QAV Podcast Episodes

In this episode, Tony and Cam dis­cuss recent com­mod­i­ty declines and a gold price surge and what it all means, as well as recent Bret­ta­la­tor issues and port­fo­lio updates. Tony reads from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ talk­ing about how val­ue invest­ing sus­tains through mar­ket bub­bles.
The ‘Pulled Pork’ seg­ment fea­tures Cash Con­vert­ers, analysing its busi­ness mod­el, reg­u­la­to­ry impact and growth poten­tial. a big punt
In After Hours, they also dis­cuss low-bud­get films, William Shat­ner’s intense role in ‘The Intrud­er,’ and Nick Cave’s new album ‘Wild God.’ The con­ver­sa­tion shifts to Allan Licht­man’s elec­tion pre­dic­tions, Lach­lan Mur­doch, and a Brett White­ley art exhi­bi­tion.

In this episode of the QAV val­ue invest­ing pod­cast, Tony and Cam review the impres­sive US port­fo­lio per­for­mance with a rise of 44%, com­pared to the S&P’s 27%, and com­pare with the Aus­tralian port­fo­lios. They dis­cuss the recent per­for­mance of big caps ver­sus small caps, MMS set­backs. Behav­ioral eco­nom­ics insights from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ by Shaugh­nessy are explored, focus­ing on recen­cy bias and over­con­fi­dence. They cov­er Res­i­mac (RMC) CEO’s sud­den res­ig­na­tion, finan­cial impli­ca­tions for Aus­tralian Clin­i­cal Labs (ACL), Stock Doc­tor data integri­ty issues with SCL, and delve into Judo Hold­ings’ (JDO) mar­ket posi­tion in the ‘Pulled Pork’ seg­ment. Lis­ten­er ques­tions about SMSF strate­gies are addressed. The episode clos­es with After Hours, emo­tion­al updates on Tony’s horse rac­ing ven­tures, tales of Cape Schanck, Dave Grohl’s auto­bi­og­ra­phy, The Room, Brahms Inter­mezzi, and the joys of old Jack­ie Chan and Don­nie Yen films.

In this episode, Tony and Cam dis­cuss the per­for­mance of stocks in the US dum­my port­fo­lio, work­ing with F Scores and Z Scores, with a deep dive on ENVA’s 39% rise and the risks of invest­ing in some US-list­ed stocks like Chi­nese online tech com­pa­ny, STG. They cov­er recent events around YAL, ANZ, BXB, ING, LFS, AX1 and BOQ and a regres­sion test on “Recov­er­ing” stocks. Lis­ten­er ques­tions explore chart­ing QAV scores over time and the poten­tial buy of AFI. In After Hours, they dis­cuss Tony’s horse rac­ing adven­tures, books, films, and the future impact of AI on indus­tries and invest­ing, wrap­ping up with Cameron’s Tom­my Hil­figer fash­ion shoot.

In this episode of QAV, Elio D’Am­a­to from Stock­o­pe­dia inter­views Tony Kynas­ton. The dis­cus­sion cov­ers Tony’s invest­ing prin­ci­ples, his jour­ney from cor­po­rate man­age­ment to invest­ing, Tony’s phi­los­o­phy of hav­ing a dis­ci­plined invest­ment sys­tem, and key strate­gies he employs in his Qual­i­ty at Val­ue (QAV) invest­ing approach. They touch on the impor­tance of cash flow over earn­ings, trend lines for tim­ing buys and sells, and the use of a check­list for eval­u­at­ing stocks. The webi­nar also high­lights how Tony man­ages his port­fo­lio and some of his stock picks like Boom Logis­tics, Macmil­lan Shake­speare, and AGL. There’s also a dive into the dynam­ics of mar­ket sen­ti­ment, psy­chol­o­gy of invest­ing, and how to main­tain dis­ci­pline amidst macro­eco­nom­ic noise.

This week, Tony and Cam recap Tony’s Stock­o­pe­dia webi­nar, delve into the unpre­dictabil­i­ty of stock fore­cast­ing, and share quotes from ‘What Works on Wall Street’, David Waldron’s new book, and Dean Williams. They inter­view QAV lis­ten­er Con­rad on his mod­i­fi­ca­tions of QAV strate­gies and dis­cuss retail sec­tor per­for­mances, includ­ing Myer, JB HiFi, and QBE. Cam uses Chat­G­PT to try to cor­re­late Stock Doc­tor and Stock­o­pe­dia finan­cial health met­rics, and they dis­cuss China’s eco­nom­ic defla­tion. In After Hours, Tony shares updates on his horse rac­ing ven­tures, Cameron dis­cuss­es his weight loss progress, and has a film rec­om­men­da­tion, ‘Repul­sion’ by Roman Polan­s­ki, and dis­clos­es his new career as a fash­ion mod­el for Tom­my Hil­figer.

