In this free preview episode AU 827 of the QAV Investing Podcast, Tony delivers a comprehensive pulled pork on Plenti Group (PLT), a fintech P2P lender with strong metrics and a high QAV score.
Transcription
Audio QAV AU 827 Club
[00:00:00]
Cameron: Welcome back. I think this is recording. Welcome back to QAV tk. It is episode, it’s 8 2 7. It’s the 8th of July, 2025, uh, Benjamin Netanyahu has, uh, submitted Donald Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize. Tony
Tony Kynaston: I, I hadn’t heard that. gold.
Cameron: is, isn’t that gold? And Trump, Trump, Trump said, coming from you, that means a lot.
Tony Kynaston: Is that, uh, peace through Superior Fire power? [00:01:00] It’s, uh, it’s, I read something in the Wall Street Journal saying that Donald Trump had in his graphs being the US president to solve the Middle East bring peace to the Middle East. And I thought, I. I hear that story every four years in the coming outta the us.
They all think they can solve the Middle East. Uh,
Cameron: they have solved it. It’s exactly how they want it to be.
Tony Kynaston: Right.
Cameron: This is, this is how they’ve engineered it deliberately. As Joe Biden famously said in the eighties when he was a senator, if Israel didn’t exist, Mr. President, Mr. Speaker, then we would’ve had to invent it.
Tony Kynaston: they did pretty much,
Cameron: Pretty much. Yeah. Wow. They didn’t invent it.
The British, the British kind of enabled it, but the US enabled it to survive.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. What was the other one I saw the, uh, the article that, um, has got the Bain Consulting Group in a flat, because one of their principles went rogue and [00:02:00] wrote an article for of all people, the Blair Institute. So Tony Blair’s disowned it as well, saying that if you. Here’s the business case for paying Palestinians to leave Gaza and then turning it into Front Tower Resort Bill.
Cameron: Right. Well, less we said about that, the better.
Tony Kynaston: would, that would
Cameron: Uh, more Donald.
Tony Kynaston: that?
Cameron: Yeah. Well,
Tony Kynaston: is referring to,
Cameron: yeah. Well I think they’re just trying to genocide them all out and still get a peace prize. It’s um, yeah. What did you say? Peace through force. It’s very Orwellian, isn’t it?
Tony Kynaston: Yep. Yes it is. Yeah, actually, that’s right.
Cameron: Yes.
Tony Kynaston: The Nobel Peace Prize is, is actually all really in doublespeak.
Cameron: Mm mm
Tony Kynaston: Uh
Cameron: through genocide. Um, Donald Trump also threatened overnight to throw [00:03:00] 25% tariffs on Japan and South Korea as of August 1st. And, uh, the markets dropped last night. The Fin this morning said the Australian market was gonna open lower, and it did, and then recovered within about half an hour. So, I dunno what that’s all about.
It’s down. It’s up. Yeah. Why RBA rates on.
Tony Kynaston: interesting occurrences where the, the Wall Street went down, I think three quarters of a percent overnight because of the tariffs. But we’re going up because there’s an RBA meeting at two o’clock and we’re expecting a cut.
Cameron: But hasn’t that already been factored in?
Tony Kynaston: Oh, possibly. Why else would the
Cameron: So why did it go down?
Tony Kynaston: And then the, and Wall Street went down.
Cameron: But, but why did it go down? If, if, if the traders all figured the RBA was gonna do a cut, why did the market go down this morning in the first place?
Tony Kynaston: they, ’cause they followed [00:04:00] Wall Street down. Would it
Cameron: Why?
Tony Kynaston: would’ve been overnight selling on Wall Street? ’cause that’s just how it works. We always
Cameron: S
Tony Kynaston: Wall Street.
Cameron: Okay. I don’t get it. Alright.
Tony Kynaston: is, is, clearing overnight trades on the ASX and that’s usually Wall Street changing positions in Australia, which they would’ve done if they thought Wall Street was going down.
Cameron: Who’s selling the shares overnight?
Tony Kynaston: Uh, what I remember doing the, um, issue, the podcast we did on what’s the, what drives the futures? The overnight futures in the ASX and there’s a, apparently it’s a stack, there’s like, uh, overnight trades that come in, which get cleared first before the market opens in the last sort of half hour before the market opens. sets the market open. So if, like, if
Cameron: Right. But
Tony Kynaston: if an overseas shareholder wants to sell BHP, they put their order on and that gets done first. ’cause it comes in the first overnight and then it gets done before either at market open or just before the market [00:05:00] opens.
Cameron: so do you think if the foreign markets, let’s say the US market is down. Then traders in those countries, big funds, whatever, are cashing up by selling off stuff, selling off stocks in Australia to get cash to cover their positions for stuff that’s lower in the us. And then when the Australian traders wake up, they go, oh, on a second, uh, I’ll buy that.
That’s good. And the prices go back up like,
Tony Kynaston: No, I think it’s, I think it’s, if, if they’re selling in America, they’ve got the cash, they don’t need to sell in Australia for the cash they’ve sold in America. They’re cashing up out of America and then they’re, they’re, they’re guessing that Australia’s gonna follow. So they’re putting an early order on to get ahead of that trading day in Australia.
’cause they’ll be the first trade off the, off the rank in the morning. uh, they expect Australia to follow Wall Street. [00:06:00] But then once that trade goes through, then the Australian fund managers are saying that think interest rates are gonna be cut, so we’re gonna buy, I.
Cameron: They don’t get the Australian news overseas about the RBAI just said it to them.
Tony Kynaston: don’t follow Wall Street down. I mean, wall Street’s down significantly overnight.
Cameron: Yeah. And we were down and then we bounced back up. Anyway, we’re up.
Tony Kynaston: Yep.
Cameron: We, whatever reason we’re up, um. Who’s not up is G eight education. Uh, they dropped 20% in a day last, late last week after there were allegations, charges, and the arrest of one of their former staff members allegations regarding child abuse.
Uh, thanks to your brother-in-law for the heads up on that. [00:07:00] Um, ’cause I did a light announcement. I went to a Stock Doctor and looked in the announcements and there was no announcements. And I said,
Tony Kynaston: really?
Cameron: shares are down 20%, no announcements. I don’t know what’s going on. And then Warren emailed me and said, yeah, uh, have a look at this.
And I was like, oh. So I did an update.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, it’s
Cameron: I sold them from light and from the super portfolio.
Tony Kynaston: That was the
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: down here at the end of the last week in Victoria.
Cameron: Right.
Tony Kynaston: you can imagine. There was a, it was a horrific, there was, um,
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: messages sent out to hundreds of parents saying, you have to have your kid tested for STDs. ’cause of this one person who’d worked at a number of, um, a number of childcare centers, only, some of which were G eight, by the way.
So it’s not just them. But, um, yeah, there’s, there’s a whole I. Uh, there’s been nothing but 24 hour news cycle about it down here at the end of last week. and then
Cameron: Wow.
Tony Kynaston: why did it happen? Uh, calls for workers in childcare centers to be female only. [00:08:00] Um, I think Victoria has now banned the taking of mobile devices into childcare centers.
’cause the accused was also, um, well it was discovered to have lots of child pornography on his, um, his, uh, home computers and things like that. So, very sad situation, but big news down here.
Cameron: 1200 families, according to the story I’m looking at, have been asked to test their children. Huh, horrifying.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm.
Cameron: So anyway, um, our, I had to sell GEM from light and my super portfolio last week, but, um, that’s the least of the problems associated with that. Of course, that’s just money. MTO on the other hand, up 30% last week on announcement that they were buying Peter Stevens and Harley Heaven, where Harleys go when they die.
So that was nice.
Tony Kynaston: [00:09:00] Yeah,
Cameron: I think you did a pulled pork on them recently, didn’t you? MTO,
Tony Kynaston: yes.
Cameron: what’s the opposite of a pulled pork curse? A pulled pork
Tony Kynaston: Blessing. Yeah, I think so. I’ve anointed it. You can go to, you can go to hog heaven. Uh, what was, what was that
Cameron: So that was nice.
