Welcome to our new value investing podcast.
My mate Tony is a very successful private investor. For the last 25 years, his share portfolio has, on average, doubled the performance of the stock market, every year. On this first episode, Tony tells me his story — how he went from growing up poor in Brisbane, to starting his investment portfolio, losing half of it in the first year, working out the kinks, to becoming very, very good at it and getting rich — slowly.
In future episodes, he’s going to teach me his checklist-based system for value investing. If you’re not familiar with that concept, it’s how guys like Warren Buffett invest. Value investing is basically the idea of finding high quality companies with a strong track record of generating lots of cash, but whose share price is for some reason currently undervalued. You buy those stocks and wait for the market to catch up.
PLEASE NOTE: We recorded a new version of our getting started episodes in early 2020 and highly recommend you listen to those instead of this episode. We had more practice at telling his story by then. But we’re leaving this one up for historical interest.
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On this week’s show we wrap up the financial year and the numbers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU model portfolio is up nearly 29% for the year, the Light portfolios are up nearly 36% as a group, and the US model is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Limited, a small engineering fabricator that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just landed on the buy list. We also get into the warning signs stacking up on Wall Street, from margin loans up 50% to the Bank of International Settlements calling out AI data centre spending as a potential GFC-style meltdown risk.
OIL THAT: QAV AU #925
This week we cover the Iran oil sanctions waiver and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on selling our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Energy, Brookside) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-listed labour hire and training firm Ashley Services Group (ASH), a thinly traded turnaround story with a strong owner-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the passing of Alan Greenspan, the Credit Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-financial-year portfolio numbers that have the dummy portfolio well ahead of the index.
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