This week we pay tribute to Sam Neill, run through a bunch of impressive member FY results (including one bloke who beat the market by 8.5 times), and debate whether Brent crude is a buy or a Josephine. Tony does a deep dive on IVE Group (IGL), Australia’s largest printer and catalog distributor, a genuine monopoly business with a surprisingly fascinating story about 14,000 people walking letterbox catalogs around the country every single week. We also chat Rolling Stones, Jack White, kung fu seminars, and Conor McGregor’s spectacular one-minute comeback.
This week’s full episode is for QAV Club members only. The free episode is available below. Also check out our podcast archives link and our pages on Apple Podcasts or Spotify or watch clips on TikTok. Or visit our homepage to learn more about QAV and how it works as a value investing system that you can learn and apply to beat the market.
Transcription
QAV AU 928 CLUB VIDEO
[00:00:00]
Cameron: To QAV. QAV Australia, uh, episode 928. is the 14th of July, 2026. RIP Sam Neill
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, vale. You a Sam Neill fan?
Cameron: Well, he was one of those actors, like I don’t go, “Oh, I’m gonna watch the latest Sam Neill film,” but he’s been in so many great films and, and I just showed Fox The Bicentennial Man last week, old, uh, Chris Columbus, Robin Williams android thing, and Fox really enjoyed it. And Sam
Tony Kynaston: Reilly
Cameron: is in that.
He’s the guy that buys him originally and gives him his rights and treats him, you know, relatively well. he did a good job but, you know, of great films. Uh, my favorite Sam Neill film be, uh, well I remember, probably Dead Calm, um, Dead, Dead Calm.
Tony Kynaston: Take care. Yep
Cameron: Calm since it came out, but I love that film.
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: Love Nicole in [00:01:00] that, loved him in that. And then The Hunt for the Wilderpeople.
Tony Kynaston: Haven’t seen that
Cameron: Really good film.
Tony Kynaston: Okay. check it out. I might have to replay Death in Brunswick the next couple of days.
Cameron: God, yeah. I haven’t seen that since the ’80s or whenever it came out too.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: Yeah, that was shocking
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. Well, I, I was surprised at how old he was, 78. I thought he was younger than that. He’s preserved very well
Cameron: And I just saw like a TikTok like last week of him and Jeff Goldblum visiting him in, at his property in New Zealand. They were sitting at a piano playing little duets and singing together, and it was sweet. You know, these two guys have obviously known each other since at least Jurassic Park. I don’t know if they knew each other before that, but yeah.
Tony Kynaston: I mean, I must admit, I, I grew to like Sam Neill more as a human than as I did as a, an actor. Took a long time for me to like him as an actor. I found him fairly wooden and, and, um, y- I guess I grew up with [00:02:00] him, so I think probably my first exposure would’ve been Reilly: Ace of Spies, which I thought was a, I thought was a very lame ABC attempt to do James Bond.
And, uh, they had this, you know, square-headed wooden actor from New Zealand trying to pass himself off as a secret agent. Just didn’t wash with me. But, um, as I gr- like especially later in life, like COVID with his ukulele lockdown videos and his autobiography, which was terrific I thought, I just grew to appreciate him more than him as an actor.
But
Cameron: did seem to be a nice guy I was
Tony Kynaston: yeah
Cameron: always came across as a down to earth good bloke
Tony Kynaston: And I think also too what I learned was what I used to criticize as bad acting, he openly admitted. Like he said, “I never went to drama school. I was a cameraman. They threw me in front of the camera when they couldn’t find someone for a documentary.” Yeah. He worked for,
Cameron: wow
Tony Kynaston: like it’s, it was some government agency in New Zealand back in the early days of, um, [00:03:00] like in the ’60s basically.
And I think he was either the sound man or the cameraman. And, um, yeah, they were filming some scientific documentary somewhere, and they didn’t have a, a camera on, on-air personality, so they grabbed him as a young bloke
Cameron: it’s a bit like um what’s his face David um British documentary
Tony Kynaston: David Attenborough?
Cameron: guy Attenborough
Tony Kynaston: You seen Attenborough as a young bloke? You could see why he got in front of the camera. He was, um,
Cameron: Good
Tony Kynaston: an Adonis. Yeah.
Cameron: Yeah yeah
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: continuing the RIPs Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani
Tony Kynaston: It’s either senior or the junior
Cameron: Well he was the father Emir the senior
Tony Kynaston: Okay
Cameron: away a couple of days ago The father of modern Qatar
Tony Kynaston: Oh, sorry, I’m confusing him. I’m sorry. Uh, uh
Cameron: as a What who do you think he was
Tony Kynaston: [00:04:00] The guy they had the funeral for last week
Cameron: Oh that was uh Khomeini Khomeini
Tony Kynaston: sorry
Cameron: He was the guy that took Qatar uh from as a basically a backwater country when he took over I think in the late ’70s and turned it into a powerhouse by focusing on LNG I think made it the world’s largest exporter of LNG and then started investing all of their money in global assets through uh some sort of a sovereign wealth fund
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: And um took power through a via a bloodless coup from his father And then
Tony Kynaston: Haven’t we all?
Cameron: and then uh 12 or 13 years ago when he was early 60s he did a peaceful transition to his son He he um resigned and handed power to his son and But yeah he I mean it’s it’s a guy [00:05:00] basically launched Al Jazeera um turned Qatar into a soft power country But amazing story He uh really built it up And you know I remember visiting Doha when we were heading to Europe in our last big Europe trip whenever that was 20 Did a quick stop in Doha and um son obviously was uh everywhere then It was his face that was plastered everywhere But amazing place uh to visit Doha It’s really state of the art modern city
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I haven’t been there
Cameron: uh RIP SpaceX uh is now well and truly the share price is below its IPO I think it’s it’s 139 today Uh floated at like 170 It’s down to 139 [00:06:00] so there you
Tony Kynaston: vale, all the super funds who hold, uh, US index ETFs.
Mm
Cameron: yeah Well Tony my first question for you today is oil Brent versus WTI As I said in my uh So last week when they started bombing each other again Iran and the US I had a look at the oil chart and thought it was a buy the Brent chart And then but when I ran my scripts over the weekend my script came back and said WTI was a buy but Brent was a Josephine And I look at the charts and they look exactly the same And I said to Claude What’s going on And it did the numbers and basically the way I’ve got my 3PTL rules set up it’s looking for a shoulder to do the H2 and WTI barely had one that it could draw it through Brent didn’t [00:07:00] It was like 50 cents below where it needed to be for a shoulder So it was like I said Look if I eyeball it I’d draw this And it was like Well you can do whatever the hell you like but you you gave me the rules and the rules say no shoulder so do what you will So I thought well what would you do How do you eyeball these things Tony Do you think Brent’s a buy or not a buy
Tony Kynaston: I’ve, I’ve got it as a sell. Um
Cameron: Really Wow
Tony Kynaston: I’m looking at Stock Doctor, so let me just call up what. See, I– you sent me the link to what you use in, uh, Trading Economics, but I can’t get a monthly graph out of Trading Economics. I can only get a weekly if I.
Cameron: of my monthly graph You
Tony Kynaston: Okay, let me have a look at the screenshot. Yep, I did get it. Sorry. Uh, ba, pa, pa, pa, pa
Cameron: how you’d get a sell out of that
Tony Kynaston: No, using your graph you can’t. In, um, in Stock Doctor it’s pretty close.[00:08:00]
Cameron: Right
Tony Kynaston: It’s, above its sell line in what you’re graphing. Um, and so this gets back to what we saw during coming out of COVID when we started looking at the buy line follows the sell line. And, um, ’cause we can’t draw a buy line here ’cause there’s no H2, is there?
