ALL Seasons
All Australian Episodes
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QAV #639 — Holiday Mode
Rupert’s retirement, YAL PROPCAF update, portfolio report, pulled pork on KAR, using 3PTL with the ASX.
QAV #638 — Gaming The Numbers
CAGR reporting, YAL’s PrOpCaF, US Portfolio, SGM market update, Lithium a Sell for PLS, Viva Energy & Vitol, QAN troubles, Mortgage rate change 6.58%, CCP now ex-div, Brisbane catch up, Pulled Pork: WGX, borrowing against a mortgage to invest in shares, ex-dividend and Josephine status, and charting our buy list.
QAV #637 — Chairman Mabb (ASA) Returns
Steven Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association (and QAV Club member) returns to share his thoughts on proxy votes, QANTAS, Nick Scali, EML, Virgin UK, FMG, REM reports, AGMs, director workloads, auditors becoming board members, the value of independent directors, gender representation on boards, and much more.
QAV #636 — Come On Now
Commodity Updates, WSI crash, Australia spooks global LNG markets, Buffett says he could make 50% return per year, FMG CFO quits, QAN in a bit of a pickle, Pulled pork on AIZ, are the sins of a former CEO carried forward, and an update from Tony on the use of RENKO charts.
QAV #635 — Sugar Hits
Wheat is a sell; FMG is a red flag; PLS results and crash; AFG results and crash; the cost of timing the market; great guns; QAN results; Pulled Pork MAH; where the money goes; beta volatility and QAV; US investors who claim their methodology returns 30% — 60% pa.
QAV #634 — Whitehaven Coal
This week on the show: PRN reports great results and crashes; China’s slowdown; US bond yields; SGM results; Pulled pork WHC; new mortgage rate; TK’s thoughts on Imugene (IMU) and share placements at a significant discount.
QAV #633 — Baby Bunting
Fitch downgrades the US, Lowe has new ideas about the RBA, NCK beats the pulled pork curse, MYR rebounds, iron ore falls (every October?), Baby Bunting pulled pork, and problems with Updater’s delisting.
QAV #632- Confidence Is Up/Down!
The market’s had a rough week, MYR collapses on good results, business confidence is up while consumer confidence is down, coking coal isn’t a sell after all, pulled pork on NCK, possible changes to Rule 1, BBN’s performance, and adding buybacks to the checklist.
QAV #631 — Goodbye, Mr Bond
This week we’re talking about what the CCP and TRS share price movements mean for the economy, the wheat price, the ‘year of the bond’, the difference between ETFs and LICs, and we have our interview with listener Brent Sweeney who recently attended the Berkshire Hathaway AGM in Omaha, Nebraska!
QAV #630 — The Dead Zone
This week in the Club edition we’re talking about movements in Gold and Lithium prices, why Super Funds suck, why the ASX is in a “dead zone”, the big week of company reporting coming up, our Stockopedia trial, a pulled pork on KSL, URW selling down US malls, RIO in recycling push, technical indicators, and what TK thinks about companies with lots of shares held in escrow.
QAV #629 — Keep On Truckin’
Cameron’s powers of prediction, FMG’s divorce, Bond payouts, what is a RINO, new QAV 3PTL sell alerts, do we get rid of 2BL / JOSEPHINE, Ryan’s analysis on 0.1 and ADT levels, Pulled Pork on LAU, the HOPE model, BRB / RMS takeover, sell-side vs buy-side analysts.
QAV #628 — Don’t Worry About Debt
LAU is a the new Michael Jordan; selling MQG; URW updates; wheat price confusion; club member results; pulled pork on NZM; investing in companies with high levels of debt or intangibles.
QAV #627 — Rubberband
It’s the end of FY23 and we reveal the QAV portfolio performance as well as our personal portfolio performance and discuss the performance of some QAV Club members. We also take a question from Alex about how young people might get started in investing, discuss the Dogs of the Dow, a pulled pork on URW, and potential changes to Rule 1.
QAV #626 — Is Investing Just Luck?
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Artificial intelligence powers US shares into a bull market, but will it help the AORD? Tony continues to criticise the RBA’s use of interest rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yesterday — we don’t know why, but discuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.
QAV #625 — A Good Week!
