ALL Seasons

All Australian Episodes

Find every Aus­tralian episode below.
For Amer­i­can episodes, please vis­it this page instead.

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QAV S03E07 — Beliefonomics

Mark Jones is an old friend of Cameron’s, CEO of Syd­ney PR and mar­ket­ing firm Fil­tered Media, and author of the new book about cor­po­rate sto­ry­telling, “Belie­fo­nom­ics”. Tony and Cameron caught up with him in Syd­ney recent­ly for a chat.

QAV S03E06 — Listen To The Numbers

Tony walks us through his deci­sion to buy some STO shares last week (as per the email we sent to QAV Club mem­bers on Fri­day).
Tony then answers some mem­ber ques­tions about Stan­more Coal, how list­ed invest­ment vehi­cles lend them­selves to QAV analy­sis, the KMT rights issue, and Roger Montgomery’s recent arti­cle.

QAV S03E04 — The Five Stages Of Grief

Tony thinks the mar­ket is going through the “five stages of grief” and we debate which stage we are up to. He also talks about the “Cop­pock Curve” which sug­gests mar­kets, like peo­ple, go through peri­ods of mourn­ing. Then we answer some of your ques­tions about: the best way to set up a pro­file to trade, com­par­ing full-ser­vice bro­kers to low-cost DIY options, how to treat com­pa­nies with neg­a­tive “net income “, what Tony thinks about Dis­count­ed Cash Flow cal­cu­la­tions, his thoughts on the pos­si­bil­i­ty of infla­tion in the next few years, whether or not he ever uses options, whether or not found he has found any com­pa­nies with good scores late­ly, and what he thinks about Kath­man­du

QAV S03E02 — Sit On ‘Em

Back to answer­ing your ques­tions today, includ­ing top­ics about lever­ag­ing your port­fo­lio, replac­ing Stock Doc­tor with anoth­er data source, ban­ning short-sel­l­­ing, invest­ing in REITs, how to pri­ori­tise the watch list, and just gen­er­al­ly when to buy back in. Tony’s basic approach right now is to “wash your hands — and then sit on ’em.”

QAV S03E01 — Intro To QAV

As it’s been a year since we record­ed our “intro­duc­tion to QAV” episodes, a cou­ple of our lis­ten­ers sug­gest­ed it would be a good idea to re-record them, now that we’re much smoother on the mic. So we present — QAV Reboot. We intro­duce our­selves and the QAV sys­tem of invest­ing in shares.

QAV S02E11 — Dead Cat Bounce

While Fri­day brought a dead cat bounce, Tony thinks the cor­rec­tion is just get­ting start­ed. He says we’re yet to see the impact of the com­ing cred­it crunch. We answer a ques­tion about whether or not Tony invests for the pur­pose of liv­ing off the div­i­dend income, and in our club edi­tion we analyse Macma­hon Hold­ings (MAH) just for prac­tice. As I say — NOW is the time to send your­self to QAV Uni­ver­si­ty. When the mar­ket turns around, we should all be ready with a watch­list so we can jump in quick­ly and ride it all the way up in the next cycle.

QAV S02E10 — Nothing Changes

Tons of ques­tions this week from club mem­bers about how to invest dur­ing a mar­ket cor­rec­tion. And as the mar­ket is still in free fall, we don’t both­er with a stock analy­sis. So we just spend 90 min­utes answer­ing your excel­lent ques­tions.

QAV S02E09 — Tony’s Close Shave

“Be fear­ful when oth­ers are greedy and greedy when oth­ers are fear­ful.” — War­ren Buf­fett

Yes, the mar­ket is in freefall — but that’s great for dis­ci­plined val­ue investors. As Tony explains on this week’s episode, large mar­ket down­turns hap­pen once every five-sev­en years, and it’s in the rebounds that the best investors make big moves. He talks more about how he uses the three point trend line dur­ing down­turns and we dis­cuss some of our favourite snip­pets from this year’s Berk­shire Hath­away Chair­man’s newslet­ter.

QAV S02E08 Tony’s Mankini

Tony talks about the UNV offer and why we sold it last week and CSV’s recent acqui­si­tion, which took it out of our port­fo­lio. To answer a ques­tion from QAV Club mem­ber Nick B, we also talk more about when and why Tony will exit a stock. Our Stock Of The Week is AQG, Alac­er Gold. And then, we watch in amuse­ment as the ASK dives while we are record­ing the episode and Tony explains why, as a val­ue investor, he wor­ries more about his golf swing than he does and ups and downs of “Mr Mar­ket”.

