Boring Stocks, Bonkers Returns: QAV AU #926

On this week’s show we wrap up the finan­cial year and the num­bers are, frankly, bonkers: the AU mod­el port­fo­lio is up near­ly 29% for the year, the Light port­fo­lios are up near­ly 36% as a group, and the US mod­el is up 44% against a 20% S&P. Tony then does a Pulled Pork on EVZ Lim­it­ed, a small engi­neer­ing fab­ri­ca­tor that has gone from 16 cents to 65 cents in 12 months and just land­ed on the buy list. We also get into the warn­ing signs stack­ing up on Wall Street, from mar­gin loans up 50% to the Bank of Inter­na­tion­al Set­tle­ments call­ing out AI data cen­tre spend­ing as a poten­tial GFC-style melt­down risk.

OIL THAT: QAV AU #925

This week we cov­er the Iran oil sanc­tions waiv­er and what it means for the oil price, plus debrief on sell­ing our oil stocks (Karoon, Viva Ener­gy, Brook­side) ahead of what turned out to be a nasty drop. Tony does a Pulled Pork on ASX-list­ed labour hire and train­ing firm Ash­ley Ser­vices Group (ASH), a thin­ly trad­ed turn­around sto­ry with a strong own­er-founder and a QAV score of 0.24. We also note the pass­ing of Alan Greenspan, the Cred­it Corp / Humm deal falling apart, and end-of-finan­cial-year port­fo­lio num­bers that have the dum­my port­fo­lio well ahead of the index.

Major Feelgood: QAV AU #924

On this week’s show, we wade through a big news cycle: the US-Iran peace deal that forced us to dump our oil stocks, the SpaceX IPO trad­ing at a jaw-drop­ping 1,750 times PROPCAF while los­ing mon­ey, and the brief Kore­an stock mar­ket cir­cuit break­er that felt a lit­tle too dot­com-era for com­fort. Tony does a Pulled Pork on Sun­corp Group, fresh­ly returned to the buy list after divest­ing its bank­ing arm to ANZ, and I run the num­bers on the Dogs of the Dow ver­sus QAV over five years.

Beds, Banks and Bionic Men: WEB Travel in the AI Age: QAV AU #922

This week Tony’s back from the horse sales and dives straight into a Pulled Pork on WEB Trav­el Group, the B2B hotel bed-bank­ing busi­ness spun out of the old Web­jet. We also cov­er neg­a­tive gear­ing changes and how they com­pare to what Paul Keat­ing tried in the late 1980s, plus a lis­ten­er ques­tion on Serv­cor­p’s recent price wob­ble, port­fo­lio com­par­i­son notes from lis­ten­er Toby, and the usu­al after-hours chat cov­er­ing Top­golf, Bugo­nia, Spi­der Noir, and the eter­nal genius of Steve Austin run­ning in slow motion.

Big River, Big Comeback (BRI): QAV AU #921

On this episode Cameron flies solo while Tony is down the Gold Coast doing some­thing involv­ing hors­es. He cov­ers the mar­ket fall­out from Trump’s sur­prise bomb­ing of Iran, explains why he’s hit­ting pause on new buys through con­fes­sion sea­son, and does a Pulled Pork on Big Riv­er Indus­tries (BRI), a 120-year-old tim­ber and build­ing mate­ri­als com­pa­ny that is qui­et­ly turn­ing itself around. There’s also a defence of val­ue invest­ing as an all-weath­er strat­e­gy, prompt­ed by a VanEck opin­ion piece in the AFR.

Secret Link