ALL Seasons
All Australian Episodes
Find every Australian episode below.
For American episodes, please visit this page instead.
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QAV S03E07 — Beliefonomics
Mark Jones is an old friend of Cameron’s, CEO of Sydney PR and marketing firm Filtered Media, and author of the new book about corporate storytelling, “Beliefonomics”. Tony and Cameron caught up with him in Sydney recently for a chat.
QAV S03E06 — Listen To The Numbers
Tony walks us through his decision to buy some STO shares last week (as per the email we sent to QAV Club members on Friday).
Tony then answers some member questions about Stanmore Coal, how listed investment vehicles lend themselves to QAV analysis, the KMT rights issue, and Roger Montgomery’s recent article.
QAV S03E05 — Getting Started (Part 3)
Part 3 of our rebooted getting started podcasts. This picks up where episode 303 left off, halfway through the QAV checklist.
QAV S03E04 — The Five Stages Of Grief
Tony thinks the market is going through the “five stages of grief” and we debate which stage we are up to. He also talks about the “Coppock Curve” which suggests markets, like people, go through periods of mourning. Then we answer some of your questions about: the best way to set up a profile to trade, comparing full-service brokers to low-cost DIY options, how to treat companies with negative “net income “, what Tony thinks about Discounted Cash Flow calculations, his thoughts on the possibility of inflation in the next few years, whether or not he ever uses options, whether or not found he has found any companies with good scores lately, and what he thinks about Kathmandu
QAV S03E03 — Getting Started (Reboot Intro Part 2)
Part 2 of our “getting started” reboot. In this episode we get into the nitty-gritty of the checklist and the data sources we use.
QAV S03E02 — Sit On ‘Em
Back to answering your questions today, including topics about leveraging your portfolio, replacing Stock Doctor with another data source, banning short-selling, investing in REITs, how to prioritise the watch list, and just generally when to buy back in. Tony’s basic approach right now is to “wash your hands — and then sit on ’em.”
QAV S03E01 — Intro To QAV
As it’s been a year since we recorded our “introduction to QAV” episodes, a couple of our listeners suggested it would be a good idea to re-record them, now that we’re much smoother on the mic. So we present — QAV Reboot. We introduce ourselves and the QAV system of investing in shares.
QAV S02E11 — Dead Cat Bounce
While Friday brought a dead cat bounce, Tony thinks the correction is just getting started. He says we’re yet to see the impact of the coming credit crunch. We answer a question about whether or not Tony invests for the purpose of living off the dividend income, and in our club edition we analyse Macmahon Holdings (MAH) just for practice. As I say — NOW is the time to send yourself to QAV University. When the market turns around, we should all be ready with a watchlist so we can jump in quickly and ride it all the way up in the next cycle.
QAV S02E10 — Nothing Changes
Tons of questions this week from club members about how to invest during a market correction. And as the market is still in free fall, we don’t bother with a stock analysis. So we just spend 90 minutes answering your excellent questions.
QAV S02E09 — Tony’s Close Shave
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” — Warren Buffett
Yes, the market is in freefall — but that’s great for disciplined value investors. As Tony explains on this week’s episode, large market downturns happen once every five-seven years, and it’s in the rebounds that the best investors make big moves. He talks more about how he uses the three point trend line during downturns and we discuss some of our favourite snippets from this year’s Berkshire Hathaway Chairman’s newsletter.
QAV S02E08 Tony’s Mankini
Tony talks about the UNV offer and why we sold it last week and CSV’s recent acquisition, which took it out of our portfolio. To answer a question from QAV Club member Nick B, we also talk more about when and why Tony will exit a stock. Our Stock Of The Week is AQG, Alacer Gold. And then, we watch in amusement as the ASK dives while we are recording the episode and Tony explains why, as a value investor, he worries more about his golf swing than he does and ups and downs of “Mr Market”.
QAV S02E07 The Shoe Salesman
Steven Mabb is our guest on the show today. He’s a recent QAV Club subscriber but has been a full time investor for the last couple of years, since exiting a very successful footwear business.He and Tony compare notes about investing in International ETFs, why buying stock #201 is a good strategy, neobanks, shareholder associations, and cheap brokerage versus using a full service broker.In our Club edition, our stock of the week is BPT (again). And we answer a question from Ange about what qualifies as a ‘recent positive upturn’. We also talk again about the decline of our portfolio in recent weeks due to the COVID-19 panic. Tony reminds us about Warren Buffett’s story about “Mr Market”.