Tony Kynaston: ages, simony, where the priest had, uh, take bribes and then, uh, declare someone was gonna go to heaven Sim Is
Cameron: Yeah, well, I don’t think that’s actually what sim is. Sim is just, uh, um, selling off church offices.
Tony Kynaston: right.
Cameron: Um, may, may have included selling off Blessings too, but I think there’s another name for that. I can’t remember what it’s called. Where you sell off, um, [00:10:00] you know, get into heaven,
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: outta Jail Free Cards.
Tony Kynaston: out of hell. Three
Cameron: Um, we, yeah, we, we’ve talked a lot about that on, in our Renaissance show that Ray and I do, because we’ve been doing a long series on the first crusade.
Uh, and, you know, the, those things were announced. Get outta Jail Free cards. At the beginning of the crusade. So it was like, listen, you can go and rape, steal, kill, murder, Rob Loot, whatever you want. And, uh, here’s your Get Outta jail free card for it.
Tony Kynaston: Here’s your
Cameron: Um,
Tony Kynaston: for it,
Cameron: signed by the Pope. And I, I always joke that, uh, I, I, I’d be saying, look, just, just gimme a blank one.
Just sign it down the bottom. We’ll, we’ll fill in the details of what I did after the, after the effect, right after the event. Just, uh, don’t worry about it. Just, just gimme a blank. One blank check. Crazy times. Oh, I’ve got [00:11:00] in our, uh, US show today. I’ve got a good story about Christian, on Christian violence that you’re gonna love.
Um. Uh, also in the news SLH, um, they’re high up on our buy list this week. I just wanted to flag this for people. This is Silk Logistics, but they’re being acquired. Haven’t been on our buy list since early 2023. I have traded it a bunch of times over the years. Last sold it as a three point trend line sell on the 15th of March, 2023 at $2 37.
It’s currently trading at $2 12. Well, it was yesterday. That was after a huge spike on the acquisition news. So, um, I’m not displeased that I sold it when I did. It’s at, uh, two do $2 11 today. So we got out of it when we had to get out of it. But, um, there you go. So if you do, if you are looking down on the by lists, just be aware that it’s being acquired.[00:12:00]
Uh, before I. I throw over to you just, uh, a couple of things. Results Darryl sent in his FY 25 results, good returns for me in this, uh, financial year, 21.6%,
Tony Kynaston: Very good.
Cameron: which is pretty good. Biggest gains. RRL 110%, PRN 59% GNP, 57% biggest losses FPR 23 and mm, MS 16. And Toby also emailed me his results and then sent me another email this morning going, hold on, hold off on that.
I gotta check some numbers so I won’t quote his results, but it’s, it’s either good or very good. So, you know, but, um, he did point out that he holds West African Resources WAF. And it’s done really well. I, I looked in my, uh, records. I last sold WAF as a rule one [00:13:00] December 23 at 87 cents. It’s now $2 35,
Tony Kynaston: Don’t go back
Cameron: I looked at gold.
Tony Kynaston: back
Cameron: I know, I know. But I was looking at gold, like gold. I don’t think it’s been a sell since I’ve been keeping a history of our commodity prices. Yeah. Well, my commodity price history doesn’t go back quite that far, but it goes back three or four years. It hasn’t been, it’s been a Josephine a few times, but it’s basically been a buy for the last three or four years.
And, you know, I’m wondering about gold stocks and rural ones and that kind of stuff. Like,
Tony Kynaston: Well, I think at the
Cameron: like I.
Tony Kynaston: became a rule one, sorry to interrupt. At the time WAF became a rule one was that the bribery scandal when the.
Cameron: Well, that was R‑S-R-S‑G.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, but it
Cameron: Uh, unless you’re thinking of a different one.
Tony Kynaston: no, but it did affect the other West African gold miners too, which I think was only [00:14:00] WAF.
Cameron: Well, let’s see. The wa, the RSG one collapsed in, this is weird actually. I looked at this. RSG collapsed in early November, 2024.
Tony Kynaston: Ah, okay.
Cameron: End of October, I was trading at 82 cents. Then it dropped down to 40 cents. I was pretty sure I owned it in a portfolio, but I went and checked through all of my. Sort of trade history and didn’t hold it around then, had sold it much earlier.
So I couldn’t, like, my recollection is that I had to sell it and there was a big sort of shock, otherwise, why would we talking about it. But anyway, uh, I did SII pulled up the sheets. Um, I last sold it according to my sheet in January, 2024 at 40 cents. Um, [00:15:00] which that, that’s about the price. It was in November, 2024.
So that’s doesn’t make sense
Tony Kynaston: have
Cameron: unless it was there. Oh no, it was also, no, it was also there in January, 2024. So it was already 40, 40 cents. It went up to 80, then dropped back to 40. It’s now back up to 68 was gonna be my point.
Tony Kynaston: right.
Cameron: So again, like I should have just held, I mean, should have just held it.
Tony Kynaston: I’m assuming it’s gone back through its byline, so you could have rebought it too, but just other things get higher on the buy list. Right.
Cameron: Yeah, I know. Well, I guess my question is, you know, when we own a gold stock, should we just hold it forever? And
Tony Kynaston: Until,
Cameron: gold becomes a sell
Tony Kynaston: yeah. Well, possibly. Yeah. I mean, but, but I mean, at the time when we were looking at the problems in West Africa, we had no idea what, how it was gonna play out. There was talks
Cameron: No.
Tony Kynaston: the industry and all sorts of things. So we follow the rules.
Cameron: Yeah. And then [00:16:00] regret it.
Tony Kynaston: with hindsight. Look, I,
Cameron: I know.
Tony Kynaston: I, it’s, it’s actually a good game to play. ’cause the rules may change, but you’ve gotta come up with some evidence
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: objective and not just, if we hadn’t done it that time, it would’ve worked, right?
Cameron: Yeah,
well, no, it’s more about looking at the underlying commodity for gold, right? Um, if regardless of what’s happening to the individual business, unless it’s, you know, something completely dramatic, unless it’s a real red flag type situation, if gold is continuing to go up and this is a gold miner,
Tony Kynaston: Well, there’s been a
Cameron: do we just say nothing else matters?
Tony Kynaston: No, no, no, no. Um, there’s a couple of other, I’m just trying to remember. I think it’s a, there’s a couple of gold stocks, but there’s definitely a, um,
Cameron: I.
Tony Kynaston: yeah. Northern Star resources I think dropped from memory. I better check that I in [00:17:00] the last couple of days because it came out and said it needed more capital to its minds or whatever.
I didn’t pay much attention to the story, but there are other reasons why gold miners decouple from the gold price stock. Yeah. Look at,
Cameron: Yeah. Right,
Tony Kynaston: Northern Star Resources dropped like a stone recently. Um, and I’m pretty sure that was on the, uh, news of, you know, e either not meeting its production targets or needing more capital or something. So for business
Cameron: right.
Tony Kynaston: may wanna sell these things and if it’s business reasons, we let the trend lines our rules guide us.
Cameron: Mm. But it’s also up like nearly over a hundred percent in the last year.
Tony Kynaston: Yep.
Cameron: I.
A year ago I was trading at 12 cents. It went up to 21. Now it’s back down to 17. But still,
Tony Kynaston: suggest is you test it, go back and not just pick the one that you
Cameron: nah,
Tony Kynaston: didn’t and sold and shouldn’t have, [00:18:00] but go
Cameron: that’s your kind of,
Tony Kynaston: gold miners for the last five years and, and run some regression and convince me that the rule needs to change for
Cameron: no, uh, that’s, that’s, that’s Tony work. I’m just, it’s too hard. Too hard for me. Yeah. No smart guy work is what I was hinting at then. That’s for, that’s for people smarter than me. I just do what the smart people tell me. I
wow.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, look, I’ll put it on the list. Okay.
Cameron: R‑B-R-B‑A is expected to do a right cut to Yeah, I will. I will. Um, ASX Seesaws ahead of RA RBA decision according to the Fin. Now, as of a few minutes ago, what time is that due to come out? Like around about 1 32 o’clock?