QAV S02E07 The Shoe Salesman

​Steven Mabb is our guest on the show today. He’s a recent QAV Club sub­scriber but has been a full time investor for the last cou­ple of years, since exit­ing a very suc­cess­ful footwear business.He and Tony com­pare notes about invest­ing in Inter­na­tion­al ETFs, why buy­ing stock #201 is a good strat­e­gy, neobanks, share­hold­er asso­ci­a­tions, and cheap bro­ker­age ver­sus using a full ser­vice broker.In our Club edi­tion, our stock of the week is BPT (again). And we answer a ques­tion from Ange about what qual­i­fies as a ‘recent pos­i­tive upturn’. We also talk again about the decline of our port­fo­lio in recent weeks due to the COVID-19 pan­ic. Tony reminds us about War­ren Buf­fet­t’s sto­ry about “Mr Mar­ket”.

QAV S02E06 — The Iceman

Our port­fo­lio con­tin­ues to take a hit from COVID-19.  But Tony is as calm as a zen mas­ter. He’s the ICEMAN. We talk about the cor­rup­tion alle­ga­tions against HZN and changes to CIA’s list­ing. Our stock of the week is MFD.

QAV S02E05 — Wuhan Black Swan

Tony dis­cuss­es his port­fo­lio man­age­ment strat­e­gy dur­ing a down­turn like the Wuhan Black Swan that is cur­rent­ly going on. He also answers some lis­ten­er ques­tions about hav­ing a small port­fo­lio and debt-to-equi­­ty ratios. Our stock of the week is Kor­vest (KOV).

QAV S02E04 — Rudi’s Super Stocks

This week we’re joined by Rudy Filapek-Vandy­ck from fnarena.com. He explains his “super stock” or “all-weath­­er per­former” invest­ing strat­e­gy. In the QAV Club extend­ed episode, Tony dis­cuss­es the effect the Wuhan virus has had on the ASX and our port­fo­lio this week, the lat­est results from CCP, and we break down the finan­cials of AMI.

QAV S02E03 — Confession Season 2020

As we’re into “con­fes­sion sea­son” and have “report­ing sea­son” rapid­ly approach­ing, Tony shares some of the details of the filters/alerts he uses in Stock Doc­tor to find oppor­tu­ni­ties. He also answers a lis­ten­er ques­tion about the ben­e­fits of using free cash flow ver­sus oper­at­ing cash flow.

Our stock of the week is CIA — Cham­pi­on Iron.

QAV S02E02 — The Property Equation

Tony answers some ques­tions from lis­ten­er Jamie in Perth about bal­ance between prop­er­ty and shares. He also talks about a cou­ple of invest­ing books he’s been read­ing, and in our Club edi­tion we analyse BSL — Bluescope Steel.

QAV S02E01 — Time In The Market

Sea­son Two of our invest­ing pod­cast!! We look at our port­fo­lio’s month end report and how it com­pared to the All Ords Total Return index and answer ques­tions from Club Mem­ber Mike L about the accu­ra­cy of future pre­dic­tions. Then we talk about com­modi­ties trend lines as a source of com­fort when invest­ing in coal, and our analy­sis this week is GRR.

S01E44 — Bravo Hertz

Our guest this week is lis­ten­er Andre Bra­vo, a Cana­di­an who has a Mas­ters in Applied Com­pu­ta­tion­al Eco­nom­ics and works in the weed indus­try. Oh NOW I have your atten­tion! Andre joined us this week to talk about the app he has writ­ten to speed up his own QAV analy­sis, and then we get his help to analyse our first US stock — Hertz (HTZ.N). It’s an inter­est­ing one because we could­n’t use our usu­al tools and had to resort to pulling up num­bers man­u­al­ly. The basic les­son is that the check­list can be used to analyse US stocks. Andre also asks a few real­ly great ques­tions about how Tony uses the check­list and gave a refresh­er course how on to sim­u­late Stock Doc­tor’s finan­cial strength rat­ing using oth­er sources of data. Thanks for all of your sup­port this year! We hope you learned a lot and are feel­ing more con­fi­dent in your abil­i­ty to analyse stocks. We’ll be back next week with Sea­son Two of our invest­ing pod­cast!

QAV S01E43 — No Old, Bold Pilots

On this episode:

We have our sec­ond QAV Club sub­scriber guest, Paul, a crim­i­nal lawyer from Syd­ney, who calls him­self “a dis­as­trous investor”. 
Paul asked Tony a bunch of great ques­tions about the check­list, includ­ing drilling down on why Tony does­n’t try to under­stand a busi­ness deeply before he invests in it (like War­ren Buf­fett and Peter Lynch), and about under­stand­ing how to fac­tor in short­ing.