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Artificial intelligence powers US shares into a bull market, but will it help the AORD? Tony continues to criticise the RBA’s use of interest rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yesterday — we don’t know why, but discuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.
QAV #624 — The Tin Man
On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the subject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clarify Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Australian High Interest Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Artificial intelligence powers US shares into a bull market, but will it help the AORD? Tony continues to criticise the RBA’s use of interest rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yesterday — we don’t know why, but discuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.
QAV #623 — The RBA Hammer
While we waited for the RBA to raise rates yet again, TK talks about whether or not rates are the solution; builders going bust; ideas for what to do with our portfolio cash; the resignation of the Myer CEO; will DIY investors stay in the market; Navexa reporting issues; CGT positions; a pulled pork on AFG; the buy status of WDS and HZN; and waiting to see what happens with crude oil.
QAV #622 — Debt Ceiling Blues
US debt ceiling hits the AORD; Doug Tynan uses A Checklist; Brettalator problems; Apollo is now THL; Using GPT to find companies with a qualified audit; Portfolio updates; Pulled pork on FPR; a refresher on operating cashflow v free cash flow; the correlation between VEA’s share price and crude oil.
QAV #621 — 95% Discipline
This week we discuss the rough week in the AORD, with lots of sell and not much to buy; Commodity updates; sudden drops by CLX and ALO; tips on investing from Morgan Housel, author of The Psychology of Money, and a pulled pork on FHE.
QAV #620 — Don Bradman
On this episode we talk about interest rate fears continuing to affect the market, PRN’s exposure to commodities, Buffett’s comments on The Intelligent Investor, thoughts about removing Josephines from the buy list, Don Bradman and investing, the Allkem (AKE) merger, a Pulled Pork on QBE, TK’s history with commodity sells, buying banks stocks, value investing article in the AFR, block/brick sizes were used in the Renko tests, does Tony ever check the stocks he holds against what their current QAV Value shows, Tony’s investment in FHE, the new Brettalator, and banks profits vis-a-vis interest rates.
QAV #619 — Other People Doing Dumb Things
On this episode we got so carried away talking about the highlights of the 2023 Berkshire Hathaway AGM, the OML drop, HotCopper pump and dumper gets prison, Light portfolios beating the benchmark, review the “The Lowest PE” rules, QAN replacing its CEO, NAB getting sold off, pulled pork on PLS, the latest RBA rate rise, the Federal budget, and reviewing the “Buy follows Sell line” and the “Latest Buy Line”, that we ran out of time for questions.
QAV #618 — A Chat with GPT4
Tony is on his way back from Toronto, so I decided to have a chat about investing with the second smartest intelligence I know — ChatGPT.
QAV #617 — Live From Toronto
Live from Toronto, we talk about the portfolio’s recent performance, steel is now a sell, pulled pork on NAB, share investing vs share trading for tax purposes, update on Renko charts, and the new Brettalator update.
QAV #616 — Quick & Dirty & Easy
Copper is a buy but C6C is being sold; Buffett on Bankers; Pulled Pork MIN; Josephine timing; multiple positions and Rule 1; do uptrends continue; LAU new securities issues; investing during foreign conflicts.
QAV #615 — Simon Shepherd, TING
Our guest on this pre-recorded short episode is Simon Shepherd from The Investment Newsletter Group. They conduct detailed stock by stock, newsletter by newsletter tracking of many of the top buy recommendations from Australian investing newsletter — a worthy service. Find out more at: https://www.tinglive.com.au
QAV #614 — Viva Las Vegas
A short show today as TK is in totally Viva La Vegas and we didn’t have many questions. Portfolio & commodity updates; ALO acquisition; ETF update; pulled pork on RMS; and insights into URW.
QAV #613 — Tim Lincoln, Stock Doctor
Today our guest is Co-Founder and Managing Director of the company that produces Stock Doctor — Tim Lincoln. Tim co-founded the company in 1991 with his father Dr. Merv Lincoln and Stock Doctor was launched 6 years later, in 1997. Today, Tim has grown a highly successful financial technology and investment business that includes a growing team of 40 finance professional, thousands of long-term Stock Doctor members and over $800 million invested in their three industry leading Australian and US managed funds.
