ALL Seasons

All Australian Episodes

Find every Aus­tralian episode below.
For Amer­i­can episodes, please vis­it this page instead.

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QAV S03E63 — Damien Parker

Our guest on our final episode for 2020 is QAV Club mem­ber Damien Park­er. He joined us recent­ly to chat about his invest­ing and busi­ness career. After a suc­cess­ful career in account­ing and a failed prop­er­ty devel­op­ment busi­ness, Damien bounced back to write 30 busi­ness programs/manuals which grossed $50 mil­lion — and cre­at­ed Pos­i­tive Busi­ness, the longest-run­n­ing newslet­ter to the small-medi­um busi­ness com­mu­ni­ty in Aus­tralia. On this episode he talks about his Busi­ness Lessons, why he put up his prices, and why he pro­vid­ed a 120% mon­ey-back guar­an­tee.

QAV S03E62 — Don’t Judge The Fudge

Last week’s jump in HAW demon­strates why we don’t sell until some­thing hits the 3PTL. Would Tony buy still FMG today? What are the risks of buy­ing stocks with mar­gin loans? Can we fudge the COVID cough? Should we try to pre­dict the future? What about MLD’s cap­i­tal rais­ing? What hap­pened with MSV? All this and Day Of The Trif­fids on our last episode for 2020!

QAV S03E61 — Zombie Value Investing

Is val­ue invest­ing back? Yes, accord­ing to the same peo­ple who report­ed it was dead last year. On this week’s episode we talk about Tony’s “Stock Of The Year”, why we use dif­fer­ent Intrin­sic Val­ue cal­cu­la­tions, whether or not WBC is a buy, whether or not stock con­sol­i­da­tions are some­thing to wor­ry about, how Tony uses stop loss­es, whether or not we should only buy stocks with a sig­nif­i­cant direc­tor inter­est, how young investors should get start­ed, whether or not it’s bet­ter to buy a stock imme­di­ate­ly after it has crossed its BUY line, and how much Tony is guid­ed by the finan­cial press.

QAV S03E60 — Dead Parrot

Can we ignore the COVID cough in our 3PTL charts? What do you do when you own stock in a delist­ed com­pa­ny? How would we treat Depre­ci­a­tion when think­ing about CCP? Does a cap­i­tal raise cause a bump in the price? Should we lis­ten to Ray Dalio on diver­si­fi­ca­tion? Why did Tony buy SFR and not any of the stocks on the Buy list with a much high­er QAV score? Should we add a ‘one-month up turn’ to the check­list?

QAV S03E59 — Cameron Williams

Our guest today is Cameron Williams, sport edi­tor at Chan­nel Nine. You’ve prob­a­bly seen him on The Today Show or Nine News. We talk about grow­ing up in Emer­ald and how he end­ed up in a sports jour­nal­ism career. Of course there’s some talk about hors­es and box­ing, but there also a fair amount of talk about invest­ing, how to teach your kids about mon­ey and entre­pre­neur­ship, why he’s a fan of Tony’s QAV approach — and how TV celebri­ties buy under­wear.

QAV S03E58 — Halloween Pumpkin

This week we dis­cuss the cur­rent sta­tus of the Zim­plats (ZIM) audit, Tony’s stock of the week, his recent jour­nal entries, Kel­ly Part­ners (KPG), Guru­Fo­cus, and the KMD CEO.

QAV S03E57 — Doug Morris, Sharesight

Our guest is Doug Mor­ris, CEO of Share­sight, the online stock port­fo­lio track­er & report­ing tool. We talk about his back­ground, the vision behind Share­sight and how it can sim­pli­fy investor’s lives. Tony is a con­vert!

QAV S03E56 — Premature Ejection

This week we talk about why our port­fo­lio lag­ging the All Ords, sell lines for SSG and ADH, set­ting up a SMSF, using a DRP, AGM vot­ing rights, qual­i­fied audit reports, and regres­sion test­ing.

QAV S03E55 — Andrew Page, Strawman

Our guest on this episode is Andrew Page, founder of Straw­man, an online com­mu­ni­ty of investors pro­vid­ing mem­bers with inde­pen­dent, peer-reviewed research and rec­om­men­da­tions on the share­mar­ket. We talk about the think­ing behind Straw­man and how investors can get the most out of it.