Cameron reads out some quotes from “Win­ning The Loser’s Game” by Charles D Ellis and gets Tony’s com­ments on them.

Our stock deep dive of the week is MRC — Min­er­al Com­modi­ties.

QAV S01E42 — Sticking To The Numbers

We have our first QAV Club sub­scriber guest — Mur­ray Bruce from Bruce Insur­ance in Perth, one of our first sub­scribers. He asks Tony a ques­tion about whether or not he is com­fort­able pur­chas­ing any share that rates well, or does he do addi­tion­al research on the com­pa­ny before mak­ing a buy.

QAV S01E41 — Cash Is A Fact

This week we talk about why our port­fo­lio out­per­formed the index by 1300%, the wis­dom of Peter Lynch, why Howard Marks wants to stay in the mid­dle, and our stock analy­sis of the week is Uni­ver­sal Coal.

QAV S01E40 — Tony Gives Up His Rights

Tony talks about rights issues and some of the com­plex­i­ties involved in know­ing whether to take them up or not. I know, right? Sounds bor­ing! It was­n’t actu­al­ly, I learned a lot. We also dis­cussed a few recent news arti­cles about val­ue invest­ing, Tony reveals his wine of the week, and in our analy­sis sec­tion we break­down the finan­cials of Hori­zon Oil. 

QAV S01E39 — The Discounted Cash Flow

Anoth­er long episode!
WIth talk about why we sold Apol­lo Tourism again.
Howard Marks and the “Great Sag”.
Tony explains how to cal­cu­late a Dis­count­ed Cash Flow in detail.
We talk about our friend Torsten’s new bit­coin film “Cryp­topia” and what we think about bit­coin as an invest­ment.
Tony reveals his drink of the week.
And our analy­sis this week is Tap Oil.

QAV S01E38 — The Negroni Method

In this week’s jam packed episode, we answer the fol­low­ing ques­tions from new sub­scriber Tess in Mel­bourne:

1. Dur­ing report­ing sea­son, how do you decide which com­pa­nies to put through the check­list giv­en there are 2000 or so list­ed com­pa­nies on the ASX?
2. The AFR new 52 week high tables have not been avail­able since July, is there any oth­er place I can source this info or can you rec­om­mend an alter­na­tive strat­e­gy for pick­ing stocks to analyse?
3. I would like to be able to per­form my own finan­cial strength analy­sis as I do not have stock doc­tor. Cameron went over this briefly in one of your ear­li­er episodes but there are some gaps in my knowl­edge.

We also talk about the Sohn Hearts and Minds con­fer­ence that’s hap­pen­ing this week as well as the Wil­son Asset Man­age­ment AGM.

QAV S01E37 — Preparing For The Collapse

This week Tony answers a cou­ple of ques­tions from club mem­ber Dave about why War­ren Buf­fet & Berk­shire are sit­ting on a mas­sive pile of cash and how Tony is prepar­ing for a “glob­al mar­ket crunch”. We also talk some more about list­ed invest­ment com­pa­nies and in our club sec­tion we take a look at the finan­cials of gold min­er PRU (Perseus Min­ing).

QAV S01E36 — Listed Investing Companies

This week Tony explains why he some­times invests in List­ed Invest­ing Com­pa­nies like Wil­son Asset Man­age­ment. We also talk about what to do with our worst-per­­for­m­ing stock SMR, our extreme­ly good end of month results, Tony’s horse that ran on Mel­bourne Cup day (not as good), and my son Tay­lor joins us to analyse oil and gas explo­ration and pro­duc­tion com­pa­ny CUE.

QAV S01E35 — The Gambler

I found myself lis­ten­ing to Ken­ny Rogers’ The Gam­bler recent­ly (one of my dad’s favourite songs when I was a kid) and it made me think of this week’s show.

“You got­ta know when to hold ’em;
Know when to fold ’em.
Know when to walk away;
Know when to run.”

This week we have a lot of ques­tions from club mem­bers about when to sell and three-point trend­lines. We also talk about Tony’s horse that ran in the Cox Plate and why the check­list does­n’t have a debt-to-equi­­ty data point.

Our stock analy­sis this week is KSL — Kina Secu­ri­ties. 