It’s just a point. And the,
and
Cameron: yeah
Tony Kynaston: and the feeling out of COVID was when we saw this kind of graph was, well, it’s just a point, but the price is going up, so why wouldn’t we treat it as a buy? And it’s above its sell price according to Trading Economics anyway, so it looks like a buy. But the risk is, of course, as soon as we get a month with a downturn, we’re gonna get a H2 and it might drop back into being a Josephine quickly
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: of the month.
Yeah
Cameron: Well you know the way I again the way I’ve written my three PTL rules and this is not just for commodities but for everything is it’s looking for what it calls a shoulder Do you call it a shoulder
Tony Kynaston: We do, yeah. That was Dylan who came up with [00:09:00] that
Cameron: Right So it’s not a peak it has to You know it’s if you draw a line between the H1 and where the of the trough is um there has to be something jutting out uh an elbow a shoulder whatever you want It’s not a it’s not a peak because the it’s uh lower than the previous price the previous month’s price But you you you know we we take it as a valid signal
Tony Kynaston: Well, I think, um, if I’m understanding you correctly, the, the point, we need to see, um, a left and a right point either side of the current H2 before we can call the H2 technically. So I’m, I’m not seeing a H2 on the graph you sent me. It’s just a point at the moment
Cameron: Yeah Well that’s what it’s saying So you know it’s saying for there was no
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: [00:10:00] For WTI there was one even though if you look at the WTI chart it looks exactly the same a straight line goes down But it said when you break down the numbers uh where’s my notes here It says The machine anchors on the recent April peak when both oils spiked to around 105 to 110 before falling over Then it needs a second point and the only one it’s allowed to use is the May close May only counts if it sits at or above the halfway mark between April and June ie did the drop keep accelerating or start to flatten out WTI’s May cleared its halfway mark by seven cents so it got a steep recent line that today’s price sits above Buy Brent’s May missed its halfway mark by 55 cents so the machine threw out the recent peak and fell all the way back to the 2022 high to draw the line instead [00:11:00] where it gave me an H1 because it couldn’t find an April Same spike same collapse same bounce The system slapped opposite labels on them because one month’s close wobbled by a dollar
Tony Kynaston: Yep.
Cameron: Anyway
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, look, it’s all fairly arbitrary, isn’t it? ‘Cause we don’t have a clear second peak.
Cameron: Yeah But you
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: know gut feel I’d say it’s probably a buy seeing as it’s bouncing back up But as you say it’s you know as we said when we sold our oil stocks like a month ago or whenever it was you know this is gonna be a buy again in a couple of weeks I can just feel it you know
Tony Kynaston: Gut feel is definitely
Cameron: that was gonna hold
Tony Kynaston: No, gut feel is it’s, it’s a buy for sure, and that’s why we came up with the buy line following the sell line. So if you look at the graph you sent me, if you can’t get a H2 where you are now, you go back to the prior H1 and, and prior H2, which is that big sort of descending line all the way back into two thousand and two.[00:12:00]
And, um, it’s a buy from there. And now we do have a, a, an L1, L2, so we can draw a sell line, and it’s above that. So in terms of the last buy sell lines we can draw, it’s a buy. And it’s just that you can’t make sense of the current one ’cause we haven’t got a second month for our H2 peak, except as you say, um, in the coding for crude
Cameron: Yeah I think when my script was trying to write it though when it went back to the 2022 it was using April as the H2 April 2026 There mustn’t have been a um fudge line between that So it said Well there is a new buy line It goes between those two peaks if you know what I’m saying
Tony Kynaston: No, I’m sorry. You [00:13:00] don’t have– I’ve got your screenshot. It doesn’t have the months on it, so let me work back. The current, the current month there must be June, I guess. No, that’d be the current date. Then you got June, then you got May. Oh, April really high up.
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: Oh, no, I think it’s, um. Oh, okay.
Cameron: You go through like
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, right
Cameron: 2025 is the H2 Oh I don’t think
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I was going back,
Cameron: could
Tony Kynaston: back into twenty twenty-five.
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: Anyway we
Tony Kynaston: Anyway
Cameron: more time on it I’m gonna treat it as a buy I think
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, but the risk is, of course, is that everything gets resolved next week and we get a H2,
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: downward, but
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: Yeah that’s the risk RRL Regis Resources has walked away from Vault Minerals after Genesis’s latest takeover bid Regis Resources will not submit a counterproposal to acquire [00:14:00] Vault Minerals to match a superior deal from Genesis Minerals following Genesis’s unsolicited binding proposal this month They have said what’s happened to the price The price is uh down a bit today as a result of that I guess or maybe just the market being down Don’t know sucks cause I’ve added Regis Resources to a couple of my portfolios the last uh couple of days the market’s down today so I think it’s probably just following that
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, and we, we talked about it last week, and I guess it’s, it’s, it’s worth an update today. Um, I think the question was from Paul: What do you do if you’re a Vault shareholder? ‘Cause Vault was on the buy list last year and probably even this year. Um, and, you know, now that we have board acceptance of the, the, um, Genesis Minerals offer, you can decide whether to sell on, um, on market, which [00:15:00] I would definitely do if it was above the, the, um, offer price, which I think it might be slightly, but I haven’t checked it recently.
Um, or you can roll over. And so I ran Genesis Minerals through, uh, and gave it a QAV score this week, and it’s actually. I’m getting a score of point zero eight. Uh, so it’s not, it’s not a buy, but it’s not too far off. So if you wanted to, to avoid paying CGT rollover, um, you could do that. You will pay some CGT ’cause it’s a part cash offer.
Uh, and then if you roll over into Genesis, you can three point trend line trade it from there and, uh, see how it goes, um, if you want to avoid CGT. So it, it, it would come down to what your capital gains tax looks like, um, I think in this case. Not a bad option rolling over into Genesis, um, ’cause it’s, it’s not on the buy list, but it’s not too far off.
So it’s a, it’s a reasonably scoring company. Um, and you get rollover relief, so that’s gonna be an issue. But also, I would think if Vault trades [00:16:00] above the buy, the buy price from Genesis, I’d sell out and you’ll cop CGT. So it’s, it’s, um, it’s hard to give a. That’s, that’s the general advice, but it comes down to your own circumstances, I think.
Cameron: Good Got a few emails from a few members this week Toby Made a bit of a mistake with my 32 for last financial year Corrected results below He actually came in at 25 instead of 32 Still not a bad year Well done Toby His average since he started the worst possible time to start a portfolio February 2022 um is uh 16 over that period of time per year
Tony Kynaston: Pretty good. Hmm
Cameron: which is pretty good Uh Trent QAV returned 16 this year so three years on a trot midteen returns was a tale of two halves was up [00:17:00] about 40 at the end of December and went backwards in the second half So uh yeah like his last He also started in 22 um return for that year was 136 He obviously started a bit later than poor Toby and myself Toby came in at negative 13 that year Uh FY23 he got 88 FY24 18 21 and FY26 So he’s had three good years a fairly active year with 12 sells over the period so almost 50 turnover but was spread across the year Over the FY I’ve held 28 stocks and 15 have positively contributed to overall return this year Biggest rule break of the year was QPM which I did not sell as it broke through three PTL and then rule one and I have held all the way to it going into [00:18:00] administration last week So
Tony Kynaston: Oh no
Cameron: Well thank you for your honesty
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: Trent good job Hopefully lesson learned there Um Over the year I’ve been allocating more to the QAV process and hold 20 positions Typically I’ve held 15 as the value of the portfolio has grown The one thing I’ve struggled with is mentally accepting the increased size of initial parcels it is a good thing but scary to put an increasingly large chunk of cash at risk
Tony Kynaston: That’s interesting. Hmm
Cameron: in a followup email why his FY25 result was so good I think portfolio sort of were neck and neck with the market last year around 13 from memory and he said he just had a bunch of winners you know that just really did well Half a dozen stocks that just killed it and it’s the luck of the luck of the draw sometimes you know We have a big [00:19:00] big universe of stocks uh in our buy lists and depending when you get in you can get half a dozen winners or you can get two or three winners and half a dozen makes a big difference
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, it’s sampling.
