QAV Blog
Investing insights, podcast episodes, and market analysis.
TK Journal: 2020-05-21
From today I’m going to start keeping a public record of the notes Tony sends me here, rather than posting them in the Facebook group, so they are easier to find later. — Last night I analysed Whitehaven Coal (WHC) again and added a price alert to Stock Doctor of…
QAV S03E16 — The Data Hoarder
This week we have a 100 minute premium episode answering all of your excellent questions about subjects such as:
— banks and sentiment
— AQG / SSR merger
— Stanmore Coal acquisition offer
— Buying more when the price drops below the buy line
— Using a 5 yr/weekly chart to help fine tune your trend lines
— using the checklist to score LICs
— holding back on the retail sector
— thoughts about oil glut and prices affecting Oil/Coal companies
— During times of volatility (like GFC or dot com bust) did Tony notice a similar increase in buy/sell?
— How Tony stages his entry into a position
— How he regression test the results/model
— The buy line for OSH
— SFC sell price and recent update on their financials
— How does Tony decides what percentage of his capital to invest when he BUY stocks such as MQG
— How to analyse the TGP graph
— Why the TRS, WPL and MQG charts are different
— and Tony also introduces his new magic 3PTL maths.
QAV S03E15 — Nicholas Gruen on MMT
Nicholas Gruen is an economist, entrepreneur and commentator. He is CEO of Lateral Economics. He spoke to us recently about Modern Monetary Theory and the short-term future of the Australian economy.
QAV S03E14 — Stock Detectives
Tony talks about some of his recent “musings” regarding bank stocks and comparing the results of his analysis of using Stock Doctor filters versus our three-point trend lines. Then we talk about his reasons for our recent portfolio buys and sells.
QAV S03E13 — Alex Hay from EL&C Baillieu
Alex Hay is a partner at broking firm EL&C Baillieu. He has been Tony’s stock broker for 25+ years. Alex joined us recently to chat about the services firms like his provide, his relationship with Tony, and what he thinks might happen in the market over the next 6–12 months.
QAV S03E12 — Buy Line Follows The Sell Line
We talk about the recent Berkshire Hathaway AGM, Tony “muses” about buying NAB without waiting for positive sentiment (shock! horror!), discusses some new theories about using Stock Doctor filters, and then he answers a ton of your questions about — pyramiding — whether or not Tony ever sets a margin where he always cashes in the profit — how to calculate the intrinsic value of each of the top 20 stocks — and a heap of questions about drawing three-point trend lines.
QAV S03E11 — Sydney Superinvestors
We’re joined by two young value investors, Jackson Lee and Ricky Yeo from the Sydney Superinvestors meetup, who talk about how they manage their portfolios and what they consider to be their hot tips of good value stocks.
Value v Growth: Good Companies vs Good Investments
From the desk of Tony Kynaston: In yesterdays QAV podcast [episode 310] I mentioned that there is a difference between finding a good company and finding a good investment. This followed on from a conversation we had with Jackson and Ricky from the Sydney…
QAV S03E10 — Play By The Rules
Today we answer your questions about why we’re buying back into the market even though Tony has doubts over the recovery — how we account for the quality of management in our analysis — how much attention Tony pays to volume of shares traded — Stock Doctor’s “Price to Cashflow” and “Price to NTA” filters — how to calculate three-point trend line sell signals — how the checklist weights ‘quality’ vs ‘value’ metrics — how patient Tony is with a stock if it drops soon after he buys it (versus “you breach you gone”) — Stock Doctor’s diluted weighted no. of ordinary shares vs ‘Fully Paid Ord. Shares’ — HAW’s future cash flow — Milton Corporation’s conference call — and how to go about setting up a brand new portfolio.