalued ASX20 stock” strategy; whether or not ATS being a Schrodinger makes it a sell; and 3PTL help on KCN, GGUS and FMG. We also discuss Tony’s recent journal entries, Sam Elliott’s mustache, Allison Janney the horse, Hamilton the Musical, …
QAV S03E33 — LIVE FROM BRISBANE
On this show we drink scotch and answer questions about sentiment, bad news, CCP’s Operating Cash Flow, the sell price for TRS and investing in borderline star stocks.
QAV S03E32 — DUMP & FLUSH
We chat about a couple of recent articles (see below) and then talk about Tony’s recent alerts involving LYL and KCN. Next we run AMI through the QAV Checklist and answer some questions about why the “buy list” is so large and whether or not we should/could shorten it using Stock Doctor fil…
QAV S03E31 — DEWORSIFICATION
Another 90 minute Club episode this week! Investor, “unemployed shoe salesman” and new board member of The Australian Shareholders Association, Steven Mabb, joins us to talk about the value that the ASA brings to retail shareholders and tries to sell Tony on becoming a member. Then we get int…
QAV S03E30 — Share Shaming
On this episode we talk about why we are not trying to compete with APT investors; Tony’s recent stock buys and analysis; how he uses his “watch list” and why we’ve changed its name to the “buy list”; we we’re still manually calculating the price-to-cash ratio instead of using Stock…
QAV S03E29 — ALEX HAY 2
Tony’s stock broker of 25+ years, Alex Hay, a partner at broking firm EL&C Baillieu, joins us again today to talk about the different kinds of buy & sell orders and how to use them. Outside of that, Tony and I also talk about our dummy portfolio, which made it back into the black, and some excel …
QAV S03E28 — TOBIAS CARLISLE
Here’s our recent chat with Tobias Carlisle, author of several books on value investing, including ‘The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market’, and the managing director of The Aquirers Fund.
QAV S03E27 — LEVERAGE
We run the checklist over SFR, review Tony’s recent journal entries, and then answer your questions about capital gains tax, share consolidations, 3PTL lines, why TK was buying BPT, OFX’s cash situation, forsaking profit by waiting for sell line breaches, leveraging your home to buy shares, how t…
QAV S03E26 — Elio D’Amato
Today we chat with Elio D’Amato, Host of Spotee, Independent investment expert and former Executive Director at Lincoln Indicators.
QAV S03E25 — The Fudge
On this episode we talk about Tony’s recent journal entries regarding ADH, WSA and SFR, then we answer your questions about why we might invest in companies with poor financial health scores on Stock Doctor; why Tony isn’t a “range trader”; how Tony would start a new fund with only $10K; whether …
QAV S03E24 — The Schrödinger
We start off this episode with a recap of last week’s journal entries, then answer your questions about when Tony sells a stock, how to build a portfolio from scratch, the pros and cons of different Buy and Sell order types, and which stocks are in Tony’s portfolio.
QAV S03E23 — Johannes Risseeuw, Damstra
Our guest today is Johannes Risseeuw, Executive Chairman of Damstra (DTC). He talks to us about what Damstra does, what the role of an Executive Chairman involves, the capital raising process, and what Tony was like 20 years ago when they worked together at Shell.
QAV S03E22 — TINA
We talk about the thinking behind some of Tony’s recent journal entries, including Eclipx (ECX), AGL, Credit Corp (CCP) and Sandfire Resources (SFR). Then we get into answering questions. Elmar asks about Michael Hill International (MHJ) and how to mathematically find out at what point the sele…
QAV S03E21 — Riding It Out
On this Q&A episode, TK answers questions about whether stocks that have been bought in an Up trend perform better than those bought after a break out from a Down Trend, about the relative importance of market depth for LYL, whether or not profit taking makes any sense, how he uses the the 52 we…
QAV S03E20 — Stephen Mayne
Stephen Mayne is one of Australia’s best known and most feared shareholder activists. He’s also the founder of Crikey, a writer for InvestSmart and claims to own the world’s biggest small share portfolio: 500 holdings worth less than $30,000. He came on today to chat about capital raisings and …
QAV S03E19 — Starting From Scratch
TK talks me through how to re-evaluate the watchlist when we are ready to buy something and then we answer your questions about the recently added Stock Doctor filters (SDMax, Financial Health Trend, etc), the GEAR buy last week, how much time Tony spends on his portfolio each day and the pros an…
QAV S03E18 — St Anthony
Today “St Anthony” answers your questions, reveals the true cost of sending kids to private school, and explains how he approaches raising a wealthy child.
