Hi folks

Here’s my week­ly update and some thoughts about “invest­ing” in gold.

cheers
Cam

QAV MYTH KILLERS

WHY WE DON’T INVEST IN GOLD

The Myth

Gold is mar­ket­ed as the last hon­est asset in a dis­hon­est world. You hear the same slo­gans every­where: “Cen­tral banks are hoard­ing it,” “It’s stood the test of time,” “It pro­tects you when every­thing else fails,” “Fiat cur­ren­cy is worth­less.”

The peo­ple push­ing this sto­ry include newslet­ter prep­pers, YouTube fear-mer­chants, bul­lion deal­ers, and the usu­al parade of self-appoint­ed finan­cial prophets who’ve been pre­dict­ing eco­nom­ic Armaged­don every year since the 1970s. Gold is their secu­ri­ty blan­ket, and they want you to buy one too.

Why People Believe It

Fear makes bad ideas sound wise. Gold feels safe because it’s old, shiny, and doesn’t pro­duce quar­ter­ly earn­ings that can dis­ap­point. It looks serene while every­thing else looks chaot­ic. And for peo­ple who don’t trust gov­ern­ments or mar­kets, gold feels like a rebel­lion against the sys­tem.

The psy­cho­log­i­cal com­fort is real. The finan­cial log­ic isn’t.

fiat is worthless

The Trap Behind the Logic

If gold were tru­ly the supe­ri­or store of val­ue that its evan­ge­lists claim, the behav­iour of gold hold­ers would reflect that. Yet the peo­ple telling you fiat mon­ey is doomed are the same peo­ple who hap­pi­ly trade their “pre­cious” met­al for that sup­pos­ed­ly doomed mon­ey. If gold were about to soar beyond imag­i­na­tion, they wouldn’t be try­ing to unload it onto strangers on the inter­net. They’d be hoard­ing it in silence.

Then there’s the fun­da­men­tal issue: gold has no inter­nal engine. It doesn’t pro­duce any­thing, gen­er­ate earn­ings, pay div­i­dends, employ peo­ple, inno­vate, or com­pound. Its entire val­ue depends on col­lec­tive mood. And mood is one of the least reli­able forces in finance. Gold doesn’t cre­ate wealth. It just sits there wait­ing for some­one else’s fear to spike.

You also hear the same recy­cled lines from the gold faith­ful. “Cen­tral banks are buy­ing!” Cen­tral banks also hold moun­tains of the same fiat cur­ren­cy gold bugs tell you to dis­trust, and they trans­act in that cur­ren­cy every day. “Gold has sur­vived thou­sands of years!” So have pyra­mids; that doesn’t make them good invest­ments. “Gold pro­tects against cri­sis!” Some­times it ris­es, some­times it falls, and some­times it does noth­ing at all. Its cri­sis per­for­mance has nev­er been con­sis­tent enough to rely on.

The Hidden Cost

The real finan­cial dam­age from gold isn’t the volatil­i­ty. It’s the oppor­tu­ni­ty cost. Decade after decade, gold drifts side­ways for long stretch­es while busi­ness­es in the stock mar­ket rein­vest prof­its, inno­vate, expand, and grow. That dif­fer­ence com­pounds into a gulf.

This is why every long-term chart looks the same: the stock mar­ket climbs over time because busi­ness­es gen­er­ate returns. Gold mean­ders, occa­sion­al­ly spik­ing when fear takes over, then sink­ing back into long stretch­es of stag­na­tion. Pro­duc­tiv­i­ty beats per­ma­nence. It always has.

And the psy­cho­log­i­cal cost is just as dam­ag­ing. Gold encour­ages a bunker men­tal­i­ty. Once some­one com­mits to the gold world­view, every head­line looks like the begin­ning of the end. That mind­set sab­o­tages long-term deci­sion-mak­ing because it replaces ratio­nal think­ing with a con­stant drip of para­noia.