In this episode, Tony and Cam break down recent mar­ket volatil­i­ty impact­ing ASX and glob­al indices, dis­cuss the ‘SAHM rule’ for pre­dict­ing reces­sions, and ana­lyze major stock move­ments, includ­ing the MAG 7. They dive into War­ren Buffett’s strate­gic moves with Berk­shire Hath­away and Apple shares. Tony’s ‘Pulled Pork’ seg­ment fea­tures McPherson’s Lim­it­ed (ASX: MCP). Lis­ten­er Jor­dan shares how QAV helps him keep a calm approach to mar­ket down­turns. They dis­cuss the updat­ed U.S. check­list, CCP’s report from last week, the fact we’re now in report­ing sea­son, a “What Works On Wall Street” quote and why Fortes­cue (FMG) needs new friends. After-hours con­ver­sa­tions include dis­cus­sions about Alfred Bester’s clas­sic SF nov­el ‘The Stars My Des­ti­na­tion,’ music my Amyl and the Snif­fers, the lat­est Dead­pool movie, Elon Musk’s Neu­ralink, the com­plex­i­ty of robot­ics, and Tesla’s EV strate­gies.

Tony and Cam break down the sharp drop in FND stock and the impact of new share­hold­ers, review Karoon mar­ket updates, and explore an activist investor’s push for a new div­i­dend strat­e­gy.

In this episode of the QAV pod­cast, we look at recent news involv­ing SGI, ATP, FGM, CVL, AX1 and a deep dive into ABB’s recent share price drop and busi­ness fun­da­men­tals. We dis­cuss lis­ten­er Con­rad’s suc­cess­ful mod­i­fi­ca­tion of the QAV invest­ment sys­tem, which led to a 31.4% return in the last year and review some advice from O’Shaugh­nessy’s ‘What Works on Wall Street’ regard­ing con­sis­ten­cy in invest­ing. The after-hours seg­ment includes dis­cus­sions on exam­ples of out­stand­ing cus­tomer ser­vice, the ben­e­fits of rur­al call cen­ters, and U.S. pol­i­tics. We also chat about Tony’s recent golf win, film reviews of ‘Stingray’ (1976) and ‘The Assas­si­na­tion Bureau’ (1969), and rec­om­mend the music of The Jim Car­roll Band and Grace Cum­mins and the Doc­tor Who site, stitch­esin­time.

In this episode of the QAV pod­cast, hosts Tony Kynas­ton and Cameron Reil­ly are dis­cussing a record-high in the All Ordi­nar­ies index spurred by the ‘Trump bump’, Aussie Broad­band’s sud­den dive (ABB), port­fo­lio results, more FY sur­vey results, MLX’s bump, the Ship­ping Cri­sis, thoughts about inte­grat­ing “Buy­back Yield” into the check­list, and Tony breaks down the his­to­ry and mar­ket stance of Elders Lim­it­ed (ELD) in a detailed ‘pulled pork’ seg­ment. They also explore the Apple Vision Pro’s new fea­tures and its future along­side immer­sive tech like Ocu­lus Rift, then shift to the polit­i­cal scene with dis­cus­sions on Trump’s influ­ence on glob­al con­flicts. The con­ver­sa­tions touch on AI, Elon Musk’s ven­tures like Neu­ralink and SpaceX, horse rac­ing updates, book rec­om­men­da­tions, and reviews of ‘Bet­ter Call Saul’ and Tom Cruise films.

In this episode of the QAV pod­cast, Tony Kynas­ton and Cameron Reil­ly dis­cuss the nec­es­sary improve­ments and changes to their US port­fo­lio, includ­ing updates to their buy­ing check­list and new finan­cial met­rics. Tony does a pulled pork on the U.S. com­pa­ny Willis Lease Finance Cor­po­ra­tion (WLFC). In Aus­tralian news, they delve into mar­ket news affect­ing coal and iron ore prices and cov­er some more mem­ber sur­vey results ad TK updates us on his Rich List Port­fo­lio . IN after hours, they talk about Tas­ma­ni­a’s MONA art gallery and reflect on AI’s future, draw­ing from insights by Elon Musk and Bill Gates, indoor golf sim­u­la­tors com­pared to real-life golf­ing, and their upcom­ing demo of the Apple Vision Pro, spec­u­lat­ing on tech­nol­o­gy’s impact on real-life expe­ri­ences.

In this episode of the QAV pod­cast, hosts Tony Kynas­ton and Cameron Reil­ly cov­er a range of top­ics at the start of the new finan­cial year. They begin the resilience in finan­cial and prop­er­ty mar­kets amid glob­al inter­est rate hikes, and how the gig econ­o­my affects unem­ploy­ment rates. They also touch on the his­to­ry and impact of quan­ti­ta­tive eas­ing, review their own and mem­ber finan­cial year results, and ana­lyze mar­ket news relat­ed to com­pa­nies like Myer and Fortes­cue Met­als Group. Tony pro­vides an in-depth look at Auric Min­ing Ltd (AWJ) in his ‘pulled pork’ seg­ment. Tony answers ques­tions about tax rates and per­­for­­mance-based share issuance, then in After Hours they get into movie reviews of ‘Furiosa’ and ‘Marie Antoinette.’ They also explore AI’s poten­tial future impacts on job mar­kets and tech­no­log­i­cal advance­ments, ref­er­enc­ing Ray Kurzweil’s pre­dic­tions.

