QAV S05E15 — When You Predict

On this week’s show we wrap up the finan­cial year and the num­bers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU mod­el port­fo­lio is up near­ly 29% for the year, the Light port­fo­lios are up near­ly 36% as a group, and the US mod­el is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Lim­it­ed, a small engi­neer­ing fab­ri­ca­tor that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just land­ed on the buy list. We also get into the warn­ing signs stack­ing up on Wall Street, from mar­gin loans up 50% to the Bank of Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments call­ing out AI data cen­tre spend­ing as a poten­tial GFC-style melt­down risk.

This week we cov­er the Iran oil sanc­tions waiv­er and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on sell­ing our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Ener­gy, Brook­side) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-list­ed labour hire and train­ing firm Ash­ley Ser­vices Group (ASH), a thin­ly trad­ed turn­around sto­ry with a strong own­er-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the pass­ing of Alan Greenspan, the Cred­it Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-finan­­cial-year port­fo­lio num­bers that have the dum­my port­fo­lio well ahead of the index.