My cir­cle of com­pe­tence is just QAV ; Elec­tion result, invest­ing impli­ca­tions ; SEQ and the “sec­ond buy line” ; out­per­for­mance by founder-led com­pa­nies ; NHC’s big drop ; YAL halt ; Murph from ABC died ; Howard Marks’ lat­est memo on investor psy­chol­o­gy ; Sri Lan­ka default­ing on $18bn of bonds. ; Under­em­ploy­ment rate now at 6.1% ; NUF has new results and crashed ; Aus­tralians lost $10Bn in cryp­to last year ; small stocks and Rule 1 ; what do you do in a mar­ket like this when you have a full port­fo­lio and more cap­i­tal ; a strong cor­re­la­tion between div­i­dend yield and the QAV buy list ; Analy­sis of price to con­sen­sus tar­get fig­ures ; ME close v Price Chg 1mth (%) for cal­cu­lat­ing Josephine ; when a stock has done excep­tion­al­ly well (say dou­bled) would TK use the pro­ceeds to pur­chase two stocks?

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Boring Stocks, Bonkers Returns: QAV AU #926

On this week’s show we wrap up the finan­cial year and the num­bers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU mod­el port­fo­lio is up near­ly 29% for the year, the Light port­fo­lios are up near­ly 36% as a group, and the US mod­el is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Lim­it­ed, a small engi­neer­ing fab­ri­ca­tor that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just land­ed on the buy list. We also get into the warn­ing signs stack­ing up on Wall Street, from mar­gin loans up 50% to the Bank of Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments call­ing out AI data cen­tre spend­ing as a poten­tial GFC-style melt­down risk.

OIL THAT: QAV AU #925

This week we cov­er the Iran oil sanc­tions waiv­er and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on sell­ing our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Ener­gy, Brook­side) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-list­ed labour hire and train­ing firm Ash­ley Ser­vices Group (ASH), a thin­ly trad­ed turn­around sto­ry with a strong own­er-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the pass­ing of Alan Greenspan, the Cred­it Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-finan­­cial-year port­fo­lio num­bers that have the dum­my port­fo­lio well ahead of the index.

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