Cameron: interesting The what The uh scary bit
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I thought so. I mean, I, I wasn’t quite sure whether he meant the total portfolio size was scaring him or whether he meant every time he goes to buy something, it’s a large chunk to, to put into the, into a trade. So, um, I gue- guess a couple of points there. It, it’ll get easier as you go along because it’ll become more like tokens rather than dollars.
Um, at a certain point, it all becomes a game rather than necessarily moving dollars around. That’s, that’s my experience anyway. Um, but even if that’s the case, I mean, he, he can have a bigger portfolio and, and smaller ADTs per trade, um, like if he holds twenty-five stocks rather than twenty, um, and until he gets used to allocating, uh, larger chunks of money to him.
But it’s a [00:20:00] good problem to have, really
Cameron: Yeah Yeah Jim Hi Cameron and Tony Mentioned in my last email that I’ve been a member of Strawman for a similar period to QAV Interesting to hear how how others are investing et cetera However I’ve enjoyed is the regular CEO/CFO interviews that Andrew hosts You get a real variety of personalities some real spruiking of their company but others are genuinely interesting when talking about their core competency and company strategy Couple that have been on Strawman represent some of the QAV favorites such as DUR Executive Director Chris Oates SXE CFO Christopher Douglas What has come to mind when listening to the interviews on Strawman is how it would be great to hear the two of you interview some of the QAV favorites also like an extra special Pulled Pork Anyway thought I’d throw the idea out there Feel free to ignore and keep doing what you’re doing well I thought yeah that’s a great idea and and I have know from time to [00:21:00] time when Tony’s done a Pulled Pork I send the company an email or ping somebody on LinkedIn and go Hey we just covered your company thinking they’ll go Oh thanks That’s great but nothing I haven’t reached out to the CFO or anyone and said Hey why don’t you come on But once or twice maybe but not a lot But thinking yeah I’m more than happy to do that if people would find it interesting The question is do I do it in advance of your pulled pork or to coincide with your pulled pork or after you do a pulled pork reach out and say invite them on to come on like a few weeks later or something like that Do you have a preference
Tony Kynaston: Um, no, I don’t have a preference. I think it makes sense to reach out to anyone on the buy list, really. Just do a cold call email to, um, the investor relations people at those companies suggesting that you’re on our buy list. We’ll probably talk about you in detail. Would you like to come on the show? It might be the way to go.
Yeah.
Cameron: Sounds like fun I’m
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: that so thank you Jim He also says Attached is my Strawman [00:22:00] portfolio performance which mirrors my real life portfolio Since since March 2021 his performance is 20.5 per annum and the last 12 months it was 64.3
Tony Kynaston: Very good.
Cameron: Bonkers Good job Jim Congratulations Well done
Tony Kynaston: I think, from memory Strawman keeps a league table, so he must be pretty close to the top this year anyway. Mm.
Cameron: Jordan Hi hey Cam Had a crazy year this year I was up 52.75 for the FY versus 6.16 for the ASX 300 Beating the market by 8.5 times was not something I would’ve thought was possible especially following uh following a value investing method So once again big thank you to Tony for developing the system and you making him [00:23:00] talk about it every week I don’t even know if I would be investing in stocks without finding QAV
Tony Kynaston: Oh, that’s, that’s– I mean, that’s a good, that’s good feedback on two counts. The, the second one’s probably more important than the first one. Great results, but, you know, it’s, um, th-this is why I stay involved in QAV. It’s to get people into the, into the stock market and getting them to do it themselves and avoiding fees and understanding, you know, there’s a way through it all, um, that you can do yourself
Cameron: Yeah And and blessed be you Tony for doing that I’m sure you’re buying your way into the heaven you don’t believe in Um
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, with imaginary money.
Cameron: I am now tracking at double market since I started investing in November 2022 with my portfolio up 20 per annum versus the ASX 300 9.56 per annum I wish I had [00:24:00] some insight about how I did it but it really is just follow the system With two small kids if anything it can take me a couple of weeks at times to replace things And I think that’s a really good uh insight You know we’ve talked about this before but I remember in the early days of doing this I was like trigger finger checking my portfolio six times a day If anything became a sell I’d be like Oh oh I’ve gotta sell it Oh quick Oh I better do a buy list and you know panicking at some point I remember you telling me Just stop checking and I did and it was scary for a while And I I was checking it like I check my weight which is like four times a day No once a day really but like these days it’s just like eh you know you know it doesn’t really know mean I don’t leave it weeks but um you know and I have a responsibility to the LITE members to trade stuff and that kind of stuff so I’ll [00:25:00] get on it But a day here a day there I know it all comes out in the wash It doesn’t really make a huge amount of difference over five years right It’s it’s you know as you often say like one stock which is one fifteenth or one twentieth of your portfolio over a day or two or three there’s really no panic And and as we’ve seen before sometimes you don’t sell something then you go to sell it a day
Tony Kynaston: Correct.
Cameron: it’s no longer a sell and you go Oh okay Sometimes it falls through the floor like we’ll talk about in the American show But remember Leslie the pool company I bought a
Tony Kynaston: Yes
Cameron: went up 10 in a week and I was like You beauty it this morning It was down 27 my buy price
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm
Cameron: So it dropped 40 up 10 in a week and then dropped 37 in three weeks for some reason or four weeks or whatever And I don’t know why No no news either time about anything So it’s I’m I’m assuming gamma squeeze and shorts and [00:26:00] something going on But um anyway sometimes it bites you on the ass Sometimes it goes the other way So you know you just it all
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And if you watch things religiously, you don’t really guard too much against being bitten on the ass, ’cause if it’s dropping 40% quickly, even if you, even if you’re alert to it quickly, I mean, maybe you get out when it’s dropped 30%, but it’s dropping like a stone as you’re selling. So it’s not a big difference.
Yeah
Cameron: Yeah Jordan also says that he’s been uh building a backtesting regression testing system and he’s been using Fable to check his code offered to share it with me And I said funnily funny that I’ve spent the last few days using Fable to build a backtesting system So
Tony Kynaston: Oh, wow
Cameron: halfway through coding mine so we’re sharing notes on how to deal with splits and consolid The big things I’m trying to work out are how to deal with splits and consolidations and how to deal with uh commodity uh
Tony Kynaston: right
Cameron: I’ve built my [00:27:00] commodity automated commodity uh 3PTL system in the last few months I can now plug it into this so yeah I’m just plugging all my bits and pieces into a backtesting system working with Fable cause w you know these new models are insanely good So I’m hoping in the next week or so I’ll have something for you to play with
Tony Kynaston: That’d be fantastic. So
Cameron: Huh
Tony Kynaston: the commodity trading tracking system, is that getting close to being able to release for use?
Cameron: Release for use
Tony Kynaston: for members to use
Cameron: No Members don’t wanna do anything themselves They just rely on me to do stuff for
Tony Kynaston: Okay.
Cameron: you know
Tony Kynaston: Can you share it with me?
Cameron: Yeah Well why don’t you just You you don’t trust my charts each week
Tony Kynaston: No, I do. I use your charts each week, but if I do a buy list halfway through, I’ve got to go and eyeball it myself
Cameron: Oh well that takes you two seconds to go and eyeball one [00:28:00] chart like you know
Tony Kynaston: Okay, well don’t share it with me then I’ll keep doing it manually. It’s fine. I mean I,
Cameron: I’ll
Tony Kynaston: I
Cameron: share my code with you It’s okay Don’t get like that Jeez Um yeah I’ll make a reminder to do it Yeah no I’ve been using it for um mm couple of months now Um it’s good Yeah I I basically use um Trading Economics so you’ll need a um premium account with Trading Economics to get the data and then it it yeah basically just grabs their data and runs my core uh 3PTL code base which y I have like a unified code base now that applies it to stocks as well as commodities Um has the same rules in it so Cause it’s been a constant of refinement [00:29:00] over eh a couple years really You know tweaks
Tony Kynaston: imagine, yeah.
