This week we have some big news, talk about some minor errors we’ve fixed in the checklist and bible, then Tony does a pulled pork on COG, we explain ASX’s cash flow anomaly from last week, Tony talk about some recent regression testing he has done on selling when the QAV score hits 0.5 and on using ROE in our checklist, Shell scenario planning frameworks, whether or not we should discount sentiment for companies with a small float, which part of the cycle Tony thinks the market is in and whether or not it matters, MYE’s falling QAV score, the sell line for CDD, the buy line for CAA, and how Tony treats REITs.
CDD 30–8‑21
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Boring Stocks, Bonkers Returns: QAV AU #926
On this week’s show we wrap up the financial year and the numbers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU model portfolio is up nearly 29% for the year, the Light portfolios are up nearly 36% as a group, and the US model is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Limited, a small engineering fabricator that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just landed on the buy list. We also get into the warning signs stacking up on Wall Street, from margin loans up 50% to the Bank of International Settlements calling out AI data centre spending as a potential GFC-style meltdown risk.
OIL THAT: QAV AU #925
This week we cover the Iran oil sanctions waiver and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on selling our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Energy, Brookside) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-listed labour hire and training firm Ashley Services Group (ASH), a thinly traded turnaround story with a strong owner-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the passing of Alan Greenspan, the Credit Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-financial-year portfolio numbers that have the dummy portfolio well ahead of the index.
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