QAV 544 — Follow The Recipe

by | Nov 9, 2022 | Blog, Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

The Dis­mal Sci­ence; gold is a buy; port­fo­lio is killing it (too good?); what to do if your per­for­mance sucks; ‘loss-aver­sion’ bias; NHC buy back; CRN ends talks with Peabody; New month, new alerts; Pulled Pork — DBI; what to do when there’s a big gap between Buy­ers and Sell­ers; Rule#1 Clar­i­fi­ca­tion; update from Denis in Kyiv.

QAV S05E21 — Excesses And Corrections

by | May 28, 2022 | Blog, Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

My cir­cle of com­pe­tence is just QAV ; Elec­tion result, invest­ing impli­ca­tions ; SEQ and the “sec­ond buy line” ; out­per­for­mance by founder-led com­pa­nies ; NHC’s big drop ; YAL halt ; Murph from ABC died ; Howard Marks’ lat­est memo on investor psy­chol­o­gy ; Sri Lan­ka default­ing on $18bn of bonds. ; Under­em­ploy­ment rate now at 6.1% ; NUF has new results and crashed ; Aus­tralians lost $10Bn in cryp­to last year ; small stocks and Rule 1 ; what do you do in a mar­ket like this when you have a full port­fo­lio and more cap­i­tal ; a strong cor­re­la­tion between div­i­dend yield and the QAV buy list ; Analy­sis of price to con­sen­sus tar­get fig­ures ; ME close v Price Chg 1mth (%) for cal­cu­lat­ing Josephine ; when a stock has done excep­tion­al­ly well (say dou­bled) would TK use the pro­ceeds to pur­chase two stocks? 

QAV S04E03 — Capitulation

by | Jan 28, 2021 | Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

This week: ASX low­er on fears of US bub­ble. Howard Marks’ capit­u­la­tion. Ray Dalio’s thoughts on a com­ing US civ­il war. Using Gross Rev­enue Growth per Share to val­ue “growth” stocks. Stock of the week — KRM. Using a log­a­rith­mic price scale. Tony’s thoughts on the Blue-Chip­pers in the ASX. Deter­min­ing ‘Con­sis­tent­ly Increas­ing Equi­ty’. Defin­ing ‘recent pos­i­tive upturn’. Rea­sons to sell. NTD and the AUD. Wait­ing for report­ing sea­son. How to appor­tion addi­tion­al funds. Sell lines for GGE, NHC, ESS.

TK Journal 2021-01-20

by | Jan 20, 2021 | Blog, TK-journal

I was read­ing this arti­cle by Tim Tread­gold in the Eure­ka Report today and it alert­ed me to check on the ther­mal coal price in Index­mun­di. Like a lot of oth­er com­modi­ties, coal is now in a 3 point uptrend. So, I reviewed the watch­list for ener­gy and...

QAV S03E61 — Zombie Value Investing

by | Dec 15, 2020 | Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

Is val­ue invest­ing back? Yes, accord­ing to the same peo­ple who report­ed it was dead last year. On this week’s episode we talk about Tony’s “Stock Of The Year”, why we use dif­fer­ent Intrin­sic Val­ue cal­cu­la­tions, whether or not WBC is a buy, whether or not stock con­sol­i­da­tions are some­thing to wor­ry about, how Tony uses stop loss­es, whether or not we should only buy stocks with a sig­nif­i­cant direc­tor inter­est, how young investors should get start­ed, whether or not it’s bet­ter to buy a stock imme­di­ate­ly after it has crossed its BUY line, and how much Tony is guid­ed by the finan­cial press.

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