Tony Kynaston: They meet at two o’clock, so it’s usually like two 30 or later.
Cameron: Uh, that’s right. We normally record later. Uh, what do you got on your, uh, list of things to talk about today, Tony? [00:19:00] K
Tony Kynaston: Uh, what have I got? I have a couple of things. So that, speaking of commodities, there’s been a, changes on the commodity list. I noticed,
Cameron: lots of changes this week.
Tony Kynaston: um, preparing my pulled pork, but iron, All Ords now buy as is Coing Coal. Uh, thermal coal was, I think last week. It’s now Josephine, but it’s, it’s looking good. And lithium back on the Bilis. So, uh, Pilbara Minerals is on the buy list, but in looking through those, uh, stocks exposed to those things, I think Yang Coal was the only coal company above its s byline. There are plenty which had just turned up from their sell line, so I guess watch the space. They might become buyers, uh, in the coming months. Uh, same with Pilbara Minerals, which is on our buy list. It’s, uh, not a buy yet from a sentiment point of view. Um, it’s of, its, it’s turned turning upwards, but still has a bit to go to reach its bylaw. So,
Cameron: [00:20:00] Uh, yes, and I did, I added FEX as a possible buy for the light folks yesterday
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: ’ cause it’s, uh, ’cause I as a buy again. One more note. I wanted to point out OML. Who you also did a pulled pork on recently. Ooh, media.
Tony Kynaston: Ooh,
Cameron: Ooh.
Tony Kynaston: Night Media.
Cameron: it’s one of these ones like, I think it was, uh, a GLI was talking about recently. Um, it’s, uh, oh my god.
Tony Kynaston: AGL or IGL.
Cameron: Sorry. No, AGL, but I, I just pulled up FEX’s Brettalator by mistake. Um, ’cause I was gonna look at OML. FEX has become a three point sell today. God damnit. Yeah. Like, just, anyway, so that sucks. Um, OML is one of these weird ones.
I think it was like AGL recently where it’s [00:21:00] a, technically it’s a three point sell, but I. If you look at the Brettalator, the three point sell lines just going vertical right at the end of the chart as is, it’s tracking the price, so the price is going up, but the three point trend line
Tony Kynaston: yeah, we
Cameron: sell line is going up
Tony Kynaston: Yeah,
Cameron: faster than it,
Tony Kynaston: yeah,
Cameron: it’s going vertical.
Um, so I haven’t sold it. It is in one of the live portfolios. I haven’t sold it for the same reasons I didn’t sell whoever it was, uh, a few weeks ago when we last talked about another situation like that. Uh, TPG, I think according to my notes, is another one like that
Tony Kynaston: Interesting,
Cameron: might have been TPGI was looking at.
Tony Kynaston: saw this coming out of, uh, COVID, that the lines going up were so steep that the, the second two on the, on the sell line was so steep. The It would, it could be below its the graft could be below its sell line, but still going up. [00:22:00] Yeah.
Cameron: Yeah, CPG is another one. Sell price is $5 45. Current price is $5 38, but it’s been going up tracking the, so they, they all had their lowest point early this calendar year, sort of January, February, this year, dipped. Um, then they’ve been going up since then. But, um, the three point sell lines, beating them, tracking them, it’s weird.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. So it changes from month to month and it’s just worth watching, I think. But, I, remember back in COVID times I was holding onto them until we had a very clear downturn to, sell on.
Cameron: Yeah. Okay. Alright, well, uh, sorry, that’s just, I just wanted to point out, that’s why I haven’t sold it. If anyone’s wondering.
Tony Kynaston: Had a couple of RIPs during the week Cam, which wasn’t very nice. Michael
Cameron: [00:23:00] Michael Madson.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm
Cameron: Oh, I know. I talked about him on show. I did on Friday. Um, yeah, one of my favorite, favorite actors.
Tony Kynaston: me too.
Cameron: I mean, unfortunately, he, I mean, he never, he didn’t have, I mean, I think IMDB has him in 328 films. Four of ’em are good. Um,
Tony Kynaston: hang on.
Cameron: three Tarantino films, uh, well four, if you count the two Kill Bells. Um, three Willie and,
Tony Kynaston: Er and
Cameron: uh, okay.
Thelma and Louise. Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: him.
Cameron: And, uh, kill Me Again, which I watched about a year ago. It’s him and Val Kilmer.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm
Cameron: Um, late eighties sort of, I. Noir film by Jo, by John Dahl. Um, the guy who did Red Rock [00:24:00] West, which is
Tony Kynaston: I.
Cameron: Nick Cage, one of my favorite Nick Cage films. Um, there it is, kill Me Again. Isn’t as good. But it has similar sort of noirish, pre Tarantino, noirish feel to it.
Tony Kynaston: Okay.
Cameron: Uh, but he was great as the bad guy in it. Just, just that sort of cool brooding,
Tony Kynaston: Effortless.
Cameron: like a James d esque sort of quality
Tony Kynaston: Hmm.
Cameron: to him. He could just pull that face where he looked amused, but threatening at the same time. You know, he had a, he had a real unique way about him.
Tony Kynaston: He was in, I was flicking through channels during the week, and he was in the background in the scene in Donnie Brasco, which I didn’t recall.
Cameron: He was a mob boss in Donny Brasco. Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: Well, the film I
Cameron: I.
Tony Kynaston: I didn’t watch it again, but, um, watched about half an hour of it and he was in that.
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: hmm.
Cameron: Yeah, I never really liked it. I, I, I’ve been meaning to go back and [00:25:00] rewatch it, but I remember at the time, even though I’m a big Pacino fan, and, and Johnny Depp fan too, but just didn’t kinda work for me.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, I am not so sure about Depp. I, I like Johnny Depp, but I’ve, most of his movies I don’t let go, uh, yeah.
Cameron: Oh.
Tony Kynaston: I’m not Really?
Cameron: I mean, come on. All the Tim Burton stuff he does has been pretty amazing. I mean, it’s, you don’t think so? Yeah. You know. Okay.
Tony Kynaston: he,
Cameron: All right. What else you got?
Tony Kynaston: no. Yeah,
Cameron: Is this after hours? Are we already in after hours?
Tony Kynaston: we can be if you like. Well, speaking of Nick Cage, I’ll do one more. Um, Julian McMahon, apparently RIP
Cameron: That was shocking. Yeah. Really shocking.
Tony Kynaston: And
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: the Nick Cage movie, the surfer that we spoke about in after our, so yeah.
Cameron: a clip from him in that.
Tony Kynaston: Died of, died of shame.
Cameron: Wow.
Tony Kynaston: of shame.
Cameron: Wow. You know, who did J of Shame was? Russia’s, uh, recently [00:26:00] fired Transport Minister who was found dead from a gunshot wound in his car hours after he was fired by Vladimir Putin. So there you go. They’re saying it was a suicide, but you never know if Dude Russia suicide by Putin could have been. We dunno.
Tony Kynaston: All
Cameron: He was gonna be up on corruption charges.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, okay.
Cameron: I’ve got a good Xi Jinping story to tell later, but I’ll let you do finish investing stuff first, and then we’ll talk about
Tony Kynaston: So
Cameron: Jinping Ping.
Tony Kynaston: getting back to investing, there was, um, there’d been articles, of course that’d be year end, about what assets performed well and what one hasn’t, et cetera. And there’s been plenty of written, written, uh, plenty of stories written about that. But one, the caught my eye on the weekend was about which, which were the best performing asset classes last year and over the last five years. and not, not to. Dwell on that. What, what really surprised me [00:27:00] was the performance of balanced funds. balanced funds, um, and I’m talking about super here. in 24, 25 ki I think they returned 10.2% was the average balance fund. And, uh, that’s like, that was less than the performance of the index, which, um, I’m just trying to look up the number on, on the fly here was more like 12, 13%.
Yeah, 13%.
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: Um. And well, we’ve talked about this before. I guess I’m gonna throw something out there. I am a supporter of the superannuation, um, industry, the superannuation and amount being put aside for future savings. I think there can be some changes to it, as we spoken about before, and I think there might be some tweaks coming, but, um, [00:28:00] I think one thing it does poorly is it doesn’t educate people into what their options should be.