QAV S01E34 — Buffettology

This week on the show, The Val­ue Invest­ing Guru and Cameron talk about some dif­fi­cul­ties get­ting Share Analy­sis to do what we want; a new analy­sis tool called Quick­FS; sto­ries about War­ren Buf­fett; Cameron’s grow­ing pas­sion around QAV; changes to our port­fo­lio involv­ing Apol­lo Tourism and Stan­more Coal; and in our deep dive analy­sis this week we look at Mas­termyne.

QAV S01E33 — Share Analysis Deep Dive

This week we have a guest – Cameron Brit­ten from Share Analy­sis. As long­time lis­ten­ers will be aware, Tony’s a big fan of sev­er­al online tools and Share Analy­sis has been one of those for many years. They had a recent “re-plat­­for­m­ing” event which took the ser­vice down for a few months. But they are back and we invit­ed Cameron on to talk a lit­tle about the his­to­ry and the future of the ser­vice. He also let us know that they are cur­rent­ly run­ning an extend­ed free tri­al ser­vice, so if aren’t already a mem­ber, jump over to their web­site and sign up today. Ser­vices like this make val­ue invest­ing much eas­i­er than it was back in the ear­ly days of Berk­shire Hath­away and Ben­jamin Gra­ham.

QAV S01E32 — Turning Japanese

On this episode we debunk more claims about the death of val­ue invest­ing and how it relates to the “Japan­i­fi­ca­tion” of the econ­o­my; I come up with a new nick­name for Tony; And we answer a lis­ten­er ques­tion about how quick­ly he invests new funds.

Our stock analy­sis of the week is the diver­si­fied leather man­u­fac­tur­er SCHAFFER CORPORATION (SFC).

QAV S01E30 — Tony Looks At Growth Stocks

Don’t be shocked! On this week’s episode of QAV, Tony has some new insights into ways to analyse growth stocks using the check­list and Cameron has to pick him­self up off the floor. In our analy­sis sec­tion for pre­mi­um mem­bers, we look at FMG, Fortes­cue Met­als Group.

QAV S01E29 — Tailwinds

This week we’re answer­ing a num­ber of lis­ten­er ques­tions, includ­ing one about how much atten­tion Tony pays to “tail­winds” or macro fac­tors affect­ing an indus­try or the econ­o­my. We also talk about how Tony deals with red flags in com­pa­nies he has invest­ed in, and he talks about some mis­takes he has made recent­ly. In our Club edi­tion, we analyse Stan­more Coal again (we did it ear­li­er this year) and take our time to explain some of the check­list columns in more detail. And Tony reveals what he wears when he mops the kitchen floor!

QAV S01E28 — How To Structure A Portfolio

In this episode Tony explains how he thinks about struc­tur­ing a port­fo­lio tak­ing into con­sid­er­a­tion your appetite for risk and volatil­i­ty. In our Club episode, we also answer some lis­ten­er ques­tions about the process of buy­ing shares, how to work out the most under­val­ued Top 10 stock, and the NEFF ratio. Oh yeah, and I sing Tony a song.

QAV S01E27 — Investing Tax Structures

Based on an email from one of our QAV Club mem­bers, this week Tony shares his views on the var­i­ous invest­ing tax struc­tures. We also talk about how we’re man­ag­ing the dum­my port­fo­lio. And in our QAV Club analy­sis sec­tion this week, we’re look­ing at IFN.

QAV S01E26 — Reporting Season Frenzy!

It’s report­ing sea­son and Tony is EXCITED. On this week’s show we talk about the cause of CRN’s sud­den decline, and analyse two com­pa­nies – BHP and QAN.

We are also adding quite a few addi­tion­al stocks to our dum­my port­fo­lio based on Tony’s pri­vate analy­sis.

QAV S01E25 — What to make of the US Bond Market?

Tony talks about his view on the US bond market’s “invert­ed yield curve”, and his pol­i­cy for invest­ing before and dur­ing a mar­ket down­turn.

For our club mem­bers, Tony then analy­ses TWO com­pa­nies this week: Beach Petro­le­um and Bell Finan­cial Group.

QAV S01E24 — The “Good” Coal

Tony talks about the Aussie econ­o­my and whether or not he thinks the val­ue of the dol­lar is close­ly relat­ed to a com­ing eco­nom­ic col­lapse. We also talk about whether or not val­ue invest­ing is dead.

For our club mem­bers, Tony then analy­ses our com­pa­ny of the week, Coro­n­a­do Coal (CRN), who does pret­ty well on the check­list.