QAV S03E54 — Three Balls In The Water

On this week’s show we talk about the HAW price drop, a high­light from the ASA con­fer­ence, the Aure­lia Met­als cap­i­tal rais­ing, Tony’s stock of the week JBH, and answer some of your ques­tions about UWL, AX1, DKM, SFR, RRL NWH, AKG, how Tony cal­cu­lates his returns, and why we use a 5 year chart with month­ly inter­vals,

QAV S03E53 — Richard Ivers

Richard Ivers is Port­fo­lio Man­ag­er at Prime Val­ue Asset Man­age­ment, look­ing after their small cap port­fo­lio. We chat­ted with him this week about his approach to find­ing val­ue stocks.

QAV S03E52 — Groundhog Day

Tony does a deep dive expla­na­tion on the Kel­ly Cri­te­ri­on and we dis­cuss the chal­lenges in apply­ing it to share invest­ing. We also dis­cuss stocks that briefly stick their head above the ground and then retract them again (aka a ground­hog), review Tony’s thoughts on aver­age dai­ly trade vol­ume, answer a ques­tion about whether SFR is a Schro­ding­er, talk about how the Reserve Bank’s deci­sion to go max QE and the US elec­tion might affect the mar­ket, review the CAA con­sol­i­da­tion and alu­mini­um prices, and Tony’s stock pick of the week is KMD.

QAV S03E51 — Bunny Boilers

This week we talk about invest­ing with your Spock brain instead of your McCoy brain, why Tony’s Stock of the Week is SFR, why CAA might ben­e­fit from ris­ing alu­mini­um prices, how to regres­sion test return on equi­ty, chart­ing the 3PTL lines for LYL, CCV, DKM, RXP, and SUL, and Tony’s Mel­bourne Cup tip!

QAV S03E50 — Stephen Moriarty

Our slight­ly con­tro­ver­sial inter­view with investor Stephen Mori­ar­ty, co-author of the book ‘Low Rates High Returns’. We dis­cuss his approach to using CAPE ratios and Kel­ly Cri­te­ri­on to time his invest­ing and deter­mine how much of his port­fo­lio he puts into the mar­ket.

QAV S03E49 — CAPE & Kelly

Tony dis­cuss­es the lat­est move­ments of “Doc­tor Cop­per” and explains why that’s impor­tant; we talk about CAPE & Kel­ly and TK explains his recent analy­sis; and we answer your ques­tions about how we should take into account a company’s lev­el of debt; giv­ing a stock extra points if it is sig­nif­i­cant­ly below its Intrin­sic Val­u­a­tion; fudg­ing the buy line for IGN; KCN being cash flow neg­a­tive; rank­ing com­pa­nies high­er mea­sured by return on share­hold­er cap­i­tal; esti­mat­ing future prof­its of growth com­pa­nies who stop spend­ing mon­ey on mar­ket­ing; and the Health Ratios for MQG.

QAV S03E48 — John Winters, Superhero

John Win­ters is the CEO of Super­hero, the lat­est dig­i­tal broking app to hit the Aus­tralian mar­ket, which offers $5 flat rate trades. A few of our lis­ten­ers were con­cerned about how Super­hero “owns” the stock that you buy through their app, so we invit­ed John on to explain how it works and why we should all relax.

QAV S03E47 — Screaming Buy

On today’s show: AJO quits. Unem­ploy­ment in Oz at record lev­els. What does Tony do when he finds a “scream­ing buy” but can’t under­stand the under­ly­ing ratio­nal for the busi­ness? Cal­cu­lat­ing the SSG 3PTL sell price. Net Oper­at­ing Cash­flow vs Net Equi­ty.

QAV S03E46- Bill Liao, VC & Philanthropist

Bill Liao was one of Aus­trali­a’s orig­i­nal tech entre­pre­neurs. Today he’s a Part­ner at SOS Ven­tures in Ire­land where it man­ages their invest­ments in life sci­ence star­tups. He’s also a pas­sion­ate social entre­pre­neur who has found­ed a num­ber of impor­tant char­i­ties. We invit­ed him on to chat about how a VC val­ues a tech start­up.

QAV S03E45 — Profit Taking Swill

This week we dis­cuss whether or not high lev­els of direc­tor own­er­ship is good or bad; how Tony man­ages his port­fo­lio allo­ca­tion; bro­ker com­mis­sions, CRN, HJPN, LAU, and the SAR and NST merg­er, and more!