QAV S02E06 — The Iceman
Our portfolio continues to take a hit from COVID-19. But Tony is as calm as a zen master. He’s the ICEMAN. We talk about the corruption allegations against HZN and changes to CIA’s listing. Our stock of the week is MFD.
QAV S02E05 — Wuhan Black Swan
Tony discusses his portfolio management strategy during a downturn like the Wuhan Black Swan that is currently going on. He also answers some listener questions about having a small portfolio and debt-to-equity ratios. Our stock of the week is Korvest (KOV).
QAV S02E04 — Rudi’s Super Stocks
This week we’re joined by Rudy Filapek-Vandyck from fnarena.com. He explains his “super stock” or “all-weather performer” investing strategy. In the QAV Club extended episode, Tony discusses the effect the Wuhan virus has had on the ASX and our portfolio this week, the latest results from CCP, and we break down the financials of AMI.
QAV S02E03 — Confession Season 2020
As we’re into “confession season” and have “reporting season” rapidly approaching, Tony shares some of the details of the filters/alerts he uses in Stock Doctor to find opportunities. He also answers a listener question about the benefits of using free cash flow versus operating cash flow.
Our stock of the week is CIA — Champion Iron.
QAV S02E02 — The Property Equation
Tony answers some questions from listener Jamie in Perth about balance between property and shares. He also talks about a couple of investing books he’s been reading, and in our Club edition we analyse BSL — Bluescope Steel.
QAV S02E01 — Time In The Market
Season Two of our investing podcast!! We look at our portfolio’s month end report and how it compared to the All Ords Total Return index and answer questions from Club Member Mike L about the accuracy of future predictions. Then we talk about commodities trend lines as a source of comfort when investing in coal, and our analysis this week is GRR.
S01E44 — Bravo Hertz
Our guest this week is listener Andre Bravo, a Canadian who has a Masters in Applied Computational Economics and works in the weed industry. Oh NOW I have your attention! Andre joined us this week to talk about the app he has written to speed up his own QAV analysis, and then we get his help to analyse our first US stock — Hertz (HTZ.N). It’s an interesting one because we couldn’t use our usual tools and had to resort to pulling up numbers manually. The basic lesson is that the checklist can be used to analyse US stocks. Andre also asks a few really great questions about how Tony uses the checklist and gave a refresher course how on to simulate Stock Doctor’s financial strength rating using other sources of data. Thanks for all of your support this year! We hope you learned a lot and are feeling more confident in your ability to analyse stocks. We’ll be back next week with Season Two of our investing podcast!
QAV S01E43 — No Old, Bold Pilots
On this episode:
We have our second QAV Club subscriber guest, Paul, a criminal lawyer from Sydney, who calls himself “a disastrous investor”.
Paul asked Tony a bunch of great questions about the checklist, including drilling down on why Tony doesn’t try to understand a business deeply before he invests in it (like Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch), and about understanding how to factor in shorting.
Cameron reads out some quotes from “Winning The Loser’s Game” by Charles D Ellis and gets Tony’s comments on them.
Our stock deep dive of the week is MRC — Mineral Commodities.
QAV S01E42 — Sticking To The Numbers
We have our first QAV Club subscriber guest — Murray Bruce from Bruce Insurance in Perth, one of our first subscribers. He asks Tony a question about whether or not he is comfortable purchasing any share that rates well, or does he do additional research on the company before making a buy.
QAV S01E41 — Cash Is A Fact
This week we talk about why our portfolio outperformed the index by 1300%, the wisdom of Peter Lynch, why Howard Marks wants to stay in the middle, and our stock analysis of the week is Universal Coal.
QAV S01E40 — Tony Gives Up His Rights
Tony talks about rights issues and some of the complexities involved in knowing whether to take them up or not. I know, right? Sounds boring! It wasn’t actually, I learned a lot. We also discussed a few recent news articles about value investing, Tony reveals his wine of the week, and in our analysis section we breakdown the financials of Horizon Oil.
QAV S01E39 — The Discounted Cash Flow
Another long episode!
WIth talk about why we sold Apollo Tourism again.
Howard Marks and the “Great Sag”.
Tony explains how to calculate a Discounted Cash Flow in detail.
We talk about our friend Torsten’s new bitcoin film “Cryptopia” and what we think about bitcoin as an investment.
Tony reveals his drink of the week.
And our analysis this week is Tap Oil.
QAV S01E38 — The Negroni Method
In this week’s jam packed episode, we answer the following questions from new subscriber Tess in Melbourne:
1. During reporting season, how do you decide which companies to put through the checklist given there are 2000 or so listed companies on the ASX?