Why We Prefer Businesses to Metal

Gold doesn’t com­pound. Gold-min­ing com­pa­nies do. A gold bar will sit in a vault, inert, for­ev­er. A min­ing busi­ness turns gold into cash­flow. It sells the met­al, man­ages costs, expands oper­a­tions, invests in equip­ment, and lever­ages ris­ing gold prices in a way the met­al itself nev­er can.

In oth­er words, a min­er par­tic­i­pates in the eco­nom­ic world. Gold avoids it. And long-term wealth belongs to the par­tic­i­pants, not the spec­ta­tors.

eating gold

Why Gold Fails the Apocalypse Test

Gold bugs love to talk about “when the sys­tem col­laps­es.” But in a real col­lapse, gold is one of the least use­ful mate­ri­als you could own. You can’t eat it. You can’t heat your home with it. You can’t fix machin­ery with it. It can’t puri­fy water, heal injuries, grow crops, replace fuel, or pro­tect your fam­i­ly.

After a gen­uine col­lapse, peo­ple will trade in calo­ries, tools, med­i­cine, fuel, labour, and shel­ter. Gold would sit some­where between dec­o­ra­tive rock and dead­weight. If some­one offered you gold for your last loaf of bread, you’d think they’d lost their mind.

Why the Stock Market Leaves Gold Behind

Across almost every mean­ing­ful time­frame, diver­si­fied equi­ties have out­per­formed gold by a wide mar­gin. The rea­son is struc­tur­al: the stock mar­ket is filled with busi­ness­es that expand, rein­vest, grow earn­ings, and com­pound over decades. Gold relies on sen­ti­ment. The mar­ket relies on pro­duc­tiv­i­ty. Pro­duc­tiv­i­ty wins.

The Hint of the Fix

There is a bet­ter way to invest than fol­low­ing fear sto­ries. It involves dis­ci­pline, evi­dence, and rules that don’t change depend­ing on the news cycle. We fol­low rules because rules keep emo­tion out of the equa­tion. They give us a map while every­one else reacts to head­lines.

If you want to invest with rules instead of folk­lore, join QAV Light today. Your first 30 days are free so you can check it out and see what you think.

STOCK ANALYSIS

This week we had to buy two stocks for the Light port­fo­lios. Light and Club mem­bers can read about them here and here.

BUY LIST

Each week we pro­duce a buy list based on our val­ue invest­ing sys­tem that we share with our QAV Club mem­bers. The intend­ed pri­ma­ry pur­pose of this buy list is for club mem­bers to use as a ref­er­ence for com­par­ing their own buy list. In the­o­ry, all of our buy lists should look pret­ty sim­i­lar each week.

Below is a link to the AU list for this week.

QAV Val­ue Invest­ing Buy Lists 2025-11-24

PORTFOLIOS

AUSTRALIAN

AU Light portfolio chart

Port­fo­lio Reports (since incep­tion):

It’s DOUBLE MARKET across the board (…except to the Amer­i­can port­fo­lio)!

The Light Group of port­fo­lios are +20% vs the index +10%.

AU Dummy portfolio chart

The AU Dum­my Port­fo­lio is +16% vs the bench­mark +8%.

AMERICAN

US portfolio chart

Our U.S. port­fo­lio is +54% vs the index +53%.

THIS WEEK’S EPISODES

847 image
QAV AU 847 — The Reil­ly Sen­ti­ment Ratio

QAV AM 28 art high-optimised
PCG – PG&E: Lead­ing With Love – QAV Amer­i­ca #28

STOCK NEWS AND UPDATES

On the com­modi­ties front, this week’s buy list had the fol­low­ing changes.

QAV commodity chart 2025-11-28

DISCLOSURE

Please review our trad­ing and dis­clo­sure pol­i­cy.


That’s it for the week!

QAV A GOOD SHAREMARKET!

Got a ques­tion? [email protected]

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