QAV S03E17 — Michael Dee, Pythagoras
Our guest this week is Michael Dee from Pythagoras Investing — www.PythagorasInvesting.com. His tool “predicts the timing of upcoming share events and their positive or negative price effects.”
QAV S03E16 — The Data Hoarder
This week we have a 100 minute premium episode answering all of your excellent questions about subjects such as: — banks and sentiment — AQG / SSR merger — Stanmore Coal acquisition offer — Buying more when the price drops below the buy line — Using a 5 yr/weekly chart to help fine tune you…
QAV S03E15 — Nicholas Gruen on MMT
Nicholas Gruen is an economist, entrepreneur and commentator. He is CEO of Lateral Economics. He spoke to us recently about Modern Monetary Theory and the short-term future of the Australian economy.
QAV S03E14 — Stock Detectives
Tony talks about some of his recent “musings” regarding bank stocks and comparing the results of his analysis of using Stock Doctor filters versus our three-point trend lines. Then we talk about his reasons for our recent portfolio buys and sells.
QAV S03E13 — Alex Hay from EL&C Baillieu
Alex Hay is a partner at broking firm EL&C Baillieu. He has been Tony’s stock broker for 25+ years. Alex joined us recently to chat about the services firms like his provide, his relationship with Tony, and what he thinks might happen in the market over the next 6–12 months.
QAV S03E12 — Buy Line Follows The Sell Line
We talk about the recent Berkshire Hathaway AGM, Tony “muses” about buying NAB without waiting for positive sentiment (shock! horror!), discusses some new theories about using Stock Doctor filters, and then he answers a ton of your questions about — pyramiding — whether or not Tony ever sets a ma…
QAV S03E11 — Sydney Superinvestors
We’re joined by two young value investors, Jackson Lee and Ricky Yeo from the Sydney Superinvestors meetup, who talk about how they manage their portfolios and what they consider to be their hot tips of good value stocks.
QAV S03E10 — Play By The Rules
Today we answer your questions about why we’re buying back into the market even though Tony has doubts over the recovery — how we account for the quality of management in our analysis — how much attention Tony pays to volume of shares traded — Stock Doctor’s “Price to Cashflow” and “Price to NTA”…
QAV S03E09 — Chris Tate
Chris Tate from Talking Trading and The Trading Game joins us today to talk about his approach to investing, futures trading and turtle trading. Then we answer some listener questions about whether or not the market has priced in the coming economic carnage.
QAV S03E08 — The Family Jewels
How are Australia’s two million small businesses coping with the lockdown? Is the government stimulus helping? What will happen to them on the other side of the crisis? To help us get our heads around these questions, we’re joined today by Kane Kelfkens, owner of The Family Jewels, a jewellery bu…
QAV S03E07 — Beliefonomics
Mark Jones is an old friend of Cameron’s, CEO of Sydney PR and marketing firm Filtered Media, and author of the new book about corporate storytelling, “Beliefonomics”. Tony and Cameron caught up with him in Sydney recently for a chat.
QAV S03E05 — Getting Started (Part 3)
Part 3 of our rebooted getting started podcasts. This picks up where episode 303 left off, halfway through the QAV checklist.