In episode 726 of QAV, Tony and Cameron pay trib­ute to the late Don­ald Suther­land, then shift to dis­cussing fluc­tu­a­tions in the crude oil mar­ket, a deep dive into Ben Gra­ham’s invest­ment prin­ci­ples and their rel­e­vance today, along­side a detailed analy­sis of Tab­Corp Hold­ings, the mar­ket’s over-reac­­tion to HLI news, and FND break­ing the curse of the pulled pork.

In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dive into recent mar­ket activ­i­ties, the RBA’s deci­sions, the Lindy Effect, sub­stan­tial share­hold­er announce­ments, and GrainCorp’s prospects, along with a detailed analy­sis of Embark Ear­ly Edu­ca­tion (EVO). Mem­ber ques­tions about liv­ing off a share port­fo­lio dur­ing down years and the dif­fer­ences between val­ue and qual­i­ty invest­ing are addressed. Addi­tion­al­ly, Tony clar­i­fies the cal­cu­la­tion of shares on issue for Rio Tin­to, empha­siz­ing glob­al fig­ures for earn­ings per share. In after hours, the duo also cov­ers Mario Puzo’s ‘The God­fa­ther’, Alphonse Mucha, and the Archibald Prize, and dis­cuss the poten­tial and risks of AI, draw­ing ref­er­ences from sci­ence fic­tion. They wrap up with thoughts on films and books, includ­ing ‘Klara and the Sun’.

In this episode of QAV, Cam and Tony explore the U.S. mar­ket for the first time, with a brief intro­duc­tion of Tony and his QAV sys­tem of val­ue invest­ing, a dis­cus­sion of val­ue v growth invest­ing, a dis­cus­sion of the per­for­mance of our U.S. dum­my port­fo­lio, a deep dive or ‘Pulled Pork’ seg­ment on Rein­sur­ance Group of Amer­i­ca (RGA), and a review of the FY sur­vey results we’ve received so far from club mem­bers.

Join Tony and Cameron in episode 723 of QAV as they dis­cuss a vari­ety of top­ics rang­ing from Amer­i­can bar­be­cue joints to the Hunter Biden law­suit. Tony talks about his relax­ing golf trip down the East Coast and the chal­lenges of sell­ing a house. Then we dis­cuss Vul­can lev­el emo­tion­al detach­ment in invest­ing, recent mar­ket move­ments, and spe­cif­ic stocks like CUE, MME, and PRN. There’s also an explo­ration of div­i­dends and port­fo­lio per­for­mance. In after hours, we’re talk­ing about ‘The Blues Broth­ers’ Sid­ney George Reil­ly (Ace Of Spies), Nicholas Cage in “Dream Sce­nario” and our plans for our first U.S. episode.

In this episode, Tony pro­vides insights into recent retail sales fig­ures, the mar­ket’s reac­tion, and the con­cept of ‘con­fes­sion sea­son’ in the cor­po­rate world. Then he con­ducts a detailed ‘Pulled Pork’ seg­ment on Stealth Group (SGI), a tool retail­er, eval­u­at­ing its finan­cial health, mar­ket per­for­mance, and prospects.

In the club edi­tion, we also dis­cuss the rea­sons behind vary­ing mem­ber per­for­mances (and our own per­for­mance), and dis­cuss the impor­tance of stick­ing to a dis­ci­plined invest­ment mod­el.

In 721 we dis­cuss the pain of FND, why Aussie investors keep invest­ing in unprof­itable com­pa­nies, and TK does a Pulled Pork on SRV.

In the club edi­tion only: the myth of the ‘new nor­mal’, why LIC AFIC is sell­ing below its NTA, how Aussie investors can ben­e­fit from the AI boom, what we should do about cop­per prices being up, how to inter­pret the num­ber of buys going down, how often is TK is mak­ing pur­chas­es based on fac­tors out­side the num­bers, and how to inter­pret the res­ig­na­tion of the PRN CFO.

The Bud­get cometh, Lessons in Kind­ness from Buf­fett, and a Deep Dive into Boom Logis­tics.

Also in the Club edi­tion: Reflec­tions on Jim Simons and Quant Invest­ing, Nav­i­gat­ing Mar­ket Fluc­tu­a­tions: FND and FPR Updates, Explor­ing VYS’s Surge, Elon Musk’s Sug­ges­tion to War­ren Buf­fett, Mar­cus has a ques­tion about apply­ing qual­i­ty score to exist­ing hold­ings, Jim asks about Life 360, Stock Doc­tor Data Integri­ty Issues, Nick asks about Josephine rules, Trent asks about AGL and LNG

This week we’re talk­ing about the Berk­shire Annu­al Meet­ing, Chi­na’s gold pur­chas­es, a pulled pork on EHL (Eme­co Hold­ings), SXE prof­it guid­ance update, Regres­sion test­ing Price Cons, Activists vs Karoon Ener­gy (KAR), Austal (ASB) back­ers want Han­wha Group in the race, TRS is a 3PTL Sell, Apol­lo sinks THL, Morn­ingstar val­u­a­tions, banks doing large buy­backs.

