QAV Blog

Invest­ing insights, pod­cast episodes, and mar­ket analy­sis.

TK Journal 2020-11-12

I ran anoth­er down­load this morn­ing as Mac­quar­ie Group’s (MQG) fig­ures are now in Stock Doc­tor fol­low­ing their lat­est results. Also, Qan­tas (QAN) had breached its Buy line. How­ev­er, after run­ning the down­load, both of these com­pa­nies have a price to oper­at­ing cash…

QAV S03E52 — Groundhog Day

Tony does a deep dive expla­na­tion on the Kel­ly Cri­te­ri­on and we dis­cuss the chal­lenges in apply­ing it to share invest­ing. We also dis­cuss stocks that briefly stick their head above the ground and then retract them again (aka a ground­hog), review Tony’s thoughts on aver­age dai­ly trade vol­ume, answer a ques­tion about whether SFR is a Schro­ding­er, talk about how the Reserve Bank’s deci­sion to go max QE and the US elec­tion might affect the mar­ket, review the CAA con­sol­i­da­tion and alu­mini­um prices, and Tony’s stock pick of the week is KMD.

TK Journal 2020-11-05

I just found out that CAA is under­go­ing a 30 for 1 con­sol­i­da­tion to it’s shares. Looks like this takes place on Mon­day.

QAV S03E51 — Bunny Boilers

This week we talk about invest­ing with your Spock brain instead of your McCoy brain, why Tony’s Stock of the Week is SFR, why CAA might ben­e­fit from ris­ing alu­mini­um prices, how to regres­sion test return on equi­ty, chart­ing the 3PTL lines for LYL, CCV, DKM, RXP, and SUL, and Tony’s Mel­bourne Cup tip!

TK Journal 2020-11-02

MFF Cap­i­tal Invest­ments (MFF) breached it’s sell line recent­ly and is removed from the buy list. Sand­fire Resources (SFR) has just crossed its buy line and is added to the buy list with a QAV score of 0.33. Sand­fire is a gold and cop­per min­er. And TK’s Mel­bourne Cup…

TK Journal 2020-10-30

I decid­ed to exit a small his­toric posi­tion I had in a com­pa­ny called Genex Pow­er and swap it for Capral Alu­minum (CAA). The Genex Pow­er shares were from a cap­i­tal rais­ing that Alex Hay got me stock in. This is not a major posi­tion and well below my nor­mal stake in…

QAV S03E50 — Stephen Moriarty

Our slight­ly con­tro­ver­sial inter­view with investor Stephen Mori­ar­ty, co-author of the book ‘Low Rates High Returns’. We dis­cuss his approach to using CAPE ratios and Kel­ly Cri­te­ri­on to time his invest­ing and deter­mine how much of his port­fo­lio he puts into the mar­ket.

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