2. The AFR new 52 week high tables have not been available since July, is there any other place I can source this info or can you recommend an alternative strategy for picking stocks to analyse?
3. I would like to be able to perform my own financial strength analysis as I do not have stock doctor. Cameron went over this briefly in one of your earlier episodes but there are some gaps in my knowledge.
We also talk about the Sohn Hearts and Minds conference that’s happening this week as well as the Wilson Asset Management AGM.
QAV S01E37 — Preparing For The Collapse
This week Tony answers a couple of questions from club member Dave about why Warren Buffet & Berkshire are sitting on a massive pile of cash and how Tony is preparing for a “global market crunch”. We also talk some more about listed investment companies and in our club section we take a look at the financials of gold miner PRU (Perseus Mining).
QAV S01E36 — Listed Investing Companies
This week Tony explains why he sometimes invests in Listed Investing Companies like Wilson Asset Management. We also talk about what to do with our worst-performing stock SMR, our extremely good end of month results, Tony’s horse that ran on Melbourne Cup day (not as good), and my son Taylor joins us to analyse oil and gas exploration and production company CUE.
QAV S01E35 — The Gambler
I found myself listening to Kenny Rogers’ The Gambler recently (one of my dad’s favourite songs when I was a kid) and it made me think of this week’s show.
“You gotta know when to hold ’em;
Know when to fold ’em.
Know when to walk away;
Know when to run.”
This week we have a lot of questions from club members about when to sell and three-point trendlines. We also talk about Tony’s horse that ran in the Cox Plate and why the checklist doesn’t have a debt-to-equity data point.
Our stock analysis this week is KSL — Kina Securities.
QAV S01E34 — Buffettology
This week on the show, The Value Investing Guru and Cameron talk about some difficulties getting Share Analysis to do what we want; a new analysis tool called QuickFS; stories about Warren Buffett; Cameron’s growing passion around QAV; changes to our portfolio involving Apollo Tourism and Stanmore Coal; and in our deep dive analysis this week we look at Mastermyne.
QAV S01E33 — Share Analysis Deep Dive
This week we have a guest – Cameron Britten from Share Analysis. As longtime listeners will be aware, Tony’s a big fan of several online tools and Share Analysis has been one of those for many years. They had a recent “re-platforming” event which took the service down for a few months. But they are back and we invited Cameron on to talk a little about the history and the future of the service. He also let us know that they are currently running an extended free trial service, so if aren’t already a member, jump over to their website and sign up today. Services like this make value investing much easier than it was back in the early days of Berkshire Hathaway and Benjamin Graham.
QAV S01E32 — Turning Japanese
On this episode we debunk more claims about the death of value investing and how it relates to the “Japanification” of the economy; I come up with a new nickname for Tony; And we answer a listener question about how quickly he invests new funds.
Our stock analysis of the week is the diversified leather manufacturer SCHAFFER CORPORATION (SFC).
QAV S01E31 — Using Three Point Trendlines for Buy & Sell Signals
This week Tony answers questions from new QAV Club member Angela about three point trendlines, reinvesting strategies, and challenger stocks, and we analyze gold miner Ramelius Resources.
QAV S01E30 — Tony Looks At Growth Stocks
Don’t be shocked! On this week’s episode of QAV, Tony has some new insights into ways to analyse growth stocks using the checklist and Cameron has to pick himself up off the floor. In our analysis section for premium members, we look at FMG, Fortescue Metals Group.
QAV S01E29 — Tailwinds
This week we’re answering a number of listener questions, including one about how much attention Tony pays to “tailwinds” or macro factors affecting an industry or the economy. We also talk about how Tony deals with red flags in companies he has invested in, and he talks about some mistakes he has made recently. In our Club edition, we analyse Stanmore Coal again (we did it earlier this year) and take our time to explain some of the checklist columns in more detail. And Tony reveals what he wears when he mops the kitchen floor!
QAV S01E28 — How To Structure A Portfolio
In this episode Tony explains how he thinks about structuring a portfolio taking into consideration your appetite for risk and volatility. In our Club episode, we also answer some listener questions about the process of buying shares, how to work out the most undervalued Top 10 stock, and the NEFF ratio. Oh yeah, and I sing Tony a song.
QAV S01E27 — Investing Tax Structures
Based on an email from one of our QAV Club members, this week Tony shares his views on the various investing tax structures. We also talk about how we’re managing the dummy portfolio. And in our QAV Club analysis section this week, we’re looking at IFN.