This week we’re talk­ing to Matt Walk­er about his regres­sion test­ing sys­tem, Stock Doc­tor’s con­tin­u­ing data qual­i­ty issues, NCK­’s UK expan­sion, HMC Cap­i­tal takes aim at GNC, fudg­ing DUR and LAU, and get some insid­er infor­ma­tion about Austal Ships.

This episode includes a deep dive analy­sis of Bank of QLD (BOQ), Joyce Cor­po­ra­tion Ltd (JYC) and Atlas Pearls Ltd (ATP), Howard Marks on Chess and Risk, Dum­my Port­fo­lio and div­i­dends, and a regres­sion test­ing update on QAV scores.

The AORD dropped this week, as did BOQ, TK does a Pulled pork on RSG.

Also in the Club edi­tion: WOW’s CEO threat­ened with time in the big house, FND does an Indi­an ATM deal, TK talks about the Pulled Pork and Bil­lion­aire Port­fo­lios.

The IMF on Chi­na, Diller on Trump Social, Bit­coin and Beanie Babies, pulled pork on A1M.

Also in the Club edi­tion: Cash and Arma­guard, Anscombe’s Quar­tet, Regres­sion test­ing, Tes­la veers to the EV slow lane, Ex-defence min­is­ter Pyne is Hanwha’s man in Can­ber­ra, Karoon plots path from oil junior to major through Gulf of Mex­i­co, and a thought exper­i­ment about when TK would sell if the stock mar­ket did­n’t give live prices.

This week: Daniel Kah­ne­man RIP, Sturgeon’s Law, Pulled pork on ASB

Plus, in the Club edi­tion: Valu­ing Bit­coin, Cok­ing coal a sell, New Regres­sion Test­ing results, Alche­my sub­stack,
Collins St does well again, ABB news, the per­for­mance of founder lead com­pa­nies.

This week: Do ASX investors need to get used to expen­sive stocks, and a pulled Pork on G8 Edu­ca­tion (GEM).

Also in the Club edi­tion: the­o­ries on why KSC spiked, whether AMC CEO’s sud­den res­ig­na­tion is a red flag, MEA is being sold, Macquarie’s new FOMO meter, ABB’s Super­loop trou­bles, and what to do if you still own VUK.

This week, while the RBA meets, we talked about ABB drop­ping 20% in a day, steel and cok­ing coal fall, China’s econ­o­my beats expec­ta­tions in the West, regres­sion test­ing update, Damstra (DTC) is tak­en over, and a pulled pork on MSV.

This week: Delist­ing of TGA, VUK acqui­si­tion, Pulled pork on BOQ.

In the Club edi­tion only: SD fix NWS issue, IRI los­es Chair of Audit Com­mit­tee, Tony’s test­ing on 2BL sell trig­ger, Tony answers ques­tions about how to man­age a port­fo­lio if you move over­seas, reduc­ing our aver­age dai­ly trades to mit­i­gate risks of the QAV spike, the risks of cap rais­es, dif­fer­ent ways how a com­pa­ny can take on debt, and the ben­e­fits of share buy backs.

This week: AORD his anoth­er all-time high, report­ing sea­son is over (but now we’re in ex-div sea­son), ING record­ed a mas­sive prof­it but the mar­ket dumped it any­way, Pulled pork is on Reg­is Health­care (REG).

Also on the Club edi­tion: Ray Dalio thinks the Mag7 are “fair­ly priced”, Collins St Val­ue Fund wins again, Cam’s regres­sion tests come up with some­thing inter­est­ing, Tony has more to say on the shrink­ing ASX, and after hours.

This week: We dis­cuss our favourite bits of Buffett’s new annu­al let­ter, and Tony does a pulled pork on Vul­can Steel (VSL).

Also in the Club Edi­tion: We dis­cuss the results of a new 20% Rule 1 sim­u­la­tion, Report­ing Sea­son News, LNG is a sell, Data shows Cathie Wood’s Ark is one of the worst funds, NVIDIA results, and TK’s per­spec­tive on ‘Los­ing too many stocks’ to M&A.

This week: The mar­ket remains buoy­ant on the back of pos­i­tive earn­ings, DTL crash­es 22%, Buridan’s Ass, Pulled Pork AGL.

Also in the Club edi­tion: Darryl’s port­fo­lio analy­sis, Mag­nif­i­cent 7 prof­its now exceed almost every coun­try in the world, SD ASX 300 change, Jordan’s Renko and hug­line regres­sion test­ing.