Cameron: Hmm
Tony Kynaston: Very good
Cameron: Um all right To do to do What have you got TK That’s all I got
Tony Kynaston: Okay, a couple of things. Um, the. I– Might be a bit of a, a brag here, but, um, there’s l- If people do what I do, which is to look at the rolling year record sections of the Fin Review to see whether the market’s, you know, having lots of highs or lots of lows and which stocks are in, um, you know, have, have reached a rolling high or a rolling low.
Uh, there’s, there’s really thin pickings on the rolling high side of things of the ledger. Um, and last Friday, uh, which I guess relates to Thursday’s trading, there was only seven companies which had reached the, their 12-month high on Thursday, and, uh, two of them were, um, QAV buy list stocks that I own. So [00:30:00] that was quite pleasing to see Challenger and QBE reach their 12 months highs when most of the market was, um, was going down.
So that was nice.
Cameron: One of them is Skin Candy which I’d never heard of before
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: I had to look them up They’re like a online jewelry business uh ma uh store
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. Good. Okay
Cameron: them And Like A Podium
Tony Kynaston: Yep
Cameron: That’s uh one of the big winners That’s surprising
Tony Kynaston: Why is it surprising?
Cameron: Oh well I think uh they uh another Brisbane based uh little company that I think we talked about
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, they’ve been on the buy list a couple of years ago, yeah
Cameron: Yeah yeah yeah I just you know I haven’t heard You know they haven’t hit
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: for Oh hold on No they’re based in Perth I haven’t um paid any attention to them but they were one of the top performing stocks
Tony Kynaston: Hmm.[00:31:00]
Cameron: Hmm
Tony Kynaston: Good on them. Anyway, that was a bit of a humble brag. Um, but it’s always nice to see QAV stocks reaching their 12-month highs. Uh, the other article that, um, caught my attention was, uh, about Aussie AI stocks. Uh, and they were focusing on, of course, the stocks that support data centers and support, um, the build-out for infrastructure for AI.
But, uh, we’ve had a couple of winning stocks in the QAV portfolios, um, in the last 12 months or so. SXE, Southern Cross Engineering, and GNP, GenusPlus, and they’ve done very well and, um, I guess I haven’t paid much attention to them. I would have done a Pulled Pork on them at both a couple of years ago, I think.
Uh, and they’ve been doing very well. But then, um, what I, I hadn’t put two and two together, but of course, both of them are, are, um, doing really well because they’re supporting the growth in data centers and [00:32:00] in the, in electricity connections for AI. Um, so, uh, one of the comments, if I can open, uh, if I can open my article.
Excuse me for a minute Hi. I
I sent myself a. Yeah, here we go. I sent myself a, a, um, PDF and it’s truncated the article. But, uh, if I go back to the original, uh, electrical services stocks, Southern Cross Engineering, Electrical Engineering, and GenusPlus, whose order books are expanding from the growing investment in data centers, power infrastructure, and electrical networks.
Um, and that was the pick of one of the, uh, fund managers that the AFR was interviewing. Uh, and they quote, “The market is still underestimating the duration of this investment cycle.” The chap’s name is Barker, said, “We’re seeing projected project pipelines extending into 2028 and 2029, which give these businesses far stronger revenue visibility than they had a few years ago.”
So anyway, just, um, a little bit more of an insight onto, uh, two of the stocks which have [00:33:00] done well for us. I hadn’t realized they were being boosted by their involvement in, um, supporting the infrastructure build for AI
Cameron: Hmm There you go Good for them
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And then the last thing I have to do is a Pulled Pork, which was a request on IGL, which is IVE Group
Cameron: Good old IGL Been around for years on our buy list on and off
Tony Kynaston: It has, hasn’t it? And I did– I’ve done a Pulled Pork on it, which was, uh, quite a while ago. Um uh, and the– in doing this one, um It’s, uh, it’s c- really changed over the last few years, so I was quite, um, quite interested in, in doing this one, even though I think it’s, uh, it’s got a, a QAV score of.11, but it’s currently a Josephine, so I’ll say that in advance.
Uh and it has a reasonable ADT. It’s about $300,000, so it’s not, um, not overly big, but it would suit a [00:34:00] lot of listeners. Um, so who are they? Well, they’re IVE Group. Code is IGL. Um, they’re Australia’s largest print company, and I guess you could also call them a marketing company. And, uh, they, uh, well, they claim they’re the largest commercial printer in the Southern Hemisphere.
They employ over 2,000, uh, staff across Australia. Uh, they, uh, I guess are really centered on commercial printing, especially in the retail catalog space, uh, corporate mailers, but they also now, uh, print packaging and magazines. Uh, and that’s probably at least half of its operations. But they also, uh, do a lot of, um, you know, one-off commercial printing at high volume.
They do a lot of, uh, carton-based printing now and packaging printing. They do. They have a very large distribution business, so third-party [00:35:00] logistics, um, inventory management. Uh, they have a huge household letterbox distribution network. Um, and they also now get into the creative side of things, too. So they do digital marketing, branding, social media marketing, et cetera, uh, and are pretty strong on performance tracking.
So, um, that’s, that’s the business in a nutshell. Um, one of the large printers in Australia, and in fact now, given a few acquisitions, it’s, it’s the largest, and it’s pretty much a monopoly business when it comes to, um, particularly printing catalogs anyway. Uh, so to give a bit of a background to the consolidations that have gone on recently, uh, and they’ve s- they’ve had a strategy within the business called Now to 2030, and the whole part of that business was to, uh, get operational synergies, reduce operating costs, increase margins, and largely through acquisitions, but also through consolidating their printing works into lar- very [00:36:00] large facilities, but one in Sydney and one in Melbourne.
So in the last, uh, 12 months or so, they’ve, uh, uh, acquired a company called Daily Press, and, uh, that was a Sydney-based, um, social media and performance marketing company. They acquired Impressu Print, um, and they were actually part of Domino’s Pizza Enterprises. Uh, so that gave them point-of-sale businesses and a, a pr- a print hub in Brisbane, and they also acquired a company called Budget Mail Services, um, which is a direct mail company.
Uh, so that’s, that’s some, some of the recent smaller businesses that they’ve been acquiring. But the big game changer f‑for them was a company called Ovato Group, and Ovato Group was a rebrand of a company formerly known as PMP, one of the other big printers in Australia. And back in twenty twenty-two, [00:37:00] they, uh, bought quite cheaply the assets from PMP out of administration.
Uh, and, uh, that, that gave them a lot of synergies, it ga-it gave them margin improvement, and it consolidated their position as the biggest printer, um, in Australia. So that was a real game changer for them. Um, before that, Ovato, Ovato or PMP was the, the, um, the larger of the two, I think. Uh, but, um, they lost a couple of catalog businesses, uh, accounts.
Um, they did some mergers of their own, which didn’t go as well, and they entered into voluntary administration in July twenty twenty-two. Uh, they. Then the IVE Group, uh, stepped up to acquire the key printing and finishing operations for sixty million dollars, which they paid for out of cash reserves. And, uh, that was less than the [00:38:00] price of a single new commercial printing press, so they really bought things on the cheap.
And because of that takeover of at least of the assets and, and Ovato going into administration, they were the lar- only largest, uh, or they were the largest and only, um, web offset printer in the country. And, uh, because of that, the, that particular transaction drew scrutiny from the ACCC, um, but they cleared the deal and they acknowledged that if, uh, IVE Group didn’t buy the assets, then Ovato would simply shut down and they would have to be scrapped and that would disrupt a lot of the printing business that was going on in Australia.