QAV S01E26 — Reporting Season Frenzy!
It’s reporting season and Tony is EXCITED. On this week’s show we talk about the cause of CRN’s sudden decline, and analyse two companies – BHP and QAN.
We are also adding quite a few additional stocks to our dummy portfolio based on Tony’s private analysis.
QAV S01E25 — What to make of the US Bond Market?
Tony talks about his view on the US bond market’s “inverted yield curve”, and his policy for investing before and during a market downturn.
For our club members, Tony then analyses TWO companies this week: Beach Petroleum and Bell Financial Group.
QAV S01E24 — The “Good” Coal
Tony talks about the Aussie economy and whether or not he thinks the value of the dollar is closely related to a coming economic collapse. We also talk about whether or not value investing is dead.
For our club members, Tony then analyses our company of the week, Coronado Coal (CRN), who does pretty well on the checklist.
QAV S01E23 — Beware The Black Swan
Today our guest is Roger Montgomery from Montgomery Investment Management to talk about his approach to value investing and what he thinks is going on with the Australian market and economy at the moment. Lots of great insights in this one, from the economics of enough, to black swans and what happens when the fear of missing out becomes larger than the fear of loss.
For our premium subscribers, Tony then analyses our company of the week, Credit Corp Group (CCP), who does pretty well on the checklist.
QAV S01E22 — Turning Into Gold
The last week of Tony’s vacation, so I’m playing the analysis of small gold producer MEDUSA MINING (MML) we recorded late June. Spoiler alert: it turns out pretty well.
QAV S01E21 — Playing the Old Course at St Andrews
Tony dials in from Ireland this week and brings me up to date on his visits to whisky distilleries in Scotland and his out-of-body experience playing the Old Course at St Andrews. We also talk a little about investing and he how he feels like “I’ve seen this show before”, meaning the current bull run hype. We discuss how our dummy portfolio is going (mostly in the green except for Myer) and for our QAV Club members, we have a discussion about Mortgage Choice (MOC).
QAV S01E20 — How Fresh Is WOW?
As Tony was too busy evaluating the quality of Scotland’s golf courses and single malts to get on the phone with me this week, our show consists of a checklist analysis we did in Sydney in early June about Woolworths (WOW). This is the companion analysis to last week’s show about Coles Group, so you can see how two similar businesses compare in the checklist.
QAV S01E19 — Ten Times Bigger (Austin Lieberman, Part 2)
This episode contains the second part of our interview with Austin LIeberman, a private investor in Florida, who has been achieving remarkable returns on his portfolio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to understand his methodology. On this episode Austin tells us he tries to only invest in companies he can imagine being ten times bigger than they are today.
Our stock of the week is Tony’s old employer, the Coles Group (COL).
QAV S01E18 — Winners Keep Winning (Austin Lieberman, Part 1)
This episode contains the first part of our interview with Austin LIeberman, a private investor in Florida, who has been achieving remarkable returns on his portfolio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to understand his methodology. Our stock of the week is Afterpay (APT).
QAV S01E17 — Matt Joass
Matt Joass joins us today for a fun talk about his own investing strategy, particularly how to assess the opportunity of high growth stocks. Matt is the former portfolio manager for Motley Fool Pro in Australia, former co-host of the now defunct Three Wise Monkeys podcast, and is currently a private investor. Follow him at mattjoass.com.
QAV S01E16 — When To Exit An Old Portfolio
Tony talks about when you should exit a portfolio you may have bought before you started your QAV analysis. And our stock of the week is Rand Mining (RND), a gold mining operation in WA.
QAV S01E15 — When Should You Sell?
Today we’re talking about when you should sell a stock that has passed the checklist. And our stock of the week is Vocus (VOC). A vertically integrated telecommunications provider, operating in the Australian and New Zealand markets.
QAV S01E14 — How Shorting Works
On this episode, we talk about the RBA dropping interest rates and other signs the economy is weakening and what that means for investing. We also talk about how shorting the market works as an investment tool. And our stock of the week is Eclipx, a vehicle leasing company that has recently had a bump to its price.
QAV S01E13 — Alan Kohler
Our guest today is one of Australia’s most respected financial journalists – Alan Kohler. Tony has been a big fan of Alan’s work for decades and was as giddy as a K‑Pop fan about getting Alan on the show. Alan gave us his thoughts on the economy, unemployment, internet stocks, lying CEOs, and his role with the Australian Indigenous Education Foundation.