I mean, it tends to say if you’re approaching retirement, going to balance mode, but as I know from my experiences in the GFC, every asset class goes down something, when the, you know, shit hits the fan. So you’re gonna retire and have some kind of stable. Retirement because you’re in a balanced fund is nonsense. if you’re in a balanced fund, you’re actually missing out on, um, on some upside because at least in the last, uh, three years and in the last year, the just the putting your money in an ETF, uh, the Australian and Australian ETF would’ve outperformed a balance fund. And what I found interesting about the article I read was that the average MER, so the average, uh, fee on, um, in super for just a, a balanced fund in the, my super default section is now approaching 1% was [00:29:00] 0.9% was the average.
So you are paying for the privilege of underperformance. Now I know that Superfund managers would say, yeah, but we’re, we have a lot, lot of work to do to diversify the portfolio and to different asset classes and that’s why it’s a balanced fund and there’s work involved and I get all that. But, um. Should you really be in an asset class that’s lower than the index and then pay for the privilege, I guess is my, my thought for this week. And, and my, my answer to that’s no. because, uh, I don’t think being in a balanced portfolio provides much safety when the shit hits the fan and you’re not getting the performance and you’re overpaying for it.
So I’ll throw that out there. You can make a TikTok out of it. We’ll get of people wanting to, you know, argue with me and that’s fine. But, um, you know, use the facts, not, um, not your opinion.
Cameron: So what do you think, like if you were made [00:30:00] the Australian, uh, superannuation czar by your mate elbow, what would you do?
Tony Kynaston: My may help elbow, uh, I would do a couple of things. I, I would, um, suggest my super should go into ETFs. Um, and you know, I, there’d be some debate about whether that’s just Australian or whether it’s overseas and Australian. Um, but that’s what I’d be doing. Uh, I wouldn’t be, so your fees are like, the fee?
What’s the MER on STW or VAS They’re very low. They’re about 0.2, 0.25 of 1%. So straight away you are, know, three quarters of, of a percent better off than being in a balanced fund. Um, in terms of superannuation, I, you know, it’s gotta be, they, they, they’re trying to review it now in terms of whether it should be interest free in retirement or whatever, sorry, are tax free and retirement, a whole different kettle of fish.
One thing I would consider doing is, [00:31:00] allowing people to take money back outta super as long as it went into. Um, the deposit on an owner occupier house. So I, I did some research in the last week or so, ’cause um, Alex will be in the market, I guess as a first home buyer at some stage in the coming years. And there is now an equity, um, a, a COE equity option that the federal government’s trialing and will likely roll out you need a 5% deposit, but then they go COE equity with you. It’s like buying a house with a relative or a parent or a mate or whatever, um, which eases your way into the property market.
And then there are some rules around when you sell it, you have to pay them back and et cetera, et cetera. Uh, or if your circumstances changing, you might have to buy them out. But, um, it’s not a bad idea. But, uh, if you allow people to do that with their super, then the government doesn’t have to go on the hook. Right. And. It doesn’t always have, it doesn’t necessarily have to be a money out of super to use on your house. It could be [00:32:00] something like the superannuation you’ve accrued, uh, loans you the money for a deposit on a house or to help you buy the house.
Cameron: Does that help first home buyers?
Tony Kynaston: The problem with first home buyers at the moment is, as our listeners have told us, is that, know, to get a 20% deposit on a house or even a 10% deposit on a house, you’re saving 70,000 odd for a starter home. Like if a home is, the average home price is a million bucks, but say a starter is $700,000, then you’ve gotta find 70 for 10% and then you’ve gotta buy, buy the mortgage insurance, or at 20% you’ve gotta save $140,000. So that’s one of the, the barriers to entry to home buyers. But if you had, you know, some, some money in super 70 grand in super. Um, that’s saving for your retirement, but so is owning your own home, um, is also helping you in retirement. So why shouldn’t you maybe have some kind of loan from super to, um, to fund your entry into the market so it [00:33:00] can be repaid over time, back into super, or it’s there if you sell the home, it goes back into super, it just doesn’t go into your pocket and then get fritted away.
So that would be my change to super at the moment
Cameron: Right. Okay.
Tony Kynaston: as
Cameron: Well, I.
Tony Kynaston: my super into, in, into an index. ETF.
Cameron: Right. You can You do that already though, as if you have your super, you can put it into an ETF, can’t you?
Tony Kynaston: So you have to do something like you are doing now where you get the ability to take your, or direct your investments. Um. I, I’d be interested to know how many people do that and they’re aware of that option at the moment. If you make no option, it defaults into my super. Um, I’m not sure whether that’s a, it goes into the, my super balance, but it probably does. Um, which I like, you know, like I said, is, is putting fees into the fund manager’s pocket, [00:34:00] um, giving, giving you an underperformance if you in compare to having it as an an an index hugging UTF.
Cameron: Right. So
Tony Kynaston: My client buddies
Cameron: a lot of that comes d.
Yeah. Uh, a lot of this comes down to education though, right? So, uh, you know, people aren’t being educated about what their options are. I mean, they’re, they’re relying on the industry to educate people, but the industry has incentives, uh, still even after the inquiries that have been had, the in industry still has incentives to push people this way or the other way, right?
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, And you know, even though I, I’m a of industry funds ’cause they generally are cheaper than retail funds. I, I still get annoyed when I see them advertise on TV saying, you know, I’ve got, [00:35:00] fund’s got 8% return over the last 10 years or 15 years, or whatever it is. And I’m like, I’m thinking to myself, well that’s sub index. why, why? the old marketing trick of promoting your, your worst, your worst feature. ’cause you had good
Cameron: Yeah, you, you, it’s like you say that, like it’s a good thing, 8% really. But here’s the thing, like speaking from my own experience before we started doing this show,
Tony Kynaston: Yeah.
Cameron: I wouldn’t have known if that was a good thing or a bad thing. Now I look at that and go, well, that’s sad. That’s, that’s, that’s a bad result.
But I didn’t know that six years ago.
Tony Kynaston: Because as you say, all the industries aligned to making you look somewhere else where they get a fee.
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: And now what’s surprising to me, I mean, I, I, I was surprised that the average fee for a, my super default option was now 0.9% [00:36:00] because, um, you know, that’s, that’s getting up there. I, I always thought they were, they were pretty low, like half that, but uh, no they’re not.
Cameron: Hmm. Okay. What else you got?
Tony Kynaston: I gotta pulled pork on, uh, plenty group. You heard of that?
Cameron: PLTI have, they’ve, um, pretty sure I’ve bought them. I own them.
Tony Kynaston: I’m good.
Cameron: Let me see. PLT. Yeah, I own them in, uh, two, well, two parcels in the same light portfolio. Had ’em since May of this year. So not that long. One’s up 6%. One’s up 5%. So is this gonna be a Pul pork blessing today, Tony?
Tony Kynaston: Oh, I think so. Depends.
Cameron: Ah, lovely. Great. Terrific.
Tony Kynaston: the yet, so we’ll see. I’ll assume it’s coming.
Cameron: Okay. Yeah, you gotta get outta jail [00:37:00] free card from me, Tony. It’s just, you know, do whatever you want.
Tony Kynaston: Fantastic.
Cameron: I’ll help you bury the bodies. Tony. Just, you know,
Tony Kynaston: You a Winston Wolf, are you? like call, call,
Cameron: I am.
Tony Kynaston: call you at six o’clock in the morning. Uh, got a problem here.
Cameron: Uh, yeah, gentlemen, I work fast. Oh, I can’t remember the line. I used to know that line off the top of my head. Now I can’t remember it. It’s a good line.
Tony Kynaston: I love that
Cameron: All right. Off you go.
Tony Kynaston: where Winston’s in the
Cameron: Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: wearing black tie at like four in the morning walking around, making sure all the
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: patrons are okay. Yeah. And then gets the call.
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: You
Cameron: I saw Harvey Kotel was the, he was the first person that I, the, I’ve actually, I think the only person I’ve seen who came out and did like a, an obit for Michael Madson
Tony Kynaston: I’ve seen
Cameron: talked about.