And, uh, even the, the retailers, the supermarkets in particular, who are big, uh, printers of catalogs, submitted to the ACCC that even though they didn’t like, um, that, uh, they were, uh, faced with a monopoly provider, it was better than, um, losing the PMP, uh, [00:39:00] assets, um, and having to, uh, you know, probably cut back on their catalog, uh, printing.
So, um, that, uh, went through the ACCC. Um, not only did, uh, this company absorb Ovato’s assets, but they also took over a lot of their clients, including, um, major retailers and publishers. Uh, and then they gradually scaled down and
Com- completely, uh, sorry Cam, I’m getting a call on my phone. Did you hear that? No? Good. I’ve stopped it.
Cameron: Yeah
Tony Kynaston: okay. Um, they gradually scaled down and they completely closed the Ovato flagship manufacturing facility in Warwick Farm in twenty twenty-three, and they shifted the volumes to, uh, an automated hub in Silverwater and Huntingwood and in Sunshine in Victoria, and eventually they’ve rolled those into, um, into their own bespoke, uh, large facilities.
[00:40:00] The Ovato acquisition, though, was an overwhelming success for the IVE Group, and this is where I think the company’s, um, financials have differed from when I last did the Pulled Pork on them. So, um, the, uh, first year post-acquisition, which was FY twenty-three, uh, the assets directly contributed a hundred and thirty-six million in revenue, uh, which meant that, um, revenue was up twenty-seven and a half percent, uh, because they picked up all those extra clients, uh, in the, um, in the transaction.
And, uh, they also increased margin because of the synergies that they could do. So their margins went from just under thirteen percent up to eighteen percent. And, uh, in the FY twenty-four and twenty-five financial reports, IVE confirmed that they achieved all the cost synergies they thought they would, um, which is kind of rare in acquisition land that someone, uh, actually achieves all the synergies they think they would.
Um, so group revenue was up twenty-seven point seven [00:41:00] percent. Cash flows were up from ninety-six million in twenty-two up to a hundred and twenty-eight million in twenty-five. And NPAT went from thirty-three million in FY twenty-two to fifty-two million in FY twenty-five. So it was a very good acquisition for them, and it’s, I guess it’s not surprising given it gives them monopoly-like characteristics in the, in the printing market and the catalog delivery market.
And it’s something that Warren Buffett would always talk about. He likes to own monopoly, uh, companies. Uh, he see- sees that their moats are the widest and they’re the, the, um, the best performing, highest margins, and hardest to compete against. So this might be, um, a Warren Buffett type stock if, um, if you wanna take that point of view to it.
Um, interesting history. Goes back a long way. So the business was founded by Oscar Selig, who was an Australian World War I veteran, and when he came back from World War I, he started a business called The Link, [00:42:00] which produced a community newspaper in Balmain. And then, um, to sustain the continued editions of The Link, he decided to vertically integrate and launched a, a small commercial printing shop known as Link Printing.
And so for several decades, the, that company focused on localized commercial printing in and around Sydney. But in the early sixties, Oscar’s son, Gordon Selig, took over control. Uh, he recognized that the community print models were capping the company’s growth, and he started to expand into other high-volume commercial contract printing businesses.
Throughout the ’70s and ’80s, the company moved out of small local premises and scaled operations dramatically, uh, and they started heavy industrial printing hubs across Western Sydney. And then in the late 1990s, Gordon’s sons, Jeff and Paul Selig, uh, took over or joined the, the executive team in the business, and they also, [00:43:00] um, realized that, uh, being a standalone printing company, um, was under threat due to the rise of digital marketing.
And so they began to, uh, diversify across different sectors. Um, they integrated data-driven communications, point-of-sale retail display businesses, digital telemarketing, e‑commerce platforms, and the logistics, uh, side of delivering catalogs into their business. Uh, at that stage, the brands operated under a collective, uh, heading called Blue Star Group.
Um, one of the businesses was called IVE EDI, and eventually, uh, the company listed in twenty fifteen under the ticker IGL. Uh, they then rebranded all those sub-brands into IVE Group, and they then started to acquire competitors, firstly Franklin Webb, and then the takeover of Ovato in 2022. Um,
The, um, uh, next major change was in 2024 when the executive [00:44:00] chairman, Jeff Selig, passed away, and then they appointed from outside, uh, a CEO, Matt Aitken. So they’re now, even though, um, two of the sons are still on the board, uh, they’re now run by an outsider, uh, since 2024. Um, they’ve gone on a, uh, capital, uh, capital or intensively allocated capital to creating super sites, one in Victoria, one in Sydney.
The, um, super site in Sydney is called Kemps Creek, and, uh, it’s just opened this year, and it’s 44,000 square kilometres at Kemps Creek. And, um, that, that facility focuses on package printing, um, which they expanded into with the acquisition of a business called Jackpack, which is, um, was printing on, uh, packaging.
Um, so that’s how the business has expanded and grown through acquisition, uh, and its history. But I wanted to spend a little bit of time talking about the [00:45:00] catalog m- um, side of things because working at Coles Myer, I had a fair bit of exposure to, uh, catalog, um, printing and delivery and, uh, it’s, um, it’s a very interesting business which, um, doesn’t get much of a spotlight on it generally.
Um, but, uh, the, the two major supermarkets in Australia, and I guess the smaller ones as well, and some of the other retailers, uh, like Super Retail Group, have made, um, a big investment in being able to print catalogs which display their latest, uh, product, uh, discounts and have them distributed to households on a weekly basis, and that drives a lot of, uh, foot traffic into stores.
And in fact, that was kind of tested by Coles when, uh, when IVE took over Ovato, Coles decided that it didn’t like having, um, only one supplier in the market, [00:46:00] and so they ceased their national letterbox drops, um, in 2020, partly because of the COVID pandemic, because they’ve. You know, it was difficult for people to actually drop, uh, the letterbox mailers for Coles, but also because of the, um, uh, more rapid adoption of online, um, retailing during that COVID time, but also because they didn’t like the idea of having one supplier for a major cost in their business.
Um, so they launched a digital content hub called Coles and Co to replace the paper catalogs, and that was, um, that was a major blow to IVE Group, so they lost a $40 million, um, printing contract and, uh, Coles kept a, a small number of, um, catalogs physically printed to hand out in stores, but basically cut it out, uh, from delivery.
But y- after four years of doing that, um, they quietly returned to printing catalogs in late 2024, [00:47:00] and in February 2025, uh, Matt Aitken, the, um, MD or, uh, yeah, MD of IVE officially confirmed to shareholders that Coles had fully returned to the letterbox channel, um, alongside other major retailers like Bunnings and Harvey Norman.
So what Coles found was while the digital platforms provided great targeted marketing, um, the supermarkets discovered that they really did have a, have a reliance on, uh, those weekly letterbox drops which highlighted their specials, and that did drive foot traffic into the stores. So I know when I was with the supermarkets, they were always trying to reduce the cost of catalogs.
They were always trying to trim how many they delivered, but they were always stumbling because as soon as they cut too far, their sales would go down. So it’s, it’s coming into the business cold, you would think, “Why are they spending all this money, $30 to $40 million a year on printing and delivering catalogs?”
But it really does drive, um, [00:48:00] foot traffic via product, uh, discounts to the right households, um, from, through their marketing arm. So it’s a, a big thing for them. Um, I guess a couple of other things to talk about with catalogs. So, uh,
IVE got into the, um, distribution side of, uh, of the business, um, when it took over Ovato’s, uh, assets. Um, and they picked up something like 12,000 catalog walkers, both through that and the acquisition of a company called Salmat, um, which was, uh, I guess the biggest player in, uh, in the market in terms of delivering catalogs.
Salmat didn’t have much on the printing side, so it didn’t have the vertical integration that, uh, IVE does. And so Salmat actually went into liquidation back in about 2022, I think, um, after being around for a long time. I certainly dealt with them when I was at Coles Myer. Uh, but they decided [00:49:00] that they would be better off selling their distribution, um, to, um, IVE and then selling off some other assets.