QAV S03E44 — Upwardly Volatile

This week we talk about why volatil­i­ty and risk are not the same thing and why we embrace volatil­i­ty in our port­fo­lio. We also dis­cuss how the ATO treats “investors” ver­sus “traders”, the HAW div­i­dend / cap­i­tal return, and more!

QAV S03E43 — Superhero(s)

Lots of talk this week about the new trad­ing app Super­hero, how to use Stock Doc­tor’s Rel­a­tive Strength Indi­ca­tor, how frank­ing cred­its work, whether or not Tony waits for an uptick before buy­ing a stock, fudg­ing the covid cough, bor­row­ing funds to invest, and much more.

QAV S03E42 — Boring Is Beautiful

We start off talk­ing about our Year One result for the QAV port­fo­lio. Is 6.3% a good result in the cur­rent mar­ket? Ques­tions this week include top­ics about how quick­ly Tony sells once a stock breach­es its sell line; CCP’s price drop; Mac­quar­ie Group’s (MQG) prof­it hit; whether or not Tony went to 100% cash after COVID; what to do when half of your buy list have neg­a­tive sen­ti­ment; and the Alac­er Gold and SSR Min­ing merg­er.

QAV S03E41 — Kien Trinh, Lincoln Indicators

We are very excit­ed today to have Kien Trinh, the Head of Research from Lin­coln Indi­ca­tors (the com­pa­ny behind Stock Doc­tor) on our show! Kien talked to us about why Stock Doc­tor is such a pow­er­ful tool for seri­ous investors.

QAV S03E40 — ZOOM #3

This is the audio tran­script of a Zoom group chat Tony and I did with some of our QAV Club mem­bers on 7 Sept 2020. Lots of great ques­tions were answered.

QAV S03E39 — THE HIGHEST PEAK

Tony refines what he means by “the high­est peak”; Steve Mabb explains his recent 3PTL exper­i­ment; how Tony would invest an influx of cash; sell­ing GEAR and buy­ing ECX; and run­ning through TK’s jour­nal entries for the week. In over­time we dis­cuss Japan­ese knives, David Lee Roth, Char­lie Brown, Kill Bill and oth­er stuff unre­lat­ed to invest­ing.

QAV S03E38 — TOP OR BOTTOM

Should we buy stocks on our buy list from the Top Down or the Bot­tom Up? That’s the ques­tion we try to answer this week. Apart from that, we’re delv­ing into some ques­tions of my own about his check­list, as well as lis­ten­er ques­tions about NTD, FMG, CCP and, in over­time (that’s what I’m call­ing the QAV Club sec­tion now), Tony walks us through how he updates the check­list.

QAV S03E37 — EXTRA FUDGE

This week’s episode con­tains extra invest­ing fudge! We dis­cuss Wilshire GDP / Shiller PE / CAPE ratios, what red flags to look for in com­pa­ny reports, how to score a New 3pt Upturn, Short­man, War­ren Buf­fet­t’s secret, and Tony dis­cuss­es some of the lat­est com­pa­nies that he has eval­u­at­ed.

QAV S03E36 — MICHAEL GOLDBERG, COLLINS ST VALUE FUND

Michael Gold­berg, one of the prin­ci­pals and founders of Collins St Val­ue Fund, was kind enough to talk to us for 90 min­utes yes­ter­day about how CSVF became one of the best per­form­ing funds in Aus­tralia, achiev­ing a 13.5 per­cent return in 2019–20 com­pared with the ASX 200 Index which was down 7.7 per­cent.

QAV S03E35 — BALLS OF STEEL

Ques­tions this week about NWS; Buf­fett buy­ing into Bar­rick Gold; what a sta­pled secu­ri­ty is; what Tony’s worst return­ing year was; whether or not we can invest in Apol­lo (ATL) again; and Tony’s gen­er­al process dur­ing the report­ing peri­od.

QAV S03E34 — THE PEAK FUDGE

Ques­tion this week include how Tony uses the “most under­val­ued ASX20 stock” strat­e­gy; whether or not ATS being a Schro­ding­er makes it a sell; and 3PTL help on KCN, GGUS and FMG. We also dis­cuss Tony’s recent jour­nal entries, Sam Elliot­t’s mus­tache, Alli­son Jan­ney the horse, Hamil­ton the Musi­cal, and Tony’s Rain Man-esque mem­o­ry for details.