This week: Mar­ket and port­fo­lio updates; Nick Scali and Myer jump on prof­it results; the pit­falls of pas­sive invest­ing; the cracks deep­en beneath the market’s sur­face; Wood­side San­tos merg­er col­lapsed; pulled pork on MME.

Also in the Club edi­tion:
Lithi­um execs goolies; McDonald’s records first sales miss; Stock tips are for pat­sies; Matt Walker’s regres­sion test­ing sys­tem; Three Men Make a Tiger; NWS shares in Stock Doc­tor; WAF’s fore­cast earn­ings.

This week on QAV:
Mar­ket hit all time high, then retreat­ed… because of McDon­alds in Gaza?!; Port­fo­lio report; pulled pork on Met­cash (MTS).

In the Club edi­tion:
CCP results and share price; Sys­tem Jus­ti­fi­ca­tion The­o­ry; Elon’s Tes­la strat­e­gy; Jordan’s regres­sion test­ing; hedg­ing QAV with Growth stocks (aka the Anti-QAV); RBA leaves rates unchanged; FPR oper­at­ing cash flow.

This week we’re talk­ing about:
Munger’s final port­fo­lio, Base-Rate Neglect, Pulled Pork — TLS

Plus, only on the Club edi­tion: Ever­grande liq­ui­da­tion, Alu­mini­um and CAA, Fund man­agers reveal their big invest­ment mis­takes, Cryp­to still isn’t legit, Report­ing sea­son about to start, and using Renko chart to track Duratec’s decline.

On this week’s show:
Retail traders are suf­fer­ing from fatigue; Lithi­um and tech stocks crash­ing; AI means the cost of intel­li­gence will plum­met.
Club edi­tion also includes: Why TK keeps his mort­gage facil­i­ty open; Pulled pork on FND.

Mar­ket and port­fo­lio updates, Brent’s secret QAV tweaks which deliv­ered his ter­rif­ic results, and GNC vs Wheat.

In the Club episode, Pulled pork on Bram­bles (BXB), STOCKOPEDIA NAPS, the “Curse of Knowl­edge”, more dis­cus­sion on Aver­age True Range.

TK’s back to talk about: “San­ta Claus” ral­lies, a Pulled pork on Res­i­mac RMC, and using an ATR stop loss.

In our club episode, we’re also talk­ing about how to score N/A on Health Sta­ble or Increas­ing, and What I Learned About Invest­ing from Dar­win by Pulak Prasad, WHC & Ther­mal Coal, Skill Com­pen­sa­tion, Dogs of the Dow, and the pro­posed Woodside/Santos merg­er.

On our first show of 2024, I’m cov­er­ing how the mar­ket and our port­fo­lio end­ed 2023, adding GEM back to a port­fo­lio, TK has a pulled pork on COF, and I talk to Chat­G­PT about the role the USD being the world’s reserve cur­ren­cy plays in the strength of the US econ­o­my.

On our last episode for 2023, I’m fly­ing solo, but I do have a pre-record­ed pulled pork from TK on ERD, and I’m also talk­ing about the sud­den falls last week by CLX, MTO, and ASG, as well as the first of Mor­gan Housel’s “100 LITTLE IDEAS”.

Only in the Club edi­tion: I asked Chat­G­PT to pick out a cou­ple of high­lights from our 2023 pod­casts for the recap.

On this episode: The AORD is hav­ing a good Xmas (so far), STW and AFI above their buy lines, our port­fo­lios are doing well, pulled pork on CXO (Core Lithi­um)

Club: new Com­mod­i­ty Sta­tus his­to­ry fea­ture, PRN poll, FPR net oper­at­ing cf, CCP on a tear, talk­ing about REITs, pulled pork on CXO (Core Lithi­um) and why BFG is hav­ing a run.

On this episode we’re dis­cussing Char­lie Munger, pulled pork on ING, and if QAV is based on momen­tum and min­i­miz­ing loss­es.

In the club edi­tion only: PRN’s guid­ance, ATP’s bump, ADT sur­vey results, port­fo­lio updates, RBA rate hold, MMS los­ing a govt con­tract, ASX 200 stocks with sin­­gle-dig­it P/Es, thoughts about VYS giv­ing their Man­ag­ing Direc­tor an Inter­est Free loan.

On this week’s episode, I do a farewell to the late, great Char­lie Munger, and in the Club episode, TK takes us through the analy­sis he and Ryan did about Rule 1 and buy­ing from the top or bot­tom of our list.

This week we’re talk­ing about how we assess man­age­ment qual­i­ty, how to invest if you have a lumpy income, a pulled pork on MMS, and (only in the Club edi­tion) Rid­ley Scot­t’s appalling Napoleon film.

This week in the free episode we’re talk­ing about how immi­gra­tion is dri­ving infla­tion, last week’s dra­ma with KAR and NTD, how Oil briefly became a sell, break­ing down BPT’s rev­enue from oil, the de-sta­­pling of ABG and ASK.