They had a big outsourcing center in the Philippines. Uh, and then going into, um, voluntary administration and liquidation and doing a big capital return to shareholders via the way of a dividend, and then winding itself up. So they, they kind of threw in the towel, um, because of all the competitive pressures in the industry.
And that benefited IVE again, who started to vertically integrate printing and distribution of the catalogs. Um, so IVE now has 14,000 people that they hire each week to hand walk leaflets into people’s letterboxes, which I, I find staggering really, and, um, kind of interesting that it hasn’t been able to be digitized.
Um, and when Coles tried, they couldn’t better the b- the benefits of physically delivering a catalog. So Coles and Woolies both print somewhere between five and seven million catalogs per [00:50:00] week, and then have them distributed by hand into people’s letterboxes. Um, IVE though has gotten a bit, um, better at doing this and they, um, they use a lot of tools like, uh, geodemographic clustering, um, using their own data analytics platforms.
They do targeted delivery based on, um, suburbs and what’s called CCDs, so Census Collection Districts, which are down to 200 households. Uh, they filter on income, household size, and lifestyle profile, and then they, um, format which catalogs and, uh, can go to which areas to, uh, kind of micro-market the catalogs, uh, to, uh, end users.
Um, so sometimes a retailer might send a 32-page premium catalog to a high disposable income suburb while distributing an, an eight-page best value leaflet to more budget-conscious postcodes, for example. Um, IVE call this the phygital, [00:51:00] P‑H-Y-G-I-T-A‑L approach. Never heard of that term before, but it’s a combination of physical and digital.
And what they do is they frequently include QR codes on the, um, the flyers that go out to letterboxes, and then they, um, they look at when a customer or when a household scans the catalog, the retailer can track, uh, which demographics are converting, um, and going in store to take up the offers. So it’s a bit more scientific than it was when, um, when I was there, when it was just, uh, trying to, uh, almost by trial and error, cut out suburbs and see how the sales reacted.
Um, the other thing that IVE has done is to do a lot of work with the, uh, co- the infrastructure for collation and delivery. So now, um, in the past, what would happen was, um, s‑semi-trailers would deliver bundles and bundles, pallets of catalogs to individual garages where [00:52:00] these walkers would then collate them and then go on their rounds to deliver them.
That, uh, that collation activity is now done in the, in the logistics, um, part of the business by IVE, and they can do it in a targeted and automated way and then produce, um, bundles for the, uh, households or the delivery walkers to send to households. Um, and that gives the retailers, again, a, a better way of targeting which catalogs are sent to which houses, um, and to do it effectively and efficiently.
Um, and there’s also been a lot of work done cross-referencing the loyalty programs at Coles and Woolworths, Flybuys and Everyday Rewards, um, which they can then cross-reference to the letterbox drops and see, um, via the transactions on the cards what’s actually occurred. And so that, that does improve their return on marketing investment as well.
So, um, a lot of sort of smarts going into catalog distribution now. And probably the last link in the chain to talk about, which is, uh, [00:53:00] again, I find interesting, is that again, when, um, when I was working with Coles and other brands at Coles Myer on, on their marketing, they would always be fairly skeptical about how many catalogs were actually delivered.
And there was always anecdotal evidence that someone would, um, a walker would, uh, you know, just dump the catalogs in the bin somewhere or, um, you know, we had photographic proof that there were catalogs being dumped in creeks around Melbourne, for example. And, you know, tho-those would be taken back to the printers and the, and the walking companies as individual cases and that they would be dealt with then, but it was still a largely manual process.
But now what happens is the, um, IVE, uh, group has an application called IVE Hub, IVE Hub, which is an app on the smartphone. The catalog walker must open the app, tap Start Walk, and they begin their designated ro-route. The GPS in the phone, um, can plot where the walker is physically going. They can, um, [00:54:00] let them know if they’ve strayed outside of their, uh, their assigned district.
And then, um- Once the walker finishes, they submit a digital declaration that they’ve delivered all the catalogs to the households they were supposed to, and then IVE supervisors can conduct a, a sampling audit and, uh, look at the GPS to see that the walker actually walked through the routes and then can approve the payment for the walker, um, again, using their, their, uh, IVE Hub application.
So that, that’s the way they now manage the fourteen thousand, um, contractors and improve the delivery verification for the retailers. Um- But, you know, to me it’s just staggering that’s still going on these days, that fourteen thousand people are walking printed catalogs around to people. But at this stage anyway, the retailers haven’t been able to crack getting off that, um, that, uh, gr- that train, I guess, of cost.
So, um, I find that very interesting. And of course, it’s the backbone for [00:55:00] IVE, um, to do that and to keep the retailers happy, and it’s, it seems to be working for IVE anyway. Um, having said that, though, their latest half results were a little soft. So, um, there has been a bit of a slowdown in retail, uh, because of all the things going on with interest rates and, um, other impacts with oil prices, et cetera, um, on the consumer’s, um, spending dollar.
Uh, but the softness in retail was ex- offset a little bit by margin expansion for IVE. Um, and profit was slo- slightly down, but largely because of the cost of integrating the printing plants into the Kemp facility in Sydney. So quickly, uh, to look at their results for the half, uh, revenue was down six percent, margin was up two percent, and profit was down ten percent.
Uh, so it hasn’t all been smooth sailing for this monopoly business, but, um, I guess once they get Kemp up and running, that might turn around a bit. In terms of QAV numbers, uh, the price that I did the analysis at was two dollars seventy-nine, [00:56:00] uh, which is above IV1 of one sixty-eight, but below IV2 of three twenty-four, and fifteen percent below consensus target.
Um, the company is both a star growth stock and a star income stock in Stock Doctor, so it gets, uh, extra points on our checklist for that. And of course, that pretty much guarantees the financial health is strong and the trend is steady in Stock– steady in Stock Doctor. Stockopedia give it a quality ranking of seventy-nine, which I thought was a little bit low.
F score is five out of nine. Um, but, uh, yeah, I think that’s on the back of those weakish numbers in the first half. But overall, they still give it a ranking of ninety-five, so it still scores pretty well in Stockopedia as well. Uh, PE is eight point five times, which is in the middle of the range, so we don’t score it for that.
Pr/OpCaf is four point seven times, so it’s throwing off lots of cash, which is good. Um, we can’t buy it for book value or book plus thirty. Book plus thirty is dollar eighty-eight. And I should also [00:57:00] highlight with all those acquisitions, there’s lots of goodwill, and so NTA is a lot lower than that as well.
But we can’t score it for being able to buy it for book value or book plus thirty. And nor can we score it for growth. Earnings per share growth is only forecast at two percent, so we can’t score it for growth over PE, which is only point two eight. Uh, we can score it for yield. It’s a high yielding company, um, which is throwing off six point four five percent yield at the moment.
And we can’t score it, uh, for owner founder, even though the Selig family still have a shareholding. They s- have sold down recently. They’re down to about four point four percent, and Paul Selig remains on the board. But that’s not enough to, uh, give th- this company an owner founder score, even though obviously they do have a long history of the Selig family involvement.
Uh, overall quality score is at fifty-three percent, eight point five out of fifteen. QAV score of point one one, and it is a Josephine at the moment, but, um, you know, it could come back into [00:58:00] buy territory going forward. So a lot to like about the company and its mono- monopoly status. Um, the risks, uh, I guess, are coming through in its F1 numbers that, uh, they’re very reliant on retail, uh, doing well.
Um, but yeah, it’s, uh, it’s a lot stronger than when I looked at it last time.
Cameron: And I’ve held a few parcels of it in various portfolios since April last year and they are up 14. So haven’t shot the lights out but haven’t gone backwards either so guess that’s okay. Average. Thank you Tony. you. Eagle. Phigital, phigital, that.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
I did too. I thought you would.
