The Dismal Science; gold is a buy; portfolio is killing it (too good?); what to do if your performance sucks; ‘loss-aversion’ bias; NHC buy back; CRN ends talks with Peabody; New month, new alerts; Pulled Pork – DBI; what to do when there’s a big gap between Buyers and Sellers; Rule#1 Clarification; update from Denis in Kyiv.
My circle of competence is just QAV ; Election result, investing implications ; SEQ and the “second buy line” ; outperformance by founder-led companies ; NHC’s big drop ; YAL halt ; Murph from ABC died ; Howard Marks’ latest memo on investor psychology ; Sri Lanka defaulting on $18bn of bonds. ; Underemployment rate now at 6.1% ; NUF has new results and crashed ; Australians lost $10Bn in crypto last year ; small stocks and Rule 1 ; what do you do in a market like this when you have a full portfolio and more capital ; a strong correlation between dividend yield and the QAV buy list ; Analysis of price to consensus target figures ; ME close v Price Chg 1mth (%) for calculating Josephine ; when a stock has done exceptionally well (say doubled) would TK use the proceeds to purchase two stocks?
This week: ASX lower on fears of US bubble. Howard Marks’ capitulation. Ray Dalio’s thoughts on a coming US civil war. Using Gross Revenue Growth per Share to value “growth” stocks. Stock of the week – KRM. Using a logarithmic price scale. Tony’s thoughts on the Blue-Chippers in the ASX. Determining ‘Consistently Increasing Equity’. Defining ‘recent positive upturn’. Reasons to sell. NTD and the AUD. Waiting for reporting season. How to apportion additional funds. Sell lines for GGE, NHC, ESS.
Is value investing back? Yes, according to the same people who reported it was dead last year. On this week’s episode we talk about Tony’s “Stock Of The Year”, why we use different Intrinsic Value calculations, whether or not WBC is a buy, whether or not stock consolidations are something to worry about, how Tony uses stop losses, whether or not we should only buy stocks with a significant director interest, how young investors should get started, whether or not it’s better to buy a stock immediately after it has crossed its BUY line, and how much Tony is guided by the financial press.