In the Club episode, we also dis­cuss the CVL pulled pork curse, TK’s thoughts on the ABB SPP, a pulled pork on DGL and Berkshire’s Apple pur­chas­es.

This episode: Aus­tralian income drops, Munger says we need to buy tech stocks, Pulled Pork on CVL.

Club edi­tion only: ASX his­tor­i­cal aver­age 13.2%, Iron ore and Chi­na, HESTA fined by ASIC, ANZ’s results lead to drop, how to deal with a sit­u­a­tion when a buy list stock is in play, Inter­est rate rise means a change to IV val­ue, MQG did not take an impair­ment, using Trad­ingview for com­modi­ties, and a refresh­er on what stocks to sell when you need cash.

ASX mak­ing us feel punch drunk; QAN revolt; MQG prof­it drop; pulled pork SSM;

Club edi­tion only: JHG delist­ing; Light Sells analy­sis; new sur­vey on ADT; SSR down; FPR up; Buffett’s cash pile; RBA meets; cup tips!

Com­mod­i­ty updates; FMG red flag sta­tus; how share incen­tive plans work;

In the Club edi­tion:

Pulled pork DTL; what TK looks for when he does a pulled pork.

We’re in a tech­ni­cal cor­rec­tion; stay­ing ful­ly invest­ed; CCP col­lapse; new 3PTL sells num­ber jumped this week; Pulled pork RRL; the per­for­mance of AFI.

In the Club edi­tion only: Is being rich a super­pow­er?; stay­ing enthu­si­as­tic dur­ing a long down­turn; how TK dif­fer­en­ti­ates between qual­i­ty and val­ue; the value/risks of a con­cen­trat­ed 10 stock port­fo­lio; WWTD if he had cash but a full port­fo­lio?

“This time it real­ly might be dif­fer­ent” says Marks; Port­fo­lio update by Mar­ket Cap; Pulled Pork on PRN;

In the Club edi­tion, we’re also talk­ing about: Gold is a buy; PGH 2BL exam­ple; Chuck Feeney died; Joe Aston’s final Rear Win­dow; Has TK found a max­i­mum size where a port­fo­lio stops get­ting ‘QAV like returns’?; Imag­ine the mar­kets were to the­o­ret­i­cal­ly close for 10 years…

The RBA holds rates; Israel Gaza and oil; Dumb Mon­ey v Wall Street; Joe Aston quits; HVN SD update; Red Octo­ber; Pulled Pork on SXE; Qual­i­ty Score vs QAV Score; How TK man­ages mar­ket down­turns when lever­aged; how TK plans to live off his port­fo­lio in retire­ment in down years; why was begin­ning of month cho­sen for josephines and not a rolling 30 day price; ‘val­ue trap’ tool; the per­for­mance of our per­son­al port­fo­lios for this finan­cial year vs the DP; per­for­mance of high v low ADT stocks.

Chris Batch­e­lor from Stock­o­pe­dia talks to us about how their prod­uct can help Aus­tralian (and inter­na­tion­al) investors make bet­ter invest­ing deci­sions.

Then in the Club edi­tion, TK and I talk about the mar­ket rout, RBA and inter­est rates, port­fo­lio per­for­mance, Wood­side and Richard Goy­der, the dou­ble loop con­cept in retail, putting Super into hous­ing, Josephines and div­i­dends, and the Mur­dochs.

Rupert’s retire­ment, YAL PROPCAF update, port­fo­lio report, pulled pork on KAR, using 3PTL with the ASX.

CAGR report­ing, YAL’s PrOp­CaF, US Port­fo­lio, SGM mar­ket update, Lithi­um a Sell for PLS, Viva Ener­gy & Vitol, QAN trou­bles, Mort­gage rate change 6.58%, CCP now ex-div, Bris­bane catch up, Pulled Pork: WGX, bor­row­ing against a mort­gage to invest in shares, ex-div­i­­dend and Josephine sta­tus, and chart­ing our buy list.

Steven Mabb, Chair­man of the Aus­tralian Share­hold­ers Asso­ci­a­tion (and QAV Club mem­ber) returns to share his thoughts on proxy votes, QANTAS, Nick Scali, EML, Vir­gin UK, FMG, REM reports, AGMs, direc­tor work­loads, audi­tors becom­ing board mem­bers, the val­ue of inde­pen­dent direc­tors, gen­der rep­re­sen­ta­tion on boards, and much more.

Com­mod­i­ty Updates, WSI crash, Aus­tralia spooks glob­al LNG mar­kets, Buf­fett says he could make 50% return per year, FMG CFO quits, QAN in a bit of a pick­le, Pulled pork on AIZ, are the sins of a for­mer CEO car­ried for­ward, and an update from Tony on the use of RENKO charts.

Wheat is a sell; FMG is a red flag; PLS results and crash; AFG results and crash; the cost of tim­ing the mar­ket; great guns; QAN results; Pulled Pork MAH; where the mon­ey goes; beta volatil­i­ty and QAV; US investors who claim their method­ol­o­gy returns 30% — 60% pa.