QAV S03E04 — The Five Stages Of Grief
Tony thinks the market is going through the “five stages of grief” and we debate which stage we are up to. He also talks about the “Coppock Curve” which suggests markets, like people, go through periods of mourning. Then we answer some of your questions about: the best way to set up a profile to …
QAV S03E03 — Getting Started (Reboot Intro Part 2)
Part 2 of our “getting started” reboot. In this episode we get into the nitty-gritty of the checklist and the data sources we use.
QAV S03E02 — Sit On ‘Em
Back to answering your questions today, including topics about leveraging your portfolio, replacing Stock Doctor with another data source, banning short-selling, investing in REITs, how to prioritise the watch list, and just generally when to buy back in. Tony’s basic approach right now is to “wa…
QAV S03E01 — Intro To QAV
As it’s been a year since we recorded our “introduction to QAV” episodes, a couple of our listeners suggested it would be a good idea to re-record them, now that we’re much smoother on the mic. So we present — QAV Reboot. We introduce ourselves and the QAV system of investing in shares.
QAV S02E11 — Dead Cat Bounce
While Friday brought a dead cat bounce, Tony thinks the correction is just getting started. He says we’re yet to see the impact of the coming credit crunch. We answer a question about whether or not Tony invests for the purpose of living off the dividend income, and in our club edition we analyse…
QAV S02E10 — Nothing Changes
Tons of questions this week from club members about how to invest during a market correction. And as the market is still in free fall, we don’t bother with a stock analysis. So we just spend 90 minutes answering your excellent questions.
QAV S02E09 — Tony’s Close Shave
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” — Warren Buffett Yes, the market is in freefall — but that’s great for disciplined value investors. As Tony explains on this week’s episode, large market downturns happen once every five-seven years, and it’s in the re…
QAV S02E08 Tony’s Mankini
Tony talks about the UNV offer and why we sold it last week and CSV’s recent acquisition, which took it out of our portfolio. To answer a question from QAV Club member Nick B, we also talk more about when and why Tony will exit a stock. Our Stock Of The Week is AQG, Alacer Gold. And then, we watc…
QAV S02E07 The Shoe Salesman
Steven Mabb is our guest on the show today. He’s a recent QAV Club subscriber but has been a full time investor for the last couple of years, since exiting a very successful footwear business.He and Tony compare notes about investing in International ETFs, why buying stock #201 is a good strat…
QAV S02E06 — The Iceman
Our portfolio continues to take a hit from COVID-19. But Tony is as calm as a zen master. He’s the ICEMAN. We talk about the corruption allegations against HZN and changes to CIA’s listing. Our stock of the week is MFD.
QAV S02E05 — Wuhan Black Swan
Tony discusses his portfolio management strategy during a downturn like the Wuhan Black Swan that is currently going on. He also answers some listener questions about having a small portfolio and debt-to-equity ratios. Our stock of the week is Korvest (KOV).
QAV S02E04 — Rudi’s Super Stocks
This week we’re joined by Rudy Filapek-Vandyck from fnarena.com. He explains his “super stock” or “all-weather performer” investing strategy. In the QAV Club extended episode, Tony discusses the effect the Wuhan virus has had on the ASX and our portfolio this week, the latest results from CCP, an…
QAV S02E03 — Confession Season 2020
As we’re into “confession season” and have “reporting season” rapidly approaching, Tony shares some of the details of the filters/alerts he uses in Stock Doctor to find opportunities. He also answers a listener question about the benefits of using free cash flow versus operating cash flow. O…
QAV S02E02 — The Property Equation
Tony answers some questions from listener Jamie in Perth about balance between property and shares. He also talks about a couple of investing books he’s been reading, and in our Club edition we analyse BSL — Bluescope Steel.
