This week we talk about why MML crashed after it announced its quarterly results. How Tony uses “Rule #1” to avoid losing money. Lots of interesting things going on with oil at the moment. How mergers and acquisitions can be a signal of late market cycle behaviour. Why FMG’s huge dividend payout is a signal of things changing with the company. RIO’s results in Stock Doctor. How Tony updates his scorecard in the early stages of reporting season. His pulled pork this week is CCV. How to calculate the performance of a portfolio with a lot of capital in and out flows. And the idea of adding ROE>20% as an item to the checklist.
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Boring Stocks, Bonkers Returns: QAV AU #926
On this week’s show we wrap up the financial year and the numbers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU model portfolio is up nearly 29% for the year, the Light portfolios are up nearly 36% as a group, and the US model is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Limited, a small engineering fabricator that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just landed on the buy list. We also get into the warning signs stacking up on Wall Street, from margin loans up 50% to the Bank of International Settlements calling out AI data centre spending as a potential GFC-style meltdown risk.
OIL THAT: QAV AU #925
This week we cover the Iran oil sanctions waiver and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on selling our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Energy, Brookside) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-listed labour hire and training firm Ashley Services Group (ASH), a thinly traded turnaround story with a strong owner-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the passing of Alan Greenspan, the Credit Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-financial-year portfolio numbers that have the dummy portfolio well ahead of the index.
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