QAV #612 — The MAXIMS of QAV
Lots of selling, not much to buy; The MAXIMS of QAV; RMS makes takeover offer yesterday for BRB; Bank Hybrids wiped out in UBS takeover of Credit Suisse; Banks and trust; Pulled pork : Ooh Media (OML); update on heavy mineral sands products; what to do when you have a commodity sell, but the day you’re going to sell it, the price is going up; the size and danger of ETFs; insights on the lithium/battery market; diversification with corporate bonds; South African corruption.
QAV #611 — Monkeys & Bananas
Black Monday in the bond market points to pain ahead; the impact of the SVB Collapse; Comms update; S32 — sell or not?; RBA lifts rates to 3.6%; Brett Fisher on Renko charts; Pulled Pork: SRX; using TTM for Op. cashflow; ZIM and its capital return.
QAV #610 — Psychopathic Cultures
Another RBA rate rise; BRI’s underlying commodity; ASIC sues Mercer Super; GNC maps to bushel prices; LAU & IGL made the S&P All Ordinaries; Gerry Harvey wheels out his old material; Guy Debelle pops up at Super Fund; Solly Lew creeps another 3% up the Myer share register; Mortgage Rate survey sees interest rates back to 6.48%; Alex Hay on WHC ownership movements; Pulled pork on Duratec (DUR); TK’s experiments with selling stocks that are no longer on the buy list; TKs view on the negative market reaction to both CLX and DDH.
QAV #609 — Just a Few Winners
US inflation drives the ASX down; Wheat is a Josephine; Portfolio is up 16.14%; DP recent trades; Tony’s three life lessons; Ray Dalio existing Bridgewater; Aussie CEOs denying reality; QAN profit; Super changes; Berkshire Report; Mortgage rate drop to 6.45%; pulled pork on COH; CCP results; is QAV a zero sum game; WHC shareholders; XTE’s results.
QAV #608 — Denial
Market and portfolio updates; Pulled pork kibosh on FBU; Iron Ore is a buy again, but Andrew Forrest is insane in the membrane; Charlie is 99 and still doing LIVE Q&A for Daily Journal; Gurufocus v Stock Doctor data; AMP Results; WHC results; CGF — Annuities benefitting from Higher interest rates; QBE results; BNPL likely to be regulated as credit; Pulled pork RRL; How does TK plan to live off his portfolio; topping up when you’ve missed your Rule 1.
QAV #607 — Dow Theory
Portfolio updates; Market’s had a rough week; Thermal Coal Sell line; CDM shouldn’t be on the buy list; Yields rose as Lowe, traders lunched; RBA raises rates; Seven in potential merger with HT&E; Elon Musk sat with Rupert Murdoch at the Superbowl; Pulled Pork is FBU; U.S. v AUS short-term capital gains; why TK holds FHE; what criteria Tony follows to justify adding to an existing position; Where we are currently in terms of Dow Theory; MEA buyback announcement
QAV #606 — The FOMO Rally
Portfolio Updates, commodity updates , NCM takeover, WHC coal breakdown, RBA to lift rates, the FOMO rally, Pulled Pork on NCK, R1 trigger on commodities, a tighter sell line for MYR, What time of day does TK buy and sell, fudging AMP’s sell line, penny stocks and Rule 1, WDS commodity breakdown, and After Hours (which you don’t have to listen to if you don’t want to!).
QAV #605 — A Wet Barnbougle
Dummy Portfolio slipped a bit thanks to coal; Chanticleer and the Chook Super Fund; FMG result; ADANI and activist investors; pulled pork on CMM
QAV #604 — The Classy Gentleman
Portfolio updates; Feedback on Fees; RIP David Hains; Member results; retailers results due to inflation; Pulled Pork SEQ; Is NGI a LIC; using your own rate of interest; Ethical Investing; When to sell; Increasing Investing.
QAV #603 — Lithium Lovers
Updates on commodities and our portfolios; Collins St Value Fund performance vs the DP; FMG has 2 finance departures; Mortgage rate survey now 6.5%; Magic Millions horse sales setting new record; QAVvers and fees saved; confession season; the lithium lovers are alive and kicking; using a home loan redraw; Terracom’s (TER) involvement in the investigation into potential fraud; CRN CEO’s retirement; Is TK fully invested? Pulled Pork this week is Seven West Media (SWM).