Tony Kynaston: Right.
Cameron: Yeah. Has Tarantino said anything?
Tony Kynaston: It was, um, just a post. Um, I forget what, but yeah. Pretty. Pretty anime stuff. Um, and I
Cameron: right.
Tony Kynaston: I saw, uh, a clip from Letterman, [00:38:00] with Michael Madson being interviewed, and,
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: yeah, I couldn’t tell whether David liked him or not because MAD’s just sort of sitting in the chair really cruelly, you know, not really sort of half participating in the conversation.
And, and Letterman goes, uh, you could have worn a tie tonight. You know, and, and Madden kind of, he’s got like three buttons on undo, pulled, like scratched his chest. Everyone goes wild in the audience, let Letterman goes. You just did that for ticks, didn’t you?
Cameron: He is trying to get a rise out of him. And Manson’s just being super cool. Yeah, he was very cool. Very, very cool guy.
Tony Kynaston: Okay. Plenty
Cameron: All right,
Tony Kynaston: Pretty cool company from what I can see. Uh,
Cameron: Michael Madson. Cool.
Tony Kynaston: maybe
Cameron: Okay.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah, they’re pretty
Cameron: All right.
Tony Kynaston: So,
Cameron: We’ll find out.
Tony Kynaston: yeah, well, they, they’re, um, they claim to be the largest FinTech lender in Australia. So [00:39:00] straight off the bat, I’m like going, I don’t know if that’s the case. Um, because, you know, pepper money, which is on the top of our buy list, is about four times the market cap size.
So I’d say they’d be bigger and they’re FinTech a FinTech lender. But what they might be is maybe the claim relates, relates to them being the largest P two P lender. P two P, uh, so interesting business model. Um, two P lending means that you can invest with them or you can borrow from them. So it’s, the website has two sides to it.
You can go in and choose whether you want to, uh, give them your money and then receive a, uh, an interest payment on a regular basis. So basically, you are the, you are the lender, or you can go in and borrow money for whatever use you wanna use it for. And, uh, probably their, their businesses in terms of the lending side [00:40:00] is around three types of loans, so personal loans. But then, uh, offer automotive loans and renewable energy loans, which I thought was interesting. And, uh, they do it quickly. They run an online credit check on the person, and they tend to approve loans to very credit worthy borrowers. So it happens quite fast in that circumstance. And, uh, they claimed in their latest results, they’re now starting to use AI to improve the credit worthy checks on those online approvals. Um, but interestingly enough, they, uh, of their automotive loans, a lot of those loans are going to electric vehicles and they actually have a relationship with Tesla in Australia to provide loans or some loans for people who are buying Teslas. uh, I thought it was interesting. They’re doing a lot of work with batteries at the moment.
So part large part of their loan book is going to people who are putting solar panels on their homes and buying [00:41:00] batteries, uh, or, uh, yeah, buying batteries and using the, the, uh, uh, plenty group loan to fund it. So, um, interesting sort of, uh, business. Um. Their loan loss rate is 1.1% and it’s been flat on prior years, so that’s, uh, higher than the banks.
Um. Because the banks are running mortgage books. But, um, but that’s still pretty low and pretty flat. And on the lending side, um, if you’re worried about losing 1% of your capital, they actually have a provision fund. So you pay an establishment fee that you get back, um, at the end of your loan term. But if someone does default, uh, they’ll take from the fund to make you whole again. And they claim that, um, they’ve, all, that plenty has always had a hundred percent track record of protecting, uh, investors. But, you know, obviously not an absolute guarantee if, um, if loans, um, the [00:42:00] loan defaults rise a lot. Uh, but yeah, interesting model. I thought it’s, um, true peer to peer. Uh, I shouldn’t say true peer to peer.
I think they do to bolster their loan pool, um, issue bonds into the market from time to time as well. Uh, but, but yeah, if you are. Speaking of retirees, as we were before, if you’re in the market wanting a secure dividend, uh, at least loans to cars and batteries are gonna be secured by asset, which means if someone does default, then plenty has the right to go in and repossess.
So that case, you are getting your money back. Um, personal loans not as easy, ’cause sometimes people use those for or holidays or whatever, but, um, but probably two thirds or so the loan book is secured. Uh, they originally were founded in the uk but then came to Australia in 2014, founded in the UK in 2010 as a peer tope lender came to Australia in [00:43:00] 2014, um, established locally here, listed here, and yeah, they’ve gone from there.
But if you look at the. Their numbers over the last five years, they’ve both in terms of their loan pools and in terms of their revenue, they’ve had something like a sixfold increase those two metrics over the last five years. So at least recently, they’re starting to see very strong growth in this market. Um, and the results for the last year were pretty good. So their year end is 31st of March, 2025. So it’s one of the things on the buy list, which we can use the most recent numbers for. And that’s, I guess a heads up for people going into reporting season, which is coming up next month, that, um, the numbers for companies with a June. Uh, end date are now getting, you know, five or six months old. So just be of that and factor that into your considerations. But, uh, these [00:44:00] ones are only a month old, so, uh, sorry, I shouldn’t say that. They would’ve come out March end date would’ve been, may would’ve been the reporting period. So they’re a couple of months.
Um. Anyway, total loan portfolio for the last 12 months was up 19% revenue up 23% and full year impact, uh, more than doubled the prior year up 126%. they reduced their cost to income ratio from 26.5% down to 23.9% in the, um, latest results. And claiming that’s evidence of the operating leverage inherent in their technology led business model. just to compare and contrast, CBAs cost to income ratio was 45% or is 45%. So. difference to, um, to the traditional banks,
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: their cost structures, likewise with, um, net interest margins. So net interest margin. [00:45:00] Another metric I like to track for banks was 5.3% and was up 14 bips, 14 basis points compared to CVA with a net interest margin of only 2.08%.
So big again, big difference, by being online only. Um, couple of things that have happened for this company recent or recently. So June they’ve announced that the West Australian has, uh, got them involved in running the West Australian residential battery scheme so that. Plen is using its technology to providing a simple application and management portal for accredited vendors, allowing households to access both the rebates and financing in one simple experience for their, for their batteries.
And, um, the West Australian government is, uh, providing, uh, very good incentives and rebates to buy batteries at the moment, and plenty’s facilitating that scheme. Uh, obviously [00:46:00] they get the benefit of people taking out a loan to buy the battery, um, even after rebates. Uh, and then, uh, also in the last little while, uh, plenty and NAB have announced a strategic partnership. So under the partnership, plenty provides NAB powered by Plenty Car and electric vehicle loans. And makes the plenty brand renewable energy finance available to NAB customers. um, launched in the second quarter in 2025, so last year. Um, but it’s been ramping up and has, it’s, uh, had, um, it quite, uh, quite a large increase in the last quarter of people taking out loads loans through the NAB Power by Plenty platform. And the other thing to mention in terms of recent news is that they transition their CEO. So Bennett, um, who is ex NAB actually, so he perhaps was behind that, uh, tie up. [00:47:00] joins as CEO and the co, one of the co-founders, Daniel Fogo transitions to, uh, a non-executive director role. So, um, seems to be a successful transition based on the latest results. Uh, QAV numbers for this company and I hasten to add, uh, average daily trade for this company is only $59,000, so it’s small, though it’s been, it’s been, it has been growing over the last five years. Um, it’s only gonna suit small portfolios or at least a small position. In the larger portfolio, their price for analysis was 91.50 cents. Uh, interestingly enough, that’s only 70% of the consensus target. It’s above IV one, which is $2 and 3 cents, but below IV two of 31 cents. Uh, it’s above, well above, uh, book value, which is 24 cents per share. So we can’t score it on that company isn’t paying a dividend, so we can’t score it on that. Um, Stock Doctor financial [00:48:00] was only marginal and the trend was steady. Um, I also saw that in the Stockopedia quality ranking, which was only 41, um, I think both quality. Rankings or quality valuations are lowered because of the P two P model. So a lot of them, um, are set up for industrial type companies, which plenty isn’t. Not even a normal financial services company ’cause it’s, it’s both a, um, a lender and a borrower. or it’s a bit, a bit of a variation on that. Uh, are doing it directly. and so I think that’s what’s affecting the, the quality ranking. Um, certainly I think in the case of the Stockopedia model, but when I draw into the Stock Doctor model, you know, they’ll look at things like, um, cash on assets and things like that.
