Hi QAVVERS,

I saved Chris­sy’s life this week.

Wednes­day night, about 9pm, I’d just got home from kung fu. Sit­ting on the lounge, eat­ing some din­ner, Chris­sy was in the kitchen, mak­ing her lunch for Thurs­day. I’m telling a sto­ry about some­thing that hap­pened at train­ing, when, sud­den­ly, she starts mak­ing a strange noise and wav­ing her hands in the air, point­ing at her throat. I leap up and she comes towards me, point­ing at her back and mak­ing “hit me!” hand ges­tures. I hit her. Again. Again. She mimes the Heim­lich. I per­form it. Poor­ly. She still can’t breathe. I keep at it. Thump her back. Squeeze her stom­ach. Over and over. Twen­ty sec­onds go past. Thir­ty. I’m think­ing “is she going to die because I nev­er took a first aid course!? ”

Final­ly — she gasps. She can breathe. The small piece of raw cau­li­flower she had been munch­ing on had been dis­lodged.

The sec­ond time in her life she near­ly choked on some­thing. The first time, her moth­er saved her life. This time, it was my turn.

That puts the world’s dra­ma into per­spec­tive.

She’d just put Fox to bed and he’d said what he always says: “Stay Safe, Don’t Die”.

We haven’t told him how close she came. Don’t want to add to his anx­i­eties.

AUSTRALIAN MARKET UPDATE

The All Ordi­nar­ies fell rough­ly 3.1% over the past week to close at 8,920.20 on Fri­day:

  • Aus­tralian stocks end­ed the week at a more than two-month low; the ASX 200 fell 0.9% on Fri­day to 8,741.20, its low­est close since 2 July, and lost 2.1% across the week, its steep­est drop since mid-March.

  • A surge in oil prices sparked fresh infla­tion fears through­out the week, with Brent crude futures hit­ting a four-month high of US$109.97 a bar­rel as attacks on ship­ping routes in the Mid­dle East and Houthi strikes on Sau­di oil facil­i­ties raised fears of spread­ing con­flict.

  • The Euro­pean Cen­tral Bank raised its deposit facil­i­ty rate by 25 basis points to 2.5% this week, cit­ing ongo­ing infla­tion pres­sures gen­er­at­ed by con­flicts in the Mid­dle East.

  • Local­ly, RBA Deputy Gov­er­nor Andrew Hauser said pol­i­cy­mak­ers will weigh fur­ther tight­en­ing at the Sep­tem­ber meet­ing, while Assis­tant Gov­er­nor Sarah Hunter warned of lim­it­ed tol­er­ance for stronger price pres­sures, prompt­ing all four major banks to fore­cast anoth­er hike before year-end, with NAB tip­ping Sep­tem­ber and oth­ers Novem­ber.

  • Heavy­weight min­ers led the week’s declines, with BHP falling 4.1% and Rio Tin­to 3.5% on Fri­day alone, while lithi­um min­ers Lion­town and PLS dropped 8.6% and 7.4% respec­tive­ly, as uncer­tain­ty over US cop­per tar­iffs added to sell­ing pres­sure across the mate­ri­als sec­tor.

  • Aus­tralian gov­ern­ment bond yields jumped above 5% across the week, the high­est lev­el since mid-2011, as oil prices above US$100 a bar­rel sus­tained infla­tion con­cerns and drove a glob­al bond sell-off.

AORD

US MARKET UPDATE

The S&P 500 fell rough­ly 1.6% over the week to close at approx­i­mate­ly 7,592, its fourth con­sec­u­tive dai­ly loss by Wednes­day:

  • Stocks dropped as WTI oil prices topped $100 a bar­rel, amid grow­ing fears of high­er infla­tion from a pro­longed war in the Mid­dle East, while Trea­sury yields con­tin­ued their climb to mul­ti-year highs.

  • August Pro­duc­er Price Index infla­tion rose to 5.4% year-on-year, above expec­ta­tions of 5.3% and up from the pri­or mon­th’s 4.8%, while core PPI year-on-year rose to 4.6%, the high­est since June 2026.

  • Trea­sury yields jumped after the Trea­sury Depart­ment said it would triple its buy­back oper­a­tion of longer-dat­ed gov­ern­ment debt to $6 bil­lion, send­ing the 10-year yield to 4.857%, its high­est lev­el since Novem­ber 2023.

  • Oil and fuel bench­marks have gained fur­ther since the start of Sep­tem­ber on fresh esca­la­tion in the war and the increase in buy­ing from Asia, adding to pres­sure on equi­ties amid the pos­si­bil­i­ty of a Fed­er­al Reserve rate hike next week.

  • Chip pro­duc­ers fell on surg­ing long-dat­ed cred­it costs, with Mar­vell, Intel, and Lam Research each down around 3%, while Nvidia dropped 1% and Ora­cle fell 1.5% ahead of its earn­ings.