QAV S03E33 — LIVE FROM BRISBANE

On this show we drink scotch and answer ques­tions about sen­ti­ment, bad news, CCP’s Oper­at­ing Cash Flow, the sell price for TRS and invest­ing in bor­der­line star stocks.

QAV S03E32 — DUMP & FLUSH

We chat about a cou­ple of recent arti­cles (see below) and then talk about Tony’s recent alerts involv­ing LYL and KCN. Next we run AMI through the QAV Check­list and answer some ques­tions about why the “buy list” is so large and whether or not we should/could short­en it using Stock Doc­tor fil­ters.

QAV S03E31 — DEWORSIFICATION

Anoth­er 90 minute Club episode this week! Investor, “unem­ployed shoe sales­man” and new board mem­ber of The Aus­tralian Share­hold­ers Asso­ci­a­tion, Steven Mabb, joins us to talk about the val­ue that the ASA brings to retail share­hold­ers and tries to sell Tony on becom­ing a mem­ber. Then we get into this week’s ques­tions, includ­ing how long Tony waits before sell­ing a “non-per­­for­m­ing” stock; whether or not TK would sell a stock in his port­fo­lio because it’s QAV score dropped below 0.1; whether or not TK would wait to see what the US mar­ket does before he buys some­thing local­ly; and whether or not he has tried apply­ing Ben­jamin Gra­ham’s for­mu­la for cap­i­tal­iza­tion rates for growth stocks.

QAV S03E30 — Share Shaming

On this episode we talk about why we are not try­ing to com­pete with APT investors; Tony’s recent stock buys and analy­sis; how he uses his “watch list” and why we’ve changed its name to the “buy list”; we we’re still man­u­al­ly cal­cu­lat­ing the price-to-cash ratio instead of using Stock Doctor’s fig­ure; improved word­ing on how to draw a three point trend SELL line; and why some­times a stock with great num­bers might have a falling knife.

QAV S03E29 — ALEX HAY 2

Tony’s stock bro­ker of 25+ years, Alex Hay, a part­ner at broking firm EL&C Bail­lieu, joins us again today to talk about the dif­fer­ent kinds of buy & sell orders and how to use them. Out­side of that, Tony and I also talk about our dum­my port­fo­lio, which made it back into the black, and some excel for­mu­la errors we’ve picked up recent­ly in the check­list.

QAV S03E28 — TOBIAS CARLISLE

Here’s our recent chat with Tobias Carlisle, author of sev­er­al books on val­ue invest­ing, includ­ing ‘The Acquir­er’s Mul­ti­ple: How the Bil­lion­aire Con­trar­i­ans of Deep Val­ue Beat the Mar­ket’, and the man­ag­ing direc­tor of The Aquir­ers Fund.

QAV S03E27 — LEVERAGE

We run the check­list over SFR, review Tony’s recent jour­nal entries, and then answer your ques­tions about cap­i­tal gains tax, share con­sol­i­da­tions, 3PTL lines, why TK was buy­ing BPT, OFX’s cash sit­u­a­tion, for­sak­ing prof­it by wait­ing for sell line breach­es, lever­ag­ing your home to buy shares, how the “Man­u­al­ly entered scores” tab works on the check­list, and whether or not TK has seen better/worse/same returns when his allo­ca­tions allowed him to buy small/micro caps. We also review the EOFY posi­tions for our dum­my port­fo­lio and TK’s port­fo­lio.

QAV S03E26 — Elio D’Amato

Today we chat with Elio D’Am­a­to, Host of Spo­tee, Inde­pen­dent invest­ment expert and for­mer Exec­u­tive Direc­tor at Lin­coln Indi­ca­tors.

QAV S03E25 — The Fudge

On this episode we talk about Tony’s recent jour­nal entries regard­ing ADH, WSA and SFR, then we answer your ques­tions about why we might invest in com­pa­nies with poor finan­cial health scores on Stock Doc­tor; why Tony isn’t a “range trad­er”; how Tony would start a new fund with only $10K; whether or not we should wait until report­ing sea­son before invest­ing; def­i­n­i­tions of “pos­i­tive sen­ti­ment”; and the cur­rent takeover of IFN.

QAV S03E24 — The Schrödinger

We start off this episode with a recap of last week’s jour­nal entries, then answer your ques­tions about when Tony sells a stock, how to build a port­fo­lio from scratch, the pros and cons of dif­fer­ent Buy and Sell order types, and which stocks are in Tony’s port­fo­lio.