This week on the show: PRN reports great results and crash­es; China’s slow­down; US bond yields; SGM results; Pulled pork WHC; new mort­gage rate; TK’s thoughts on Imu­gene (IMU) and share place­ments at a sig­nif­i­cant dis­count.

Fitch down­grades the US, Lowe has new ideas about the RBA, NCK beats the pulled pork curse, MYR rebounds, iron ore falls (every Octo­ber?), Baby Bunting pulled pork, and prob­lems with Updater’s delist­ing.

The market’s had a rough week, MYR col­laps­es on good results, busi­ness con­fi­dence is up while con­sumer con­fi­dence is down, cok­ing coal isn’t a sell after all, pulled pork on NCK, pos­si­ble changes to Rule 1, BBN’s per­for­mance, and adding buy­backs to the check­list.

This week we’re talk­ing about what the CCP and TRS share price move­ments mean for the econ­o­my, the wheat price, the ‘year of the bond’, the dif­fer­ence between ETFs and LICs, and we have our inter­view with lis­ten­er Brent Sweeney who recent­ly attend­ed the Berk­shire Hath­away AGM in Oma­ha, Nebras­ka!

This week in the Club edi­tion we’re talk­ing about move­ments in Gold and Lithi­um prices, why Super Funds suck, why the ASX is in a “dead zone”, the big week of com­pa­ny report­ing com­ing up, our Stock­o­pe­dia tri­al, a pulled pork on KSL, URW sell­ing down US malls, RIO in recy­cling push, tech­ni­cal indi­ca­tors, and what TK thinks about com­pa­nies with lots of shares held in escrow.

Cameron’s pow­ers of pre­dic­tion, FMG’s divorce, Bond pay­outs, what is a RINO, new QAV 3PTL sell alerts, do we get rid of 2BL / JOSEPHINE, Ryan’s analy­sis on 0.1 and ADT lev­els, Pulled Pork on LAU, the HOPE mod­el, BRB / RMS takeover, sell-side vs buy-side ana­lysts.

LAU is a the new Michael Jor­dan; sell­ing MQG; URW updates; wheat price con­fu­sion; club mem­ber results; pulled pork on NZM; invest­ing in com­pa­nies with high lev­els of debt or intan­gi­bles.

It’s the end of FY23 and we reveal the QAV port­fo­lio per­for­mance as well as our per­son­al port­fo­lio per­for­mance and dis­cuss the per­for­mance of some QAV Club mem­bers. We also take a ques­tion from Alex about how young peo­ple might get start­ed in invest­ing, dis­cuss the Dogs of the Dow, a pulled pork on URW, and poten­tial changes to Rule 1.

On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the sub­ject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clar­i­fy Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Aus­tralian High Inter­est Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Arti­fi­cial intel­li­gence pow­ers US shares into a bull mar­ket, but will it help the AORD? Tony con­tin­ues to crit­i­cise the RBA’s use of inter­est rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yes­ter­day — we don’t know why, but dis­cuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.

On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the sub­ject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clar­i­fy Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Aus­tralian High Inter­est Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Arti­fi­cial intel­li­gence pow­ers US shares into a bull mar­ket, but will it help the AORD? Tony con­tin­ues to crit­i­cise the RBA’s use of inter­est rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yes­ter­day — we don’t know why, but dis­cuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.

On this week’s episode: Tin is a buy, which makes MLX (the sub­ject of Tony’s pulled pork) a buy. BRK is just an oil play as far as we can tell, but Crude Oil just became a sell. We clar­i­fy Steve Mabb’s thoughts on using Betashares Aus­tralian High Inter­est Cash ETF (AAA) to park our cash and agree it’s worth a try. Arti­fi­cial intel­li­gence pow­ers US shares into a bull mar­ket, but will it help the AORD? Tony con­tin­ues to crit­i­cise the RBA’s use of inter­est rates. If DBI is a “bond proxy” should it be on our buy list? C6C dropped by 18% yes­ter­day — we don’t know why, but dis­cuss whether or not there are any Rule 1 fudges.

While we wait­ed for the RBA to raise rates yet again, TK talks about whether or not rates are the solu­tion; builders going bust; ideas for what to do with our port­fo­lio cash; the res­ig­na­tion of the Myer CEO; will DIY investors stay in the mar­ket; Navexa report­ing issues; CGT posi­tions; a pulled pork on AFG; the buy sta­tus of WDS and HZN; and wait­ing to see what hap­pens with crude oil.

US debt ceil­ing hits the AORD; Doug Tynan uses A Check­list; Bret­ta­la­tor prob­lems; Apol­lo is now THL; Using GPT to find com­pa­nies with a qual­i­fied audit; Port­fo­lio updates; Pulled pork on FPR; a refresh­er on oper­at­ing cash­flow v free cash flow; the cor­re­la­tion between VEA’s share price and crude oil.