QAV #602 — Budgie Smugglers
Munger turns 99, Commodity updates, Portfolio updates, commodity status on buy list, Pulled Pork on VUK, Brent’s returns, TK’s new year resolutions, AMPs situation re Dexus, FMG exodus, buying stocks when their sell line is above the rule 1
QAV #601 — Best Of The Early Interviews
As TK is still on vacation, I went over our interviews from the first years of the show (2019–2020) and created this compilation of some interesting tidbits. I hope you enjoy it. The guests are:
Steve Sammartino
Roger Montgomery
Nicholas Gruen
Tobias Carlisle
Michael Goldberg
QAV #551 — Alert But Not Alarmed
In this final episode for 2022, I’m actually going back to early 2020 and taking a look at how Tony managed the COVID crash. It’s something TK suggested a while back, because it’s a good study / reminder on how he thinks in times of market uncertainty.
QAV #550 — The Pulled Pork Kibosh Test
It’s that time of the year when I give TK a break and put together a couple of compilations from the year that was. This time I decided to put to the test the idea that Tony’s Pulled Pork put the kibosh on stocks. Is that true? Let’s find out.
QAV #549 — Windy and Wet
RBA and rates, Coal, Iron Ore and Gold are all buys, Portfolio update, bank dividends, Clough collapse and BPT, Pulled pork AGG, trailing stop losses, inflationary pressures, how TK comes up with hurdle rates, C6C selling it’s Australian assets, IRR v CAGR, share buybacks, how to get to Berkshire’s 2023 AGM. Blackstone to limit redemption requests, the impact of the gas price cap.
QAV #548 — Todd Barlow, Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd
Today we chat with Todd Barlow, CEO of Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd (SOL) about the investment strategy behind their impressive returns.
QAV #547 — Crystal Balls
TK’s historical returns; Pulled Pork kibosh on GNG; SKT consolidation; SGM — Iron and Steel Scrap; Buffett explains his $750 million charitable donation; RBA taking a lot of heat; beware annualised figures; Portfolio update; QAN upgrades again; CLX Upgrades; Fixed loan rates; $250k deposit guarantee; Pulled Pork on DDH
QAV 546 — Retrospective Investing
Oil is a sell; Is WDS a sell?; Retrospective investing; Iron Ore Doomscrolling; Portfolio update; Selfwealth update; Pulled Pork S32; Stock Doctor filters fixed; MLX is tin; dividends contributions; share investing vs property investing returns.
QAV 545 — Price v Value
Melbourne get together; The Bitcoin valuation model; Fake Twitter crashes LLY; Light v Club; FTX/ SBF in AFR; Brettalator beta; portfolio update; The mortgage rate; Nickel is a buy; QAV Stocks in the news; Australian banking’s Mr Clean; Pulled pork Self Wealth; What the hell are futures markets exactly; Coal Bunko Chart update;what’s going on with IMA.
QAV 544 — Follow The Recipe
The Dismal Science; gold is a buy; portfolio is killing it (too good?); what to do if your performance sucks; ‘loss-aversion’ bias; NHC buy back; CRN ends talks with Peabody; New month, new alerts; Pulled Pork — DBI; what to do when there’s a big gap between Buyers and Sellers; Rule#1 Clarification; update from Denis in Kyiv.
QAV 543 — The Mounting Yard
Portfolio benchmarking, RBA interest rate rise, Thermal Coal sell line, JHG dividend, what to do when you R1 a stock that’s on top of the buy list (IMA), Wheat price on the rise, new Berkshire book, SUL trading update, WHC — MOAB Away, The FAANG index, Oil and Copper are a buy, what about Aluminium, MQG Results are in, Pulled Pork GNG, DRP vs DSSP
QAV 542 — Expose Yourself
Commodity and portfolio updates, AMP AGM, WHC buyback, NWH Pulled Pork, GOLD ETF, reinvesting dividends, how the AORD works, Tony’s investment spread.
QAV 541 — Bipolar Mr Market
The bipolar Mr Market, commodity updates, PE clarifications in Bible, Qantas upgrade, ATL owned Camplify acquires European base, Howard Marks raising money, Pulled pork on SLH, Tony’s coffee with SOL CEO, why Tony has always been invested in WAM, advice on how to find a financial adviser, what to do if you’re going away for 2 weeks.