QAV S01E23 — Beware The Black Swan

Today our guest is Roger Mont­gomery from Mont­gomery Invest­ment Man­age­ment to talk about his approach to val­ue invest­ing and what he thinks is going on with the Aus­tralian mar­ket and econ­o­my at the moment. Lots of great insights in this one, from the eco­nom­ics of enough, to black swans and what hap­pens when the fear of miss­ing out becomes larg­er than the fear of loss.

For our pre­mi­um sub­scribers, Tony then analy­ses our com­pa­ny of the week, Cred­it Corp Group (CCP), who does pret­ty well on the check­list.

QAV S01E22 — Turning Into Gold

The last week of Tony’s vaca­tion, so I’m play­ing the analy­sis of small gold pro­duc­er MEDUSA MINING (MML) we record­ed late June. Spoil­er alert: it turns out pret­ty well.

QAV S01E21 — Playing the Old Course at St Andrews

Tony dials in from Ire­land this week and brings me up to date on his vis­its to whisky dis­til­leries in Scot­land and his out-of-body expe­ri­ence play­ing the Old Course at St Andrews. We also talk a lit­tle about invest­ing and he how he feels like “I’ve seen this show before”, mean­ing the cur­rent bull run hype. We dis­cuss how our dum­my port­fo­lio is going (most­ly in the green except for Myer) and for our QAV Club mem­bers, we have a dis­cus­sion about Mort­gage Choice (MOC).

QAV S01E20 — How Fresh Is WOW?

As Tony was too busy eval­u­at­ing the qual­i­ty of Scotland’s golf cours­es and sin­gle malts to get on the phone with me this week, our show con­sists of a check­list analy­sis we did in Syd­ney in ear­ly June about Wool­worths (WOW). This is the com­pan­ion analy­sis to last week’s show about Coles Group, so you can see how two sim­i­lar busi­ness­es com­pare in the check­list.

QAV S01E19 — Ten Times Bigger (Austin Lieberman, Part 2)

This episode con­tains the sec­ond part of our inter­view with Austin LIeber­man, a pri­vate investor in Flori­da, who has been achiev­ing remark­able returns on his port­fo­lio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to under­stand his method­ol­o­gy. On this episode Austin tells us he tries to only invest in com­pa­nies he can imag­ine being ten times big­ger than they are today.

Our stock of the week is Tony’s old employ­er, the Coles Group (COL).

QAV S01E18 — Winners Keep Winning (Austin Lieberman, Part 1)

This episode con­tains the first part of our inter­view with Austin LIeber­man, a pri­vate investor in Flori­da, who has been achiev­ing remark­able returns on his port­fo­lio over the last 4–5 years, as we try to under­stand his method­ol­o­gy. Our stock of the week is After­pay (APT).

QAV S01E17 — Matt Joass

Matt Joass joins us today for a fun talk about his own invest­ing strat­e­gy, par­tic­u­lar­ly how to assess the oppor­tu­ni­ty of high growth stocks. Matt is the for­mer port­fo­lio man­ag­er for Mot­ley Fool Pro in Aus­tralia, for­mer co-host of the now defunct Three Wise Mon­keys pod­cast, and is cur­rent­ly a pri­vate investor. Fol­low him at mattjoass.com.

QAV S01E16 — When To Exit An Old Portfolio

Tony talks about when you should exit a port­fo­lio you may have bought before you start­ed your QAV analy­sis. And our stock of the week is Rand Min­ing (RND), a gold min­ing oper­a­tion in WA.

QAV S01E15 — When Should You Sell?

Today we’re talk­ing about when you should sell a stock that has passed the check­list. And our stock of the week is Vocus (VOC). A ver­ti­cal­ly inte­grat­ed telecom­mu­ni­ca­tions provider, oper­at­ing in the Aus­tralian and New Zealand mar­kets.

QAV S01E14 — How Shorting Works

On this episode, we talk about the RBA drop­ping inter­est rates and oth­er signs the econ­o­my is weak­en­ing and what that means for invest­ing. We also talk about how short­ing the mar­ket works as an invest­ment tool. And our stock of the week is Eclipx, a vehi­cle leas­ing com­pa­ny that has recent­ly had a bump to its price.

QAV S01E13 — Alan Kohler

Our guest today is one of Australia’s most respect­ed finan­cial jour­nal­ists – Alan Kohler. Tony has been a big fan of Alan’s work for decades and was as gid­dy as a K‑Pop fan about get­ting Alan on the show. Alan gave us his thoughts on the econ­o­my, unem­ploy­ment, inter­net stocks, lying CEOs, and his role with the Aus­tralian Indige­nous Edu­ca­tion Foun­da­tion.

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