QAV S02E01 — Time In The Market
Season Two of our investing podcast!! We look at our portfolio’s month end report and how it compared to the All Ords Total Return index and answer questions from Club Member Mike L about the accuracy of future predictions. Then we talk about commodities trend lines as a source of comfort when in…
S01E44 — Bravo Hertz
Our guest this week is listener Andre Bravo, a Canadian who has a Masters in Applied Computational Economics and works in the weed industry. Oh NOW I have your attention! Andre joined us this week to talk about the app he has written to speed up his own QAV analysis, and then we get his help to a…
2019
QAV S01E43 — No Old, Bold Pilots
On this episode: We have our second QAV Club subscriber guest, Paul, a criminal lawyer from Sydney, who calls himself “a disastrous investor”. Paul asked Tony a bunch of great questions about the checklist, including drilling down on why Tony doesn’t try to understand a business deeply befo…
QAV S01E42 — Sticking To The Numbers
We have our first QAV Club subscriber guest — Murray Bruce from Bruce Insurance in Perth, one of our first subscribers. He asks Tony a question about whether or not he is comfortable purchasing any share that rates well, or does he do additional research on the company before making a buy.
QAV S01E41 — Cash Is A Fact
This week we talk about why our portfolio outperformed the index by 1300%, the wisdom of Peter Lynch, why Howard Marks wants to stay in the middle, and our stock analysis of the week is Universal Coal.
QAV S01E40 — Tony Gives Up His Rights
Tony talks about rights issues and some of the complexities involved in knowing whether to take them up or not. I know, right? Sounds boring! It wasn’t actually, I learned a lot. We also discussed a few recent news articles about value investing, Tony reveals his wine of the week, and in our anal…
QAV S01E39 — The Discounted Cash Flow
Another long episode! WIth talk about why we sold Apollo Tourism again. Howard Marks and the “Great Sag”. Tony explains how to calculate a Discounted Cash Flow in detail. We talk about our friend Torsten’s new bitcoin film “Cryptopia” and what we think about bitcoin as an investment. To…
QAV S01E38 — The Negroni Method
In this week’s jam packed episode, we answer the following questions from new subscriber Tess in Melbourne: 1. During reporting season, how do you decide which companies to put through the checklist given there are 2000 or so listed companies on the ASX? 2. The AFR new 52 week high tables hav…
QAV S01E37 — Preparing For The Collapse
This week Tony answers a couple of questions from club member Dave about why Warren Buffet & Berkshire are sitting on a massive pile of cash and how Tony is preparing for a “global market crunch”. We also talk some more about listed investment companies and in our club section we take a look at t…
QAV S01E36 — Listed Investing Companies
This week Tony explains why he sometimes invests in Listed Investing Companies like Wilson Asset Management. We also talk about what to do with our worst-performing stock SMR, our extremely good end of month results, Tony’s horse that ran on Melbourne Cup day (not as good), and my son Taylor …
QAV S01E35 — The Gambler
I found myself listening to Kenny Rogers’ The Gambler recently (one of my dad’s favourite songs when I was a kid) and it made me think of this week’s show. “You gotta know when to hold ’em; Know when to fold ’em. Know when to walk away; Know when to run.” This week we have a lot of ques…
QAV S01E34 — Buffettology
This week on the show, The Value Investing Guru and Cameron talk about some difficulties getting Share Analysis to do what we want; a new analysis tool called QuickFS; stories about Warren Buffett; Cameron’s growing passion around QAV; changes to our portfolio involving Apollo Tourism and Stanmor…
QAV S01E33 — Share Analysis Deep Dive
This week we have a guest – Cameron Britten from Share Analysis. As longtime listeners will be aware, Tony’s a big fan of several online tools and Share Analysis has been one of those for many years. They had a recent “re-platforming” event which took the service down for a few months. Bu…
QAV S01E32 — Turning Japanese
On this episode we debunk more claims about the death of value investing and how it relates to the “Japanification” of the economy; I come up with a new nickname for Tony; And we answer a listener question about how quickly he invests new funds. Our stock analysis of the week is the diver…
QAV S01E31 — Using Three Point Trendlines for Buy & Sell Signals
This week Tony answers questions from new QAV Club member Angela about three point trendlines, reinvesting strategies, and challenger stocks, and we analyze gold miner Ramelius Resources.
