QAV - The Schrödinger

We run the check­list over SFR, review Tony’s recent jour­nal entries, and then answer your ques­tions about cap­i­tal gains tax, share con­sol­i­da­tions, 3PTL lines, why TK was buy­ing BPT, OFX’s cash sit­u­a­tion, for­sak­ing prof­it by wait­ing for sell line breach­es, lever­ag­ing your home to buy shares, how the “Man­u­al­ly entered scores” tab works on the check­list, and whether or not TK has seen better/worse/same returns when his allo­ca­tions allowed him to buy small/micro caps. We also review the EOFY posi­tions for our dum­my port­fo­lio and TK’s port­fo­lio.

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Boring Stocks, Bonkers Returns: QAV AU #926

On this week’s show we wrap up the finan­cial year and the num­bers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU mod­el port­fo­lio is up near­ly 29% for the year, the Light port­fo­lios are up near­ly 36% as a group, and the US mod­el is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Lim­it­ed, a small engi­neer­ing fab­ri­ca­tor that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just land­ed on the buy list. We also get into the warn­ing signs stack­ing up on Wall Street, from mar­gin loans up 50% to the Bank of Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments call­ing out AI data cen­tre spend­ing as a poten­tial GFC-style melt­down risk.

OIL THAT: QAV AU #925

This week we cov­er the Iran oil sanc­tions waiv­er and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on sell­ing our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Ener­gy, Brook­side) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-list­ed labour hire and train­ing firm Ash­ley Ser­vices Group (ASH), a thin­ly trad­ed turn­around sto­ry with a strong own­er-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the pass­ing of Alan Greenspan, the Cred­it Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-finan­­cial-year port­fo­lio num­bers that have the dum­my port­fo­lio well ahead of the index.

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