S&P 500

So, let’s get into my week­ly updates and see where we are at.

All the Best,
Cam


QAV MYTH KILLERS

INVESTING AT THE SPEED OF LIGHT

This week I don’t real­ly have a “myth killer”. It’s more of a “why is it so” Pro­fes­sor Julius Sum­n­er Miller arti­cle.

Read the full arti­cle →

STOCK ANALYSIS OF THE WEEK

Aus­tralian Mem­bers can check out the stocks we trad­ed in QAV Aus­tralian Light port­fo­lios this week.


Amer­i­can Mem­bers can check out the stocks we trad­ed in QAV Amer­i­can Light port­fo­lios this week.


Tony did a Pulled Pork on Ampli­tude Ener­gy (AEL) this week, a domes­tic gas sup­pli­er work­ing across the Otway, Gipp­s­land and Coop­er basins that is cut­ting debt and lock­ing in long-term off­take con­tracts with the likes of AGL and Ener­gy Aus­tralia. Full details in the pod­cast link below.


On the Amer­i­can pod­cast this week, I did a pulled pork on ARDT. The pod­cast link is down below if you want the full analy­sis.


BUY LIST

buy list|672

Each week, we pro­duce a buy list based on our val­ue invest­ing sys­tem that we share with our QAV Club mem­bers. The intend­ed pri­ma­ry pur­pose of this buy list is for club mem­bers to use as a ref­er­ence for com­par­ing their own buy list. In the­o­ry, all of our buy lists should look pret­ty sim­i­lar each week.

AUSTRALIAN BUY LIST

QAV Val­ue Invest­ing Buy List (AU) 2026-09-05

U.S. BUY LIST

QAV Val­ue Invest­ing Buy List 2026-09-06


PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE

We com­pare our per­for­mance to what we think is the most rel­e­vant bench­mark (SPDR 200 in Aus­tralia, S&P500 in the USA), but if you’re new to invest­ing, these com­par­isons might not mean much. Instead, you can com­pare our per­for­mance to the top-per­form­ing Super Funds in Aus­tralia and see why an ama­teur active investor (who has a sys­tem to fol­low) can out-per­form most of the “pro­fes­sion­als”.

We pub­lish a fresh per­for­mance snap­shot once a month. Week­ly noise does­n’t tell you much in a val­ue-invest­ing sys­tem — what mat­ters is the trend.

QAV Performance Snapshot|871

Sep­tem­ber 2026 per­for­mance snap­shot.


Aus­tralian Mod­el Port­fo­lio: No trades this week.


Amer­i­can Mod­el Port­fo­lio: No trades this week.


Become a QAV Light Member today and start your investing on the right track

If you want to find out what we’re trad­ing in QAV Light each week, sign up to become a mem­ber. You’ll get an email from me every Mon­day let­ting you know what we’re buy­ing and sell­ing in that port­fo­lio. You can choose to copy our trades or not. It’s the eas­i­est way to start your rules-based invest­ing career… and you don’t even need to know the rules. I’ll fol­low the rules for you. It’s a good first step to even­tu­al­ly becom­ing a QAV Club mem­ber and learn­ing how to run the sys­tem by your­self.

QAV LIGHT: You don’t need to build it to tell the time.
QAV Light Promo

(Note: Amer­i­cans inter­est­ed in join­ing QAV Light or Club please go here instead.)


Add QAV America — US stocks, the same QAV method

Already a QAV mem­ber? You can add QAV Amer­i­ca as your sec­ond mem­ber­ship at 50% off — US-list­ed stocks, the same QAV approach, billed in AUD through this site (just one pay­ment to keep an eye on). Add QAV Amer­i­ca →

Not a QAV mem­ber yet? Join QAV first, then you can add QAV Amer­i­ca at the 50% mem­ber rate.


THIS WEEK’S EPISODES

946 image|741
The Gas Under Your Feet: Ampli­tude Ener­gy and the Case for Bor­ing Domes­tic Sup­ply: QAV AU #946


QAV AM 69|743
The Only Hos­pi­tal in Town: Ardent Health (ARDT) QAV Amer­i­ca #69

STOCK NEWS AND UPDATES

COMMODITIES

This week the big changes to com­modi­ties were the fol­low­ing:

Com­mod­i­ty Sta­tus
Gold (USD) JOSEPHINE
Coal (cok­ing) JOSEPHINE
Crude Oil BUY
Tin JOSEPHINE
Mag­ne­sium BUY
Nick­el SELL
Wheat JOSEPHINE
Lithi­um JOSEPHINE
WTI Crude BUY

DISCLOSURE

Please review our trad­ing and dis­clo­sure pol­i­cy.

SIGNING OFF

Value investing quote

SSDD!

  • Cam


That’s it for the week!

QAV A GOOD SHAREMARKET!

Got a ques­tion? [email protected]

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