QAV S01E30 — Tony Looks At Growth Stocks
Don’t be shocked! On this week’s episode of QAV, Tony has some new insights into ways to analyse growth stocks using the checklist and Cameron has to pick himself up off the floor. In our analysis section for premium members, we look at FMG, Fortescue Metals Group.
QAV S01E29 — Tailwinds
This week we’re answering a number of listener questions, including one about how much attention Tony pays to “tailwinds” or macro factors affecting an industry or the economy. We also talk about how Tony deals with red flags in companies he has invested in, and he talks about some mistakes…
QAV S01E28 — How To Structure A Portfolio
In this episode Tony explains how he thinks about structuring a portfolio taking into consideration your appetite for risk and volatility. In our Club episode, we also answer some listener questions about the process of buying shares, how to work out the most undervalued Top 10 stock, and the NE…
QAV S01E27 — Investing Tax Structures
Based on an email from one of our QAV Club members, this week Tony shares his views on the various investing tax structures. We also talk about how we’re managing the dummy portfolio. And in our QAV Club analysis section this week, we’re looking at IFN.
QAV S01E26 — Reporting Season Frenzy!
It’s reporting season and Tony is EXCITED. On this week’s show we talk about the cause of CRN’s sudden decline, and analyse two companies – BHP and QAN. We are also adding quite a few additional stocks to our dummy portfolio based on Tony’s private analysis.
QAV S01E25 — What to make of the US Bond Market?
Tony talks about his view on the US bond market’s “inverted yield curve”, and his policy for investing before and during a market downturn. For our club members, Tony then analyses TWO companies this week: Beach Petroleum and Bell Financial Group.
QAV S01E24 — The “Good” Coal
Tony talks about the Aussie economy and whether or not he thinks the value of the dollar is closely related to a coming economic collapse. We also talk about whether or not value investing is dead. For our club members, Tony then analyses our company of the week, Coronado Coal (CRN), who does …
QAV S01E23 — Beware The Black Swan
Today our guest is Roger Montgomery from Montgomery Investment Management to talk about his approach to value investing and what he thinks is going on with the Australian market and economy at the moment. Lots of great insights in this one, from the economics of enough, to black swans and what ha…
QAV S01E22 — Turning Into Gold
The last week of Tony’s vacation, so I’m playing the analysis of small gold producer MEDUSA MINING (MML) we recorded late June. Spoiler alert: it turns out pretty well.
QAV S01E21 — Playing the Old Course at St Andrews
Tony dials in from Ireland this week and brings me up to date on his visits to whisky distilleries in Scotland and his out-of-body experience playing the Old Course at St Andrews. We also talk a little about investing and he how he feels like “I’ve seen this show before”, meaning the curren…
QAV S01E20 — How Fresh Is WOW?
As Tony was too busy evaluating the quality of Scotland’s golf courses and single malts to get on the phone with me this week, our show consists of a checklist analysis we did in Sydney in early June about Woolworths (WOW). This is the companion analysis to last week’s show about Coles Group,…
QAV S01E19 — Ten Times Bigger (Austin Lieberman, Part 2)
This episode contains the second part of our interview with Austin LIeberman, a private investor in Florida, who has been achieving remarkable returns on his portfolio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to understand his methodology. On this episode Austin tells us he tries to only invest in comp…
QAV S01E18 — Winners Keep Winning (Austin Lieberman, Part 1)
This episode contains the first part of our interview with Austin LIeberman, a private investor in Florida, who has been achieving remarkable returns on his portfolio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to understand his methodology. Our stock of the week is Afterpay (APT).
QAV S01E17 — Matt Joass
Matt Joass joins us today for a fun talk about his own investing strategy, particularly how to assess the opportunity of high growth stocks. Matt is the former portfolio manager for Motley Fool Pro in Australia, former co-host of the now defunct Three Wise Monkeys podcast, and is currently a priv…
QAV S01E16 — When To Exit An Old Portfolio
Tony talks about when you should exit a portfolio you may have bought before you started your QAV analysis. And our stock of the week is Rand Mining (RND), a gold mining operation in WA.