Cameron: yeah phigital
Tony Kynaston: I hadn’t heard of it. Yeah. And I remember at the time they were just starting to do that, they were actually– When I was at Coles, they were actually just dropping, um, GPS trackers into the walkers, you know, physically putting GPS trackers into the catalog bundles to make sure the walkers were delivering catalogs.
Cameron: [00:59:00] Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: thing at Coles Myer was that, uh, each of the Coles Myer businesses had a different printer and a different catalog delivery company. So Salmat, PMP or, um, IVE back in, uh, in its, um, its earlier incarnations. Uh, and, um, IVE was certainly showing a lot of, um, promise in terms of its ability to use GPS tracking, but it still wasn’t enough to, to overcome this, the retailer’s hesitancy to have one supplier, which is, um, you know, potentially a negative for them.
And I think from what I read, Coles is likely to continue to, to retreat back to digital marketing, even if it costs them some sales, just to be able to keep some pressure on IVE and its price for supplying the catalog printing business to them.
Cameron: Mm.
Tony Kynaston: It’s all about being a merchant in, uh, in supermarket land.
Cameron: How long before they have drones that just [01:00:00] shoot delivery people if they don’t deliver them uh on time and properly.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, well, I don’t know, but I would have also thought how long before you can just send something to your phone? You know, here are your, here are the great product deals for you this week. I guess they’ve been trying to do that with the loyalty programs and the apps on the phones, but, um, it hasn’t, at this stage anyway, it hasn’t been as effective as, as walking a catalog into a letterbox.
Cameron: Hmm. Yeah it seems weird that in 2026 that’s still a thing.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, it does, doesn’t it?
Cameron: years ago.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: But I know Chrissy loves sitting there flicking through catalogs. Whenever we go to Aldi she takes a catalog. I’m like, what? Why? She goes, oh I like, I like looking through it. Kill me now. That’s my view of everything.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm. Yeah, and I mean, they, they, I, I forget what the numbers are now, but they– I’ve come across the number of trees that were cut down to print these catalogs, and it’s enormous. I, I know a lot is done via recycling of paper these days, but it’s still a large number of trees that are [01:01:00] felled to feed this, uh, mainline addiction to catalog retailing in Australia.
Cameron: Hmm. Okay. Hours Tony.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. So, um, I’ll let you talk about The Rolling Stones, but their new album’s pretty good. I’ve been enjoying that. Um, Jenny’s been away up in Sydney visiting. Oh, sorry, Melbourne, visiting with Alex this week, so I haven’t. I’ve been trying to watch things that, um, we wouldn’t both watch together. So I’ve been going, going back through some old movies, and there, there’s been some really interesting B‑grade movies I hadn’t seen before from, like, the ’90s and early 2000s, which I’ve caught up on.
You may have seen some of them. And like, I’m developing a real taste for a sort of failed, ambitious attempt at, you know, a good, really interesting, good movie. Um, I kind of forgive their, their, um, short fallings because they’re, you know, they’re out there trying something new. But, uh, three that I came across this week and watched and enjoyed, um, [01:02:00] uh, Confessions of a Dangerous Mind.
I don’t know if you’ve seen that one. Sam Rockwell film. Yeah, there you go.
Cameron: Rockwell.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: can do anything.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. He can, can’t he? Yeah.
Cameron: He’s one of my.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. I loved it too.
Cameron: Clooney directed that.
Tony Kynaston: Clooney’s first direct- directorial debut and consequently, um, Julia Roberts has a bit of a part in it. Brad Pitt has a quick cameo in it. Um, and it’s about the, uh, the chap who, um, started a lot of game shows in the US when TV was becoming big, The Dating Game, and eventually The Gong Show.
And if you. I, I went back and had a look at some of the clips of The Gong Show, and Sam Rockwell does an amazing impersonation of the compere of The Gong Show. Very distinctive style, yeah.
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, but, but great film. Um,
Cameron: Yeah I I really enjoyed that.
Tony Kynaston: I did too,
Cameron: seen.
Tony Kynaston: B grade.
Cameron: but think it was probably one of the first films where I really you know noticed Sam Rockwell. I’m not.
Tony Kynaston: Right.
Cameron: [01:03:00] that or the remake of um uh Restaurant at the End of the Universe. What’s the original one called.
Tony Kynaston: Guide.
Cameron: Hitchhiker’s Guide. yeah. when he was in that. But.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, right.
Cameron: he he was Zaphod Beeblebrox I think in the.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, okay.
Cameron: remake of that.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, right.
Cameron: Uh but yeah that’s. Yeah I saw that I was like oh god I haven’t seen that for years. He’s he’s good fun Sam.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I missed it the first time round, but I enjoyed it this time. Uh, another one called Shoot ‘Em Up, which is, um, just a, as it says, a gun. Clive Owen, yep, but also Monica Bellucci and, um,
Cameron: Oh.
Tony Kynaston: Paul Giamatti. So,
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: yeah. And like full of, full of piss takes on itself. Monica Bellucci playing a lactating hooker is, um, kind of, kind of, uh, apt, I thought.
Um, but yeah, just a shoot up from start to finish, and it– And, uh, you know, just a piss take as well on the genre, which I really [01:04:00] enjoyed. Yep.
Cameron: I haven’t seen that but I do love Clive Owen. I always thought he should’ve been Bond.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I did too. Yeah, I did too. Uh, and then, um, Revolver, an, an early Guy Ritchie film which I hadn’t seen before. Uh,
Cameron: I think.
Tony Kynaston: in fact, I think I might have saw it, but I just came back to it.
Interesting– Like, it was interesting watching it the second time through. It’s, it’s again, very ambitious. It’s trying to talk about the ego and putting your ego aside, and the freedom that would give you, and the control it would give you on your emotions and your life and stuff. Um, but it’s a very muddled film.
And I think it was largely, uh, influenced by, is it Kabbalahism? The, the Madonna, the religion or mysticism that Madonna- Madonna embraced when she was going out with or married to Guy Ritchie. So he’s dabbled in some of the mysticism with that. But,
um,
similar to some of the stuff we’ve talked about before, where, you know, you just– everyone’s part of the universe, and you shouldn’t.
You know, your ego is [01:05:00] a, is a deception and, you know, get over it and give yourself over to the universe and you’ll do a lot better. Um,
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: again, very ambitious with its themes, uh, but a very muddled film as well.
Cameron: Written by Luc Besson.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: Ritchie apparently.
Tony Kynaston: Ooh.
Cameron: Looking it up now. Luc Besson was the man back in the day. I.
Tony Kynaston: he?
Cameron: don’t think he’s done anything that I’ve seen and liked in decades.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, no, Valerian. You haven’t seen– We showed you Valerian, I think, when you were in Canada.
Cameron: Valerian.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: through it because I just, I was jet lagged.
Tony Kynaston: Right. I think it’s brilliant.
Cameron: the Professional, La Femme.
Tony Kynaston: Oh.
Cameron: The Fifth Element. Oh, in the ’90s he could do no wrong.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. Big fan of Luc Besson.
Cameron: Hmm. La Femme Nikita. Uh, well, what have I– the Rolling Stones’ new album, as you said, uh, really great. it on the other morning and Chrissy goes, “What’s [01:06:00] this?” And I’m rolling. She says, she goes, “It’s not much good.” And I was like,
Tony Kynaston: Oh.
Cameron: I, I said, “Like, you gotta like The Stones.”
She goes, “I like The Stones.” I’m like, “Nah, you don’t really like The Stones. Like, you don’t go and put a Stones album on.” she likes half a dozen tracks. She goes, “Oh, I like, you know, this or that, and I love ‘Angie’ ” and whatever. I’m like, “Yeah, but yeah, no.” It’s classic. Like, I’m astounded.
Tony Kynaston: Hey there, Jason.
