Hedge funds v Reddit. Ray Dalio on Bitcoin. Tony’s journal entries. Portfolio update. Regression testing Tobias Carlisle. TK’s “war stories” of the ’99/’00 bubble. CCV 3PTL Sentiment. KRM coming out the naughty corner. SD cashflow. Index Mundi data dates.
Tony does a deep dive explanation on the Kelly Criterion and we discuss the challenges in applying it to share investing. We also discuss stocks that briefly stick their head above the ground and then retract them again (aka a groundhog), review Tony’s thoughts on average daily trade volume, answer a question about whether SFR is a Schrodinger, talk about how the Reserve Bank’s decision to go max QE and the US election might affect the market, review the CAA consolidation and aluminium prices, and Tony’s stock pick of the week is KMD.
This week we talk about investing with your Spock brain instead of your McCoy brain, why Tony’s Stock of the Week is SFR, why CAA might benefit from rising aluminium prices, how to regression test return on equity, charting the 3PTL lines for LYL, CCV, DKM, RXP, and SUL, and Tony’s Melbourne Cup tip!