QAV S01E15 — When Should You Sell?
Today we’re talking about when you should sell a stock that has passed the checklist. And our stock of the week is Vocus (VOC). A vertically integrated telecommunications provider, operating in the Australian and New Zealand markets.
QAV S01E14 — How Shorting Works
On this episode, we talk about the RBA dropping interest rates and other signs the economy is weakening and what that means for investing. We also talk about how shorting the market works as an investment tool. And our stock of the week is Eclipx, a vehicle leasing company that has recently had a…
QAV S01E13 — Alan Kohler
Our guest today is one of Australia’s most respected financial journalists – Alan Kohler. Tony has been a big fan of Alan’s work for decades and was as giddy as a K‑Pop fan about getting Alan on the show. Alan gave us his thoughts on the economy, unemployment, internet stocks, lying CEOs, a…
QAV S01E12 — Stanmore Coal
On this episode we’re talking about ethical investing, Bob Hawke, and, in our QAV Club episode, drilling down into the financials of Stanmore Coal. Stanmore Coal operates the Isaac Plains coking coal mine in Queensland’s prime Bowen Basin region.
QAV S01E11 — Joe Barberis
Our guest today is Tony’s friend Joe Barberis. Joe’s had a high powered corporate career, including stints as the MD of Officeworks and Coles Express, as well as running Shell Australia. Today he’s talking to us about his investment strategies, as well as his thoughts on the future of retai…
QAV S01E10 — Mitchell Services
Today we discuss the collapse of Apollo Tourism’s share price; the recent Berkshire Hathaway Annual General Meeting and Tony relates the time he attended the Berkshire AGM a few years ago; the trouble with bank shares at the moment; and then we analyse this week’s stock, Mitchell Services (MSV).
QAV S01E09 — Myer Holdings
Myer Holdings (MYR) is an Australian department store group with a network of 62 stores across Australia. How does their company stack up to the QAV checklist? Listen and find out.
QAV S01E08 — Apollo Tourism & Leisure
Apollo Tourism & Leisure is a multi-national company focused on manufacturing, rental, sales and distribution of a range of RVs including motorhomes, campervans and caravans. How does their company stack up to the QAV checklist?
QAV S01E07 — Predicting & Handling Downturns
What is a “yield curve inversion” and how does it factor into warnings of a possible downturn? How does he change his investing during a downturn? Find out answers on this episode!
QAV S01E06 — Tony On Index Funds
Tony reflects and expands on a couple of ideas that came out on last week’s show with Steve Sammartino, including investing in index funds.
QAV S01E05 — The Sammartino Method
Steve Sammartino is another old friend of Cameron’s. He is also a successful sharemarket investor, with 25+ years experience, although his strategy is a little different and much less hands-on than Tony’s. Steve is also an author, futurist, consultant and speaker. On this podcast we talk with…
QAV S01E04 — Analysing Telstra
Telstra is Australia’s largest telco. How does it look inside Tony’s QAV value investing worksheet? Listen and find out. You can find key financial metrics on Telstra’s website or on Reuter’s Telstra page.
QAV S01E03 — Analysing BHP
BHP is one of Australia’s largest and oldest companies. As our first real life example, on this episode runs BHP’s latest financials through his QAV value investing worksheet. How does it come out? Listen and find out.
QAV S01E02 — How He Does It
On this episode of our value investing podcast, Tony explains how he consistently beats the market by using a custom-built checklist. He walks me through the metrics he pays attention to – and why.
QAV S01E01 — Get Rich Slowly
Welcome to our new value investing podcast. My mate Tony is a very successful private investor. For the last 25 years, his share portfolio has, on average, doubled the performance of the stock market, every year.




























































