This week we dis­cuss the rough week in the AORD, with lots of sell and not much to buy; Com­mod­i­ty updates; sud­den drops by CLX and ALO; tips on invest­ing from Mor­gan Housel, author of The Psy­chol­o­gy of Mon­ey, and a pulled pork on FHE.

On this episode we talk about inter­est rate fears con­tin­u­ing to affect the mar­ket, PRN’s expo­sure to com­modi­ties, Buffett’s com­ments on The Intel­li­gent Investor, thoughts about remov­ing Josephines from the buy list, Don Brad­man and invest­ing, the Allkem (AKE) merg­er, a Pulled Pork on QBE, TK’s his­to­ry with com­mod­i­ty sells, buy­ing banks stocks, val­ue invest­ing arti­cle in the AFR, block/brick sizes were used in the Renko tests, does Tony ever check the stocks he holds against what their cur­rent QAV Val­ue shows, Tony’s invest­ment in FHE, the new Bret­ta­la­tor, and banks prof­its vis-a-vis inter­est rates.

On this episode we got so car­ried away talk­ing about the high­lights of the 2023 Berk­shire Hath­away AGM, the OML drop, Hot­Cop­per pump and dumper gets prison, Light port­fo­lios beat­ing the bench­mark, review the “The Low­est PE” rules, QAN replac­ing its CEO, NAB get­ting sold off, pulled pork on PLS, the lat­est RBA rate rise, the Fed­er­al bud­get, and review­ing the “Buy fol­lows Sell line” and the “Lat­est Buy Line”, that we ran out of time for ques­tions.

Tony is on his way back from Toron­to, so I decid­ed to have a chat about invest­ing with the sec­ond smartest intel­li­gence I know — Chat­G­PT. 

Live from Toron­to, we talk about the port­fo­lio’s recent per­for­mance, steel is now a sell, pulled pork on NAB, share invest­ing vs share trad­ing for tax pur­pos­es, update on Renko charts, and the new Bret­ta­la­tor update.

Cop­per is a buy but C6C is being sold; Buf­fett on Bankers; Pulled Pork MIN; Josephine tim­ing; mul­ti­ple posi­tions and Rule 1; do uptrends con­tin­ue; LAU new secu­ri­ties issues; invest­ing dur­ing for­eign con­flicts.

Our guest on this pre-record­ed short episode is Simon Shep­herd from The Invest­ment Newslet­ter Group. They con­duct detailed stock by stock, newslet­ter by newslet­ter track­ing of many of the top buy rec­om­men­da­tions from Aus­tralian invest­ing newslet­ter — a wor­thy ser­vice. Find out more at: https://www.tinglive.com.au

A short show today as TK is in total­ly Viva La Vegas and we didn’t have many ques­tions. Port­fo­lio & com­mod­i­ty updates; ALO acqui­si­tion; ETF update; pulled pork on RMS; and insights into URW.

Today our guest is Co-Founder and Man­ag­ing Direc­tor of the com­pa­ny that pro­duces Stock Doc­tor — Tim Lin­coln. Tim co-found­ed the com­pa­ny in 1991 with his father Dr. Merv Lin­coln and Stock Doc­tor was launched 6 years lat­er, in 1997. Today, Tim has grown a high­ly suc­cess­ful finan­cial tech­nol­o­gy and invest­ment busi­ness that includes a grow­ing team of 40 finance pro­fes­sion­al, thou­sands of long-term Stock Doc­tor mem­bers and over $800 mil­lion invest­ed in their three indus­try lead­ing Aus­tralian and US man­aged funds.

Port­fo­lio updates; Market’s had a rough week; Ther­mal Coal Sell line; CDM shouldn’t be on the buy list; Yields rose as Lowe, traders lunched; RBA rais­es rates; Sev­en in poten­tial merg­er with HT&E; Elon Musk sat with Rupert Mur­doch at the Super­bowl; Pulled Pork is FBU; U.S. v AUS short-term cap­i­tal gains; why TK holds FHE; what cri­te­ria Tony fol­lows to jus­ti­fy adding to an exist­ing posi­tion; Where we are cur­rent­ly in terms of Dow The­o­ry; MEA buy­back announce­ment

Port­fo­lio Updates, com­mod­i­ty updates , NCM takeover, WHC coal break­down, RBA to lift rates, the FOMO ral­ly, Pulled Pork on NCK, R1 trig­ger on com­modi­ties, a tighter sell line for MYR, What time of day does TK buy and sell, fudg­ing AMP’s sell line, pen­ny stocks and Rule 1, WDS com­mod­i­ty break­down, and After Hours (which you don’t have to lis­ten to if you don’t want to!).

Dum­my Port­fo­lio slipped a bit thanks to coal; Chan­ti­cleer and the Chook Super Fund; FMG result; ADANI and activist investors; pulled pork on CMM

In this final episode for 2022, I’m actu­al­ly going back to ear­ly 2020 and tak­ing a look at how Tony man­aged the COVID crash. It’s some­thing TK sug­gest­ed a while back, because it’s a good study / reminder on how he thinks in times of mar­ket uncer­tain­ty.