QAV AU 847 (v2) — The Reilly Sentiment Ratio

by | Nov 27, 2025 | Australia, Blog, Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

Tony recounts how he lit­er­al­ly smashed his golf dri­ver and then the show ric­o­chets into AI invest­ing, hon­esty met­rics for man­age­ment, huge port­fo­lio out­per­for­mance, and the sur­pris­ing returns of recent pulled porks. Cameron tests Google’s Gem­i­ni for a new way to score “able and hon­est” man­age­ment and the boys debate whether Buffet’s phi­los­o­phy can be quan­ti­fied. They explore whether sen­ti­ment-dri­ven mar­ket con­trac­tion is actu­al­ly a bull­ish sig­nal (the new “Reil­ly Sen­ti­ment Ratio”), check a string of pulled pork mega-per­form­ers, and mar­vel at how stealth busi­ness­es like hold-my-beer tool retail­er Stealth Group and fash­ion drop-ship­per Cettire have explod­ed. There’s also a Bit­coin con­spir­a­cy: is cryp­to actu­al­ly a hon­ey trap built by West­ern intel­li­gence? Tony digs into takeover mechan­ics using Cash Con­vert­ers, and deliv­ers a new pulled pork on Aur­i­zon Hold­ings (AZJ), with takeover and infra­struc­ture-spin­off impli­ca­tions. It’s val­ue invest­ing, gam­ma waves of AI hype, and bil­lion­aire bunkers… all in one clas­sic QAV episode.

QAV AU 846 — Fortune Favours the Patient

by | Nov 19, 2025 | Australia, Blog, Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

This episode we dig through a packed week in mar­kets, port­fo­lios, com­modi­ties, gold trends, sov­er­eign risk, Michael Burry’s fund clo­sure, War­ren Buffett’s farewell let­ter, QAV Light’s mon­ster per­for­mance, the ASX cor­rec­tion, and a full pulled-pork deep dive on SYL (Symal Group). We also cov­er ANZ’s result, gold’s de-dol­lar­i­sa­tion tail­winds, Karoon’s chang­ing lead­er­ship, MTO’s reg­is­tra­tion-duty mis­step, and three recent rock­et-ships on the buy list. The episode ends with film and TV talk: Tarkovsky, Guin­ness, and Slow Hors­es.

QAV AU 845 – Michael Goldberg Returns: Gold, AI, and Value Investing in 2025

by | Nov 11, 2025 | Australia, Blog, Investing Podcast, Podcast Episodes

Michael Gold­berg from Collins Street Asset Man­age­ment returns to the show after three years. We dive deep into how val­ue invest­ing has fared through the tur­bu­lence of recent years — from post-COVID strug­gles to the renewed upswing of 2025. Michael dis­cuss­es his firm’s 14%+ annu­al returns, the long-term patience required for under­val­ued stocks, and the sur­pris­ing per­sis­tence of “cheap” com­pa­nies that stayed cheap for years. We explore Astron Lim­it­ed (ATR) and its rare earths project in Vic­to­ria, delve into min­er­al sands, gold funds, and the life­cy­cle of com­modi­ties, and tack­le the hot top­ic of AI’s eco­nom­ic impact, from effi­cien­cy gains to work­force dis­rup­tion. They fin­ish with thoughts on Sev­en West Media’s merg­er, the AI-dri­ven hype around the Mag­nif­i­cent Sev­en in the US, and how val­ue investors can nav­i­gate an over­heat­ed tech mar­ket with­out los­ing their cool.

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