So, If the company’s both are sort of, you know, book Bookending the loan and taking [00:49:00] up a margin in the middle, of those metrics aren’t gonna work well for it, but it, it doesn’t worry me that they’re not. Um, Stockopedia, the value rankings 89, which is good, and momentum ranking is 96. So even though the, the quality ranking was low, the overall rank is 87. And interestingly enough, the F score for this is seven out of nine. So. quite get my head around Edia saying it’s got a high F score, but then giving it a low rank for quality. There’s obviously metrics that play in there when I had a look. Yeah, it was, it was, um, it was looking at things like, uh, or I can’t find it now, but was looking at some of those, um, cash to asset type metrics you’d find in an industrial company. Um, but again, um, one of the things that they, they do score it for in, for quality in Stockopedia is return on equity this is a capital light business. And so the ROE in Stockopedia was recorded as 71.9%, which is huge. [00:50:00] And Stock Doctor, they have it as 213%. So sure why they’re different, but they’re both very big. probably timing issues there, I’d say, you know, perhaps one’s doing it for the quarter and one’s doing it for the full year. but yeah, very, very large ROE metrics, we don’t score it, um, as such, but, uh, it’s a capital like business, which may be of interest to, uh, some of the listeners. What’s interesting me is the PE for this company is 2.3 times, and the Pr/OpCaf is one, 1.01 times.
So we can buy this company at, at, basically it’s, um, Pr/OpCaf, but it’s the cash, it’s flying off at two times, a little over two times the earnings for the company. So a screaming buy in terms of value. Uh, one thing, which sort of I tried to drill into but couldn’t get, um, my head around was, Stock Doctor is forecasting negative earnings per share growth. and that didn’t gel with what the company is saying about growth. If [00:51:00] you look at their annual, um, if you look at their, presentation on their annual results, they were, they were forecasting growth. So not sure why that’s happening. A Stock Doctor are taking that or that forecast from one of the brokers who cover the company.
There’s only one broker the company. So I, I couldn’t get access to that broking report, so I can’t say why the forecast is for negative earnings per share. I, I’m a bit suspicious of that given the growth the company’s had over the last five years and what they’re saying in their presentation.
But anyway, it’s only one part of our. Our, uh, our checklist, but we can’t score it for growth over pe. look, perhaps I’m wrong and that’s the reason why it’s trading so cheaply. but it doesn’t sort of gel with what I’m seeing in other areas. is a known founder on the board. So Daniel Fogo, as I said before, is now on the board holds. The board holds 24% of shares, most of which are his. it, uh, doesn’t ha it is, uh, with positive sentiment, [00:52:00] the upturn crossed last year. So we can’t say it’s a recent upturn in terms of, uh, buying. So we don’t fault for that. and it doesn’t have consistently increasing equity. Um, so we can’t score it for that.
So all in all, eight out of 15 for quality or 53%. Um, but as I said, I’m a little bit skeptical of the quality scores coming outta Stock Doctor and Stockopedia, overall a QAV score of 0.52, which is high way up on our buy list and driven by Pr/OpCaf. So, yeah, I’ll leave, I’ll leave it at that. I don’t need to worry about, you know, trying to ferret out better quality scores for it when it’s got a score of 0.52.
I think. So, um, I think it’s very interesting, the risks. Uh, I think, uh, there’s a lot of the businesses based on vehicle car loans and solar and battery loans. So any sort of downturn in the EV business, which is happening in the states according to some of the reports I’m reading, uh, or the [00:53:00] removal of green subsidies for solar and batteries by governments, which I don’t think is gonna happen, but it’s a risk when it does that will hurt the business.
Um, the strengths are the capital, like model high RRE, expensing tech development costs, which they call out, which is a good thing, I think. So a lot of tech companies will put the of, uh, of their. It development, their balance sheet and then depreciate it. But these guys are paying for it out of profit, which is good. Own, the founder on the board is great, and I like to look at a new CEO who’s, um, the ex nab, CIO and had other, you know, management roles within NAB and other companies. So certainly a very experienced person at a big corporate to, to run this company. So, um, yeah, I liked what I saw, but, uh, do your own research and have a look.
Cameron: My only, my recollection from NAB back in my Microsoft days is they went. Six years [00:54:00] over timeframe and triple the budget of trying to roll out a new IT
Tony Kynaston: Mm-hmm.
Cameron: system. Not sure if this CIO was that CIO, but yeah.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah,
Cameron: Never had the impression that any of the big banks in this country were that good at rolling out it.
They’re a bit like ACE ASX.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. Well, I think the problem with the big banks, and they will readily admit this, is the, is their legacy systems. They’ve got, oftentimes they run on Hogan, which is, um, a big bank, uh, kind of all things a bit like SAP became in the late nineties, two thousands. and, uh, it’s very hard and very costly to get off Hogan and they’ve generally taken the approach of patching it, which has become expensive to maintain over the years.
So, yeah, look, um, he’s probably done the right thing leaving NAB as a CIO going to a tech company because it’s an incredibly frustrating job as, um, we talked about with the A NZ pulled pork when the UCEO came [00:55:00] in the, um, I think, uh, Carnegie who was in charge of their one platform has now left the company.
So, uh, for whatever reason, it’s not an easy job trying to put a new platform into a big bank in Australia.
Cameron: No, but that’s your job. If you’re the CIO. No one said it’s gonna be easy, but going, taking six years longer than you said it was gonna, and going two or three times over budget is, you know, not a good look.
Tony Kynaston: No, it’s
Cameron: Yes. It’s hard. That’s your, that’s your job. Do the hard things. Um, all right, well thank you for that.
Let’s see if it’s a pulled pork cursor, a pull pork blessing, time will tell.
Tony Kynaston: see if the check comes through and clears.
Cameron: I. Well, I guess that’s after hours. Tony, I got a few things to talk about, but I just wanted to have a laugh with you about this, uh, financial review article I saw yesterday. It must have been another slow news day at the Fin yesterday, [00:56:00] an article, fairly prominent article, the title of which was The Fading Power of Xi Jinping.
I was like, Ooh, his power is fading. He goes on to say, in a system, sorry, put on my Hollywood movie trailer voice in a system built on secrecy. No one knows the reality behind the scenes, but there are signs. China’s leader. Could be in political trouble, cut to shots of explosions, soldiers running around guns.
Then he goes, Xi Jinping, the president of China, burned the opportunity on Sunday when he failed to arrive at a summit of bricks countries, Brazil, Russia, India, and China and Rio de Janeiro, the first time in his 12 years as Paramount leader. This announcement, along with other recent developments, has triggered speculation that Xi could be in political trouble [00:57:00] or even that his long supremacy over China may be under threat.
Scroll down the page a bit, says, just as Cold War criminologists would analyze the precise lineup of polyp Bureau members at the Mayday Parade. So China watches are pouring over these new facts thus far, the most respected. Do not discern any clear sign that she is in trouble. I see no evidence that he is losing power and I have not seen or heard any credible, credible evidence of a move against him.
Says Michael Sheridan, the author of the Red Emperor Biography of Xi, but just because no growls are audible outside Jong hai, it does not follow that the Bulldogs within must be quent against all. This says Sheridan, candidly is the big caveat that we just don’t know. Then they continue on for another two and a half thousand words talking [00:58:00] about why she may be in trouble even though their number one, she expert said, I see no evidence to suggest that he’s in any trouble, but I figure if they predict it long enough one day they will be right.
- They say, see, we’ve been telling you for 20 years that he was in trouble and he died of a heart attack or something. So it’s just hysterical.