Cameron: is classic mid-’70s Stones, and they’re in their 80s, and it’s just great riffs. V- a lot of variety. Um, it’s not paint by numbers. There’s a lot of feel, a lot of heart, a lot of soul in it, I think. Great interview with Mick in New York Times this week, uh, just talking about and recording and what’s, what it’s like to be Mick Jagger at 82 or whatever he is.
Tony Kynaston: Wow.
Cameron: Yeah, like, uh, I hand, gotta hand it to those guys.
It’s, it’s, it’s crazy.
Tony Kynaston: I love the, I love the painting on the front cover of the album too. [01:07:00] It’s, uh, the, the combination of the three faces. It’s, it’s fantastic.
Cameron: Yeah. Yeah, yeah. I think it’s one of Ronnie’s. I’m guessing it’s.
Tony Kynaston: Ah,
Cameron: paintings.
Tony Kynaston: better then.
Cameron: um, artwork.
Tony Kynaston: I have, yeah. Saw a great documentary on his artwork.
Cameron: Right. I’m, I mean, I’m assuming, I haven’t looked into it, but I’m assuming it’s something that he’s done.
Tony Kynaston: Okay. And they used to always have one of Ronnie’s artworks in a gallery on High Street in Armadale I used to go past. Um,
Cameron: really?
Tony Kynaston: yeah. They had a couple of his.
Cameron: Uh, so I’ve been enjoying that. Jack White’s also got a new album out, which man, like, mean, the Stones album is great, but his new album, like every track, riff, i- it’s got a great riff. Like, he is like the master of riffs. He can pull riffs out of his butt like nobody’s business. He just, he kinda gets to write a clean, simple, [01:08:00] singable, uh, catchy riff.
I really gotta hand it to him.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, right.
Cameron: Something, uh, so we’ve been watching House of the Dragon based on your recommendation last week. Couple of episodes in. Not bad, but, um, yeah, I don’t think– It doesn’t have anywhere near the sort of interesting characters, I think, that the original Game of Thrones has. But I don’t know if that’s because. saying to Chrissy, I remember when we first started watching Game of Thrones 15 years ago or whatever, and I was like, “What’s going on? Who’s that guy? What’s happening?” you know, after, in the rewatch, all the characters are sort of memorable and classic all that kind of stuff. I don’t know if it’s the same’s gonna be with this.
But Matt Smith, uh, uh, he, he’s starting to, uh, grow on me as, uh, the bad Targaryen, but I just, you know, he’s just The Doctor to me. I keep wanting him to, like, spin around and pull out a sonic and do stuff.
Tony Kynaston: I think he’s really good in it
Cameron: that he’s actually John Smith, uh, who’d lost his– [01:09:00] He’d had, like, uh, amnesia, and he was playing the role of a Targaryen to infiltrate ’cause the Daleks are involved or something. Um, do you know who Justin Wolfers is? Platypus Economics?
Tony Kynaston: I do not know
Cameron: He’s an Aussie, lives in the US. He’s an economist and he’s got his own YouTube podcast website something these days called Platypus Economics. I saw him on Kola this week. Kola did a big interview with him, which was really, really interesting. so talking about Trump administration and what’s going on in the US economy and basically he’s saying it’s just a complete cluster. Uh, you know, it’s just a complete mess. Uh, you know, it’s completely bonkers. Everything we know, but it was just good hearing. He, he was talking about the fact that as an Aussie in the US, he feels like he has the ability to call it as he sees it rather than that this is business as usual. [01:10:00] Um,
Tony Kynaston: position
Cameron: yeah.
He’s just talking about how the tariffs are bonkers and, you know, everything they’re doing is just insane and it’s just. Anyway, worth a watch
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, okay, thanks. Including the latest 20%, uh, tariff on shipping through the Straits of Hormuz that America wants to charge
Cameron: I saw an interesting thing in the New York Times the other day about the US military, whatever the CENTCOM is over there, are claiming that in the last couple of months they’ve helped a whole ton of ships, 400 ships, secretly pass through the strait by turning off their responders and sneaking along the coast of Oman.
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm
Cameron: Um, and I– my first thought was, “Okay, maybe that’s why we didn’t run out of oil.” Secondly, would you say that out loud when you’re target– when you’re back
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: firing missiles at each other? That seems like a weird thing to be [01:11:00] claiming.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And also too, can you believe it? I mean, an oil tank is a pretty big thing, but they– does Trump go, “Don’t look at me, look over there,” and they sneak the oil tanker through? Straits of Hormuz aren’t that big. Should be able to see it. Yeah
Cameron: yeah
Yeah. exactly. So I, I don’t know. I, I thought it was strange claims. Uh, the other thing I was gonna say is that we did a two-day kung fu seminar on the weekend, um, because five days, uh, a week is not enough, with the, with Andrew Cheung, Master Andrew Cheung, who’s the son of Grandmaster William Cheung, who’s the head of our s- was the head of our school, but he had an accident four or five years ago, and he’s in a wheelchair, so his, uh, son runs things now globally for us. that was good. It’s the first time we’ve ever met him and got to train with him. He’s only in his mid-30s, but he’s been training obviously with his dad since he was a kid. Really, really proficient guy. Does, tournament fighting, and he [01:12:00] was telling us he’s trying to bring, um, kung fu tournaments to Brisbane. Uh, well, he’s trying to make them national, which would be fun. Might go and fight in a couple of kung fu, kung fu tournaments when they come here. We’ll see how that goes.
Tony Kynaston: Do they have a master’s division?
Cameron: Uh, like is that an old person’s division?
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, usually over 50s.
Cameron: kung fu.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, does it? Okay. Right
Cameron: Yeah. Oh, that’d be good if they did that. Probably should be age brackets, you would think. Speaking of which, did you catch any of the Conor McGregor comeback on the weekend? Conor McGregor’s comeback fight, um, first 10 seconds of the fight, he runs in towards his, uh, opponent, throws a f- jumping round kick, uh, misses, lands badly on his, uh, other leg and does his leg and falls on the ground and it’s over in a minute. Fight was over. Totally insane. [01:13:00] Totally insane. And a lot of, lot of suspicion that he threw the fight, a lot of allegations in the Reddits that he, uh, knew he was gonna lose so he just threw it in the opening re- opening minute and then was like, “Thank you. Payday. I’m, I’m out.”
Tony Kynaston: Oh dear. Well, I’d respect him for that, but,
Cameron: like,
Tony Kynaston: know
Cameron: people paying thousands of bucks for a ticket for this thing, and they go along and it’s over in a minute. You, you would be pretty annoyed, I imagine Anywho, that’s it.
Tony Kynaston: Good
Cameron: QAV Australia for this week. Thank you, TK. Thank you. Congratulations again to everyone sending in their results. Haven’t any– haven’t had anyone give me any bad results, um, so don’t know if they’re like just don’t wanna admit it or we didn’t have any bad results. But if you didn’t have a good year, let, let me know. Tell me why. Let’s, let’s work it out. It’s not us, it’s you though. Obviously, if everyone else had a good year, you did something wrong, but that’s okay [01:14:00] Uh,
Tony Kynaston: and talk about Argentinian
Cameron: p- my super portfolio was only double market.
Like, let’s, let’s be clear. Like, you know, as you said, “Oh, you’re complaining about double market?” No, but it wasn’t 52% or 75% as some of these other people got.
Tony Kynaston: Good on them
Cameron: Let’s go talk about Argentina.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah
Cameron: Oh, man. Do you know much about Javier Milei?
Tony Kynaston: I didn’t until I started res- researching it this morning
Cameron: Did you have, did you enjoy that?
Tony Kynaston: I did
Cameron: Oh, wow. What a, what a, what a crazy story this guy’s got. Anyway, let’s go do that. Thank you,
Tony Kynaston: All right. Cheers. Bye-bye

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