QAV Blog

Invest­ing insights, pod­cast episodes, and mar­ket analy­sis.

TK Journal 2021-04-21

The lat­est Bank of Queens­land (BOQ) results are in and their QAV score drops to 0.05 and there­fore they are removed from the Buy List.

QAV S04E16 — The Gold Rush

QAV S04E16 — The Gold Rush

This week we chat with Chris Stott, Chief Invest­ment Offi­cer at 1851 Cap­i­tal and then get into our reg­u­lar show, where we dis­cuss the MRC col­lapse, the CAA takeover bid, Geoff Wilson’s LIC strat­e­gy, our SOTW (DSK), if MYR is close to a sell, DKM drop­ping off the buy list, direc­tors trans­ac­tions, IV2 chal­lenger strat­e­gy, why research firms sus­pend cov­er­age on stocks, using (ATR) aver­age true range mul­ti­ples to set trail­ing stops, cur­rent US val­u­a­tions, and whether or not TRS as a recent pos­i­tive upturn.

Our ASA Webinar

Tony and I did a webi­nar for the Aus­tralian Share­hold­ers Asso­ci­a­tion on 15 April, 2021. You can watch it here. It’s a quick intro­duc­tion to Tony’s QAV sys­tem.

TK Journal 2021-04-14

Hi folks, I ran the Top 20 ASX fil­ter again today now that report­ing sea­son is finished.FMG is again the com­pa­ny whose share price is fur­ther­est away from its IV2 calculation.The same occurred last half where FMG deliv­ered a 30% increase in price plus a sub­stan­i­tal…

QAV S04E15 — The Whip

QAV S04E15 — The Whip

Regres­sion test­ing with Dylan the intern; “A Quan­ti­ta­tive Approach to Tac­ti­cal Asset Allo­ca­tion”; SOTW: MXI; Tony’s thoughts on invest­ing in a NASDAQ 100 ETF; should keep our AGD shares; Why did TK skip past MYR on the buy list; cap­i­tal rais­ing only to insti­tu­tion­al investors; How AGMs fit into Tony’s invest­ment strat­e­gy; look­ing at a Depth of a share chart; post­pon­ing a deci­sion to buy a share based on the AFR head­lines; a check­list for report­ing sea­son; how the cur­rent buy list com­pares to oth­er peri­ods; QAV book club.

QAV S04E14 — Water Your Flowers

QAV S04E14 — Water Your Flowers

Ray Dalio on BTC. Lou Simpson’s invest­ing phi­los­o­phy. The pro­posed TLS break-up. Sell­ing low div­i­dend pay­ers. Tol­er­ance for old­er data. KRMs health score. 3PTL for ADH, HLA & HVN. Tony’s view on the Iron trend line. Replac­ing IV1 and IV2 with PE ratios.

QAV S04E13 — Home Invasions

QAV S04E13 — Home Invasions

This week: MRC fir­ing their CEO and the price dropped 25% — why did­n’t we sell?; Lin­coln fund results; ASA webi­nar by James Holt; WAAAX per­for­mance 20/21; CVL down 13% since we bought it; MAH ground­hog; Flit­man mod­el is out; red flags for com­pa­nies that might go into a trad­ing halt; why share prices fall after they go ex div­i­dend; how TK decides what to sell when he needs to take cash out of his port­fo­lio; com­mod­i­ty stocks sell lines; sen­ti­ment for HAW, AGD, AIS; is GCY now a sell?

TK Journal 2021-03-31

Hi Cam, The CEO of Ing­hams (ING) resigned last night and ING has passed below its Sell line. I own shares and will prob­a­bly Sell them today. I will see how the mar­ket opens as the shares are only slight­ly below there Sell line. I am run­ning a down­load this morn­ing to…

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