QAV S03E23 — Johannes Risseeuw, Damstra

Our guest today is Johannes Ris­seeuw, Exec­u­tive Chair­man of Damstra (DTC). He talks to us about what Damstra does, what the role of an Exec­u­tive Chair­man involves, the cap­i­tal rais­ing process, and what Tony was like 20 years ago when they worked togeth­er at Shell.

QAV S03E22 — TINA

We talk about the think­ing behind some of Tony’s recent jour­nal entries, includ­ing Eclipx (ECX), AGL, Cred­it Corp (CCP) and Sand­fire Resources (SFR). Then we get into answer­ing ques­tions. Elmar asks about Michael Hill Inter­na­tion­al (MHJ) and how to math­e­mat­i­cal­ly find out at what point the select­ed stock is no longer a buy. Chris asks whether or not we can use a mov­ing aver­age to replace the three-point trend line. Dr J asks how Tony decides when to sell a stock.

QAV S03E21 — Riding It Out

On this Q&A episode, TK answers ques­tions about whether stocks that have been bought in an Up trend per­form bet­ter than those bought after a break out from a Down Trend, about the rel­a­tive impor­tance of mar­ket depth for LYL, whether or not prof­it tak­ing makes any sense, how he uses the the 52 week high AFR list, HUG lines, the three point trend line for ANZ, and the log­ic of sell­ing AGD.

QAV S03E20 — Stephen Mayne

Stephen Mayne is one of Aus­trali­a’s best known and most feared share­hold­er activists. He’s also the founder of Crikey, a writer for InvestS­mart and claims to own the world’s biggest small share port­fo­lio: 500 hold­ings worth less than $30,000. He came on today to chat about cap­i­tal rais­ings and share­hold­er activism.

QAV S03E19 — Starting From Scratch

TK talks me through how to re-eval­u­ate the watch­list when we are ready to buy some­thing and then we answer your ques­tions about the recent­ly added Stock Doc­tor fil­ters (SDMax, Finan­cial Health Trend, etc), the GEAR buy last week, how much time Tony spends on his port­fo­lio each day and the pros and cons of hav­ing a port­fo­lio of only 10 stocks instead of 20.

QAV S03E18 — St Anthony

Today “St Antho­ny” answers your ques­tions, reveals the true cost of send­ing kids to pri­vate school, and explains how he approach­es rais­ing a wealthy child.

QAV S03E17 — Michael Dee, Pythagoras

Our guest this week is Michael Dee from Pythago­ras Invest­ing — www.PythagorasInvesting.com. His tool “pre­dicts the tim­ing of upcom­ing share events and their pos­i­tive or neg­a­tive price effects.”

QAV S03E16 — The Data Hoarder

This week we have a 100 minute pre­mi­um episode answer­ing all of your excel­lent ques­tions about sub­jects such as:
— banks and sen­ti­ment
— AQG / SSR merg­er
— Stan­more Coal acqui­si­tion offer
— Buy­ing more when the price drops below the buy line
— Using a 5 yr/weekly chart to help fine tune your trend lines
— using the check­list to score LICs
— hold­ing back on the retail sec­tor
— thoughts about oil glut and prices affect­ing Oil/Coal com­pa­nies 
— Dur­ing times of volatil­i­ty (like GFC or dot com bust) did Tony notice a sim­i­lar increase in buy/sell? 
— How Tony stages his entry into a posi­tion
— How he regres­sion test the results/model
— The buy line for OSH
— SFC sell price and recent update on their finan­cials
— How does Tony decides what per­cent­age of his cap­i­tal to invest when he BUY stocks such as MQG
— How to analyse the TGP graph
— Why the TRS, WPL and MQG charts are dif­fer­ent
— and Tony also intro­duces his new mag­ic 3PTL maths.

QAV S03E15 — Nicholas Gruen on MMT

Nicholas Gru­en is an econ­o­mist, entre­pre­neur and com­men­ta­tor. He is CEO of Lat­er­al Eco­nom­ics. He spoke to us recent­ly about Mod­ern Mon­e­tary The­o­ry and the short-term future of the Aus­tralian econ­o­my.

QAV S03E14 — Stock Detectives

Tony talks about some of his recent “mus­ings” regard­ing bank stocks and com­par­ing the results of his analy­sis of using Stock Doc­tor fil­ters ver­sus our three-point trend lines. Then we talk about his rea­sons for our recent port­fo­lio buys and sells.

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