Tony Kynaston: I saw that article too and had the same responses. Terrible. It’s, it’s, um, a beat up master’s journalism. Got the, we, we can ring someone up and ask them if they think, gee, she pings in trouble. And when they say no, then we can put the other side to it. He might be it.
Cameron: The most respected, they did call him the most respected and then just completely ignored everything he said and went on for another two and a half thousand words. [00:59:00] Anyway,
Tony Kynaston: missed the lead. Right? The lead is, Xi Jinping didn’t turn up to a bricks conference. Why? Why don’t they report on what the reason was? You know? Was
Cameron: they don’t know.
Tony Kynaston: but they could have
Cameron: No one knows.
Tony Kynaston: them, couldn’t they? They must be.
Cameron: That’ll, that’ll go down. Well, sure. The Fin has the, the inside number.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm. Well, ring up the guy. They got the
Cameron: Interesting.
Tony Kynaston: guy who did his biography. Ask him.
Cameron: Inter, well, he said there’s no, we just dunno. The, um, the interesting thing about the bricks meeting is it was the same weekend that Trump announced a tariff deal with Vietnam.
Tony Kynaston: Hmm.
Cameron: That Vietnam was at the Brix meeting, signing on to become a member of Brix. So I, I read every day almost, uh, the Chinese news and, uh, they were hailing the fact that Vietnam has joined bricks.
Now over 50% of the world’s population are members of bricks. Their countries are members of bricks. [01:00:00] Um, and how they, you know, the, the. Positioning of the leaders of bricks at the Bricks conference was, can’t trust America. America’s volatiles, tariffs, tacos on tacos off, tariffs up, tariffs down. Obviously we can’t, you know, rely on the u the us as a stable trading partner anymore.
We need to huddle together and, you know, get our ducks lined up and, you know, et cetera, et cetera. Not a lot of talk about that in the Western media though. It’s, uh, that, that Vietnam just signed onto bricks,
Tony Kynaston: What was talked about was Donald Trump complaining that Vietnam was a conduit for Chinese trade into the US of a cheaper tariff rate.
Cameron: which again will be part of my, uh. Pulled pork in the next show. ’cause the company I’m talking about Zap, zap Health, uh, they make basically cheap smartwatches. Um, have recently sunk a ton of money. Mo they’re Chinese [01:01:00] based, recently just spent a ton of money moving their headquarters to Holland and moving their manufacturing to Vietnam.
So, yeah.
Tony Kynaston: Why didn’t they move it to the states? Pay no tariff.
Cameron: Uh, ’cause there’s no manufacturing capability for anything in the United States.
Tony Kynaston: Uh,
Cameron: Yeah, they need to worry about stopping floods right now.
Tony Kynaston: was it the
Cameron: Um.
Tony Kynaston: people get together and decide how much of Trump’s new perfume they were gonna buy Victory? 45, 47. Get in the
Cameron: I hadn’t heard of that. He’s got a perfume smell. Smell like Trump. What do you reckon? Trump smells like week old, McDonald’s week old, big Max.
Tony Kynaston: Coke and golf courses.
Cameron: Uh, oh my God. And yeah, God knows. What else? All right. After hours, Tony. Um, my two highlights for this week, the Black [01:02:00] Sabbath concert in Birmingham. I watched the other night.
It was pretty good, pretty sad. I just watched the Black Sabbath component. I dunno if you’d paid any attention, but it was like a 10 hour concert in Birmingham with a whole bunch of heavy metal acts, Metallica tool, anthrax, everyone sort of celebrating Black Sabbath. They did a lot of people coming in.
Aussie did some of his solo stuff, but then they had the original Black Sabbath lineup back together. They only did four songs at the end of the night. But, um, it was pretty awesome. Like I, I, I’ve been a Black Sabbath fan since I was a teenager and my friends and I were in a black Sabbath in the eighties.
And, uh, Aussies not doing well. Like, he’s sitting, sitting down for the whole thing, reading the lyrics off a screen. But his voice, well, yeah, he’s in the late seventies. He’s had [01:03:00] Parkinson’s for whatever, 25 years now. But, uh, his voice was surprisingly good. I thought it would be like. I mean, I’ve seen clips of AC CDC out on tour again at the moment.
Brian Johnson’s voice is ate what he used to be. David Lee Roth’s recent tour. I mean, it’s pretty surprisingly good Dave, ’cause he has not had a good run with his voice in 10 years, but still nowhere near what he was in his prime. And he’s a lot younger than Ozzy. Um, who else is on tour at the moment? Uh oh.
Axel Rose. I mean a lot younger than Ozzy too. Um, not great. His voice is shoddy. Ozzy did a pretty good job, but outside of Ozzy, the rest of the band, geezer, Butler, Ward and Tony Iommi, we’re all about the same age as Ozzy. Um, just fantastic. Just absolutely Tony Iommi lead guitar. Looks cool as ever. Um, [01:04:00] just killing out the riffs.
War pigs paranoid NIB and. God, what was the fourth track? Can’t remember what the fourth track was. Iron Man, did I say that? Paranoid war pigs, iron Man and NIB, you know, all off their first album. Um, really, really, it was, it was delightful. Made me happy to see the sabs doing their thing.
Tony Kynaston: Uh, did Ozzy go, Sharon, where’s my keys?
Cameron: No, there was a shot of her right at the end. They, they got her standing on the wings. She pulled it all off. She said she’s done. She’s retired. That’s it. She’s out. But, uh, yeah, I mean, you gotta hand it to Sharon Osborne. She has, she has been a force. Keep an Aussie going for the last 40 years. She is fierce.
Tony Kynaston: true.
Cameron: She’s like, remember the gentleman? Uh, the, the TV series version of it? The [01:05:00] chick who was took over the father’s crime family, that’s she’s Sharon Osborne. Like, she’s just a scouse gangster running a rock stars business instead of running a weed operation in the mansions of a thing. She is, she is hard.
Tony Kynaston: I’ve got a mansion
Cameron: Yeah, probably.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. Could have weed
Cameron: Yeah. Yeah. It’s what keeps Aussie going. It’s just all the weed that’s growing underground.
Tony Kynaston: looked at buying tickets to the AC DC concert at the MCG, but uh, by the time I got round to it, there was no good seats left. Um, and they were like 400 bucks to sit sort of up high beside the stage. But do you know who’s the support Act?
Cameron: I do not. Oh. Am in the sniffers. Am in the sniffers.
Tony Kynaston: yeah,
Cameron: I did hear that. Yeah. Which is awesome that I would go just to see them open for ac DC. That’s so great for them. Yeah. They’re just killing it and totally deserved, just so fresh and exciting those guys. And girl. [01:06:00] Good for them.
Tony Kynaston: I agree. Well, we went
Cameron: Reading wise, I,
Tony Kynaston: sorry, go
Cameron: oh, sorry, go ahead.
Tony Kynaston: After you.
Cameron: I read The Little Prince finally
Tony Kynaston: Okay.
Cameron: Th Osbo. You never heard of the Little Prince?
Tony Kynaston: No.
Cameron: Ah, it’s famous. I’ve been meaning to read it my entire adult life. It’s a kid’s book written by this French fighter pilot member of the aristocracy who wrote this book in 1943 when he’d briefly retired from being a military pilot. And then he went back. He was, I.
Living in the United States at the time. And then he signed up for the French resistance and flew his last. He was only supposed to fly five missions. He flew nine and never returned from the ninth one. And they didn’t know what happened to him. They found wreckage from his plane about 20 years ago off the coast of Marse.
It was a big deal in France at the time, but [01:07:00] it’s this little book that’s much beloved around the world. You go into nearly every bookshop and you’ll see it in the kids section. He did all of the art for us. This beautiful little sort of quaint sort of pencil watercolory art. It’s a story of a guy who was flying his plane in the desert and it crashed like in the, in Africa or somewhere, or mechanical trouble.
And while he is trying to fix it, running outta water, think he’s gonna, um, die of dehydration this tiny little. Guy who says he’s a prince from another planet, turns up and they start having these long conversations about all the planets that he’s been to and how ridiculous adults are. And it’s a sort of, it’s this pithy little children’s book about how grownups are focused on the wrong things.
They’re focused on things that don’t matter. They wanna be, these are not matters to be taken seriously kind of things. And they miss everything that’s important in life, like laughter and roses and [01:08:00] stars and sunsets and love and adventure and all those sorts of things. It’s just a big sort of written for kids, but a deep philosophical analysis of how adults basically lose the joy of life as they get older and start focusing on the serious things.
So, um, I finally read it and it was fun. I.
Tony Kynaston: don’t have any water.
Cameron: Yeah, yeah, yeah. You can be really serious. You get way too serious about that kind of stuff. Yeah. Anyway, I read that I was, I was happy to have finally, finally knuckled down, and then I started reading Monte’s essays. I got a list of the most popular books, the a hundred most popular books according to Perian or French or something.
And I started reading what the French Think are good. So I’m reading Montanes essays, which is pretty fun. Anyway,
Tony Kynaston: Monte?
Cameron: 16th century, uh, French, uh, [01:09:00] aristocrat who during various plagues or religious wars that they were undergoing said, you know what, screw y’all. And he went and sat in a tower and started writing essays and pretty much invented the essay he invented. The essay. Um, no one had written essays before him. He wrote essays on everything, love loss, philosophy, farts, um, everything he could think of.
He just got it all down. Donkeys, um, wrote volumes and volumes, and volumes just decided. Like in, in his preface to the first one, he says, look, I’m probably gonna die soon ’cause everyone was dying. And I, he said, I just realized my friends and family don’t really know much about how I think about stuff. So I’m gonna write it down.
I’m gonna explore. Essay means exploration.
Tony Kynaston: Oh,
Cameron: You, you know, you essay out to, you know, recon or territory, right? So it’s, these were explorations on [01:10:00] ideas and subjects and, um, all over the place. No real, you know. Um. Theory. No real. He wasn’t trying to prove anything. He was just trying to capture all of his thoughts on life and, uh, it’s interesting stuff so far.
I’m enjoying it.
Tony Kynaston: good. Well, I’ve, I’m the
Cameron: Dang, you.
Tony Kynaston: done, I’ve been the most commercial of commercial this last week. I’ve, and I went and
Cameron: Mm-hmm.
Tony Kynaston: the F1 movie. Uh, on the weekend.
Cameron: What did you think the boys went to see that they were, they were in New York for the Premier, I think of that or something, but they really liked it. Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: it. It seemed a top gun sort of mould. Very commercial,
Cameron: Top Gun on Wheels.
Tony Kynaston: ending, all that kind of stuff. But yeah, it’s, it’s entertaining. Very good.
Cameron: I have no interest whatsoever in going to see it. So
Tony Kynaston: Well,
Cameron: you enjoyed it.
Tony Kynaston: a fan of Drive to Survive, you’ll really enjoy it. ’cause there’s lot of overlap with that.
Cameron: I dunno what that is, that’s how much I don’t care
Tony Kynaston: Okay. Well,
Cameron: [01:11:00] cars. Right.
Tony Kynaston: yeah.
Cameron: What strive to survive.
Tony Kynaston: Oh, the, uh, well, it’s behind the whole thing. It’s, so, drive to Survive was the Netflix series on Formula One,
Cameron: Oh, okay.
Tony Kynaston: in the first series, it, it, um, in the first series, none of the big teams in Formula One would cooperate like Ferrari and McLaren and Mercedes. Uh, so they focused on the bottom end of the grid and made Daniel Ricardo, the Australian F1 driver, a bit of a star. ’cause he’s, uh, always happy and cheeky and up for the cameras and it, and it sort of caught fire. And then all, you know, F1 and all the big teams went, shit, we’ve gotta be a part of this. And then from season two, one was, it was inside every detail of. Red ball racing and McLaren and Ferrari and all the political machinations behind the team leaders and what they’re up to, et cetera.
And driver changes as well as covering the, the races too. Yeah, I, I
Cameron: Wow.
Tony Kynaston: it. Um, anyway, that made F1 popular in the US [01:12:00] because up until then Incar was the dominant racing formula in the us Their
Cameron: Really
Tony Kynaston: One. Yeah,
Cameron: F ones are not big over there. I didn’t realize that,
Tony Kynaston: then because it’s basically European based,
Cameron: right?
Tony Kynaston: even
Cameron: Yeah, yeah.
Tony Kynaston: rest of the world.
’cause they, they race
Cameron: But it’s big here.
Tony Kynaston: big here. Yeah,
Cameron: Yeah.
Tony Kynaston: yeah.
Cameron: Yeah. But no, I didn’t realize it wasn’t big over there.
Tony Kynaston: And so now they do a race in Las Vegas and uh, well they do Canada. they’ve been doing that for a long time and yeah. I’m just trying to remember if there’s a second race. Anyway, they do a big race in Las Vegas and Formula One now. So,
Cameron: Okay,
Tony Kynaston: so that
Cameron: good.
Tony Kynaston: And I’ve been, been reading Michael Palin’s latest diaries. Have you ever read
Cameron: Oh, wonderful. I don’t think I ever have, I mean, seen some of his travel TV series and stuff over the years, but yeah, that’d be fun.
Tony Kynaston: is.
Cameron: He seems like a really interesting guy.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And so this is the, the fourth release of his diaries [01:13:00] covering the travel series called Now, now and then all those years where he was doing travel series. Um, I really enjoyed the first three books. ’cause I think the first one was called Halfway to Hollywood, so it’s Early Python and then it’s the Python movies, et cetera.
And then Life After Python and all the rest of it. This is more about, um, his series on Hemingway and the Sahara. So yeah, it’s, it’s, it’s interesting. It’s good, but very lightweight, you know, and lots of packed with celebrities, British celebrities. So
Cameron: Right.
Tony Kynaston: it’s a pretty easy read, but good fun.
Cameron: He just comes across as a really nice guy,
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And that’s how
Cameron: just genuinely really nice guy.
Tony Kynaston: Yeah. And he doesn’t dispel that in the diaries as well, but he keeps referring to the fact that he’s seen as Britain’s nicest guy. Yeah.
Cameron: Him and McCartney, I think, have to be the two nicest guy. Two nicest celebrities is the way they come across anyway.
Tony Kynaston: McCartney’s from, uh, what was her name? Heather Mills dragged him through the
Cameron: Well she was [01:14:00] Oh really? I thought dragged her through the mud, dragged him through the mud. Hmm.
Tony Kynaston: her
Cameron: Okay.
Tony Kynaston: and she used this reason to divorce him and told all in the divorce court using, didn’t
Cameron: Right. Uh,
Tony Kynaston: But anyway, I’m sure he is.
Cameron: really? Wow. I paid no attention to that.
Tony Kynaston: to her, according to
Cameron: Right. Well, thank you tk. That’s QAV Australia for this week. We’re gonna go talk to QAV America now.
Tony Kynaston: Good. Well have a
Cameron: Have a good week.
Tony Kynaston: Have we got an RBA?
Cameron: Cv.
Tony Kynaston: we got an RBA result yet?
Cameron: Oh, let me just go back to the Fin. Did have it open before? Just checking. AFR?
Nope. Nothing yet.
Tony Kynaston: yet. Oh.
Cameron: Two 20. Nothing yet. Oh, well everyone will, we’ll talk about it next week. See if Tony’s predictions are right.
Tony Kynaston: Uh, Google’s telling me the Reserve Bank held its cash rate [01:15:00] steady. Yeah. So,
Cameron: Okay. Well
Tony Kynaston: oh no, sorry. Uh, hang on. I’ve just, uh, been taken to the RBA website where it says the next update is at two 30. So
Cameron: eight minutes we’ll report on it in the US show. No we won’t. No one cares.
Tony Kynaston: says the Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate steady its meeting on July 8th, which is today, and then has a link to the Reserve Bank website where it says Next step update is at two 30.
So you go.
Cameron: Wow. They’ve finally been able to predict the future. The AI has gone to the next level.
Tony Kynaston: we’ll see. I think at two 30 it might be different, but we’ll see.
Cameron: All right. Thank you, tk.
